NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • 2024
    • Week 18
      • 2024 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2024 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If GB wins on week 16 MNF)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If NO wins on week 16 MNF)
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2024
      • Who Gets the 1 seed if PHI and MIN win out?
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2024
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2024
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2024
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2024
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2024
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2024 NFL Standings
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2024
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2024 NFL Standings
  • 2023
    • Week 18
      • 2023 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2023 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 17 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2023
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 16 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2023
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 15 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2023
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 14 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2023
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 13 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2023
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 12 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2023
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2023
      • Week 11 Mailbag
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2023
      • Week 10 Mailbag
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2023 NFL Standings
  • 2022
    • Week 18
      • 2022 Week 18 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2022 Week 17 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2022 Week 16 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 17
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2022 Week 15 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 15 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 16
    • Week 14
      • 2022 Week 14 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2022 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2022 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2022 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2022 NFL Standings
  • 2021
    • Week 18
      • 2021 Week 18 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2021 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2021 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2021 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • DAL has not clinched a playoff berth
    • Week 15
      • 2021 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2021 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2021 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2021 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2021 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 11 Playoff Picture
  • 2020
    • Week 17
      • 2020 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2020 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2020 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2020 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2020 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 14 Playoff Picture
      • How does PIT miss the playoffs?
    • Week 13
      • 2020 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2020 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2020 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2020 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2020 Week 9 Playoff Picture
  • 2019
    • Week 17
      • 2019 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2019 Week 16 Playoff Picture
    • Week 15
      • 2019 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2019 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2019 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2019 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2019 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2019 Week 9 Playoff Picture

2024 Season Summary

Jan 5, 2025 | Week 18, 2024 | NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • Playoff Bracket
  • Final Standings
  • First Round Draft Order
  • Syndication and Free Use
  • Acknowledgements
  • Contact us

Playoff Bracket

  • Wildcard Weekend
  • Jan 11-13
    • Divisional Round
    • Jan 18-19
    • Conference Championships
    • Jan 26
    • Super Bowl
    • Feb 9
    • Super Bowl Champion
    •  
    • NFC
    •  
      • 2 PHI 22
        7 GB 10
    • Jan 12 4:30pm ET
    •  
      • 3 TB 20
        6 WAS 23
    • Jan 12 8:00pm ET
    •  
      • 4 LAR 27
        5 MIN 9
    • Jan 13 8:00pm ET
    •  
    • AFC
    •  
      • 2 BUF 31
        7 DEN 7
    • Jan 12 1:00pm ET
    •  
      • 3 BAL 28
        6 PIT 14
    • Jan 11 8:00pm ET
    •  
      • 4 HOU 32
        5 LAC 12
    • Jan 11 4:30pm ET
    •  
      •  
        • 2 PHI 28
      •  
        • 4 LAR 22
      • Jan 19 3:00pm ET
        • 1 DET 31
      •  
        • 6 WAS 45
      • Jan 18 8:00pm ET
        • 1 KC 23
      •  
        • 4 HOU 14
      • Jan 18 4:30pm ET
        • 2 BUF 27
      •  
        • 3 BAL 25
      • Jan 19 6:30pm ET
      •  
        • 2 PHI 55
      •  
        • 6 WAS 23
      • Jan 26 3:00pm ET
        • 1 KC 32
      •  
        • 2 BUF 29
      • Jan 26 6:30pm ET
      •  
        • 2 PHI 40
        • 1 KC 22
      • Feb 9 6:30pm ET
      •  
      • 2 PHI
      •  

       

       

      Final Standings

      • Conference Standings
      • Division Standings
                                                                               
              NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 DETxyz 15-2 11-1  
      2 PHIxy 14-3 9-3  
      3 TBxy 10-7 8-4 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Strength of Victory (75-95 vs 72-98). TB wins the tiebreak over LAR on Conference Record (8-4 vs 6-6).
      4 LARxy 10-7 6-6 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Strength of Victory (75-95 vs 72-98).
      5 MINkx 14-3 9-3  
      6 WASkx 12-5 9-3  
      7 GBkx 11-6 6-6  
      8 SEAke 10-7 6-6  
      9 ATLke 8-9 7-5 ATL wins the tiebreak over ARI on Conference Record (7-5 vs 4-8).
      10 ARIke 8-9 4-8  
      11 DALke 7-10 5-7  
      12 SFke 6-11 4-8  
      13 CHIke 5-12 3-9 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Strength of Victory (28-57 vs 26-59). CHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on Head-to-Head.
      14 CARke 5-12 4-8 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Strength of Victory (28-57 vs 26-59).
      15 NOke 5-12 4-8  
      16 NYGke 3-14 1-11  
               
              AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 KCxyz 15-2 10-2  
      2 BUFxy 13-4 9-3  
      3 BALxy 12-5 8-4  
      4 HOUxy 10-7 8-4  
      5 LACkx 11-6 8-4  
      6 PITkx 10-7 7-5 PIT wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head.
      7 DENkx 10-7 6-6  
      8 CINke 9-8 6-6  
      9 INDke 8-9 7-5 IND wins the tiebreak over MIA on Head-to-Head.
      10 MIAke 8-9 6-6  
      11 NYJke 5-12 5-7  
      12 JAXke 4-13 4-8 JAX wins the tiebreak over NE/LV on Conference Record (4-8 vs 3-9/3-9).
      13 NEke 4-13 3-9 NE wins the tiebreak over LV on Strength of Victory (32-36 vs 24-44).
      14 LVke 4-13 3-9  
      15 CLEke 3-14 3-9 CLE wins the tiebreak over TEN on Strength of Victory (26-25 vs 22-29).
      16 TENke 3-14 3-9  
                                                                         
      NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 PHIxy 14-3 5-1  
      2 WASkx 12-5 4-2  
      3 DALke 7-10 3-3  
      4 NYGke 3-14 0-6  
               
      NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 DETxyz 15-2 6-0  
      2 MINkx 14-3 4-2  
      3 GBkx 11-6 1-5  
      4 CHIke 5-12 1-5  
               
      NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 TBxy 10-7 4-2  
      2 ATLke 8-9 4-2  
      3 CARke 5-12 2-4 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Strength of Victory (28-57 vs 26-59).
      4 NOke 5-12 2-4  
               
      NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 LARxy 10-7 4-2 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Strength of Victory (75-95 vs 72-98).
      2 SEAke 10-7 4-2  
      3 ARIke 8-9 3-3  
      4 SFke 6-11 1-5  
               
      AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 BUFxy 13-4 5-1  
      2 MIAke 8-9 3-3  
      3 NYJke 5-12 2-4  
      4 NEke 4-13 2-4  
               
      AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 BALxy 12-5 4-2  
      2 PITkx 10-7 3-3  
      3 CINke 9-8 3-3  
      4 CLEke 3-14 2-4  
               
      AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 HOUxy 10-7 5-1  
      2 INDke 8-9 3-3  
      3 JAXke 4-13 3-3  
      4 TENke 3-14 1-5  
               
      AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
      1 KCxyz 15-2 5-1  
      2 LACkx 11-6 4-2  
      3 DENkx 10-7 3-3  
      4 LVke 4-13 0-6  

      x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
      y Team has clinched their division title.
      z Team has clinched a first-round bye and home-field advantage.
      e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
      k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.

       

       

      First Round Draft Order

      No 2025 first round draft picks were traded prior to the end of the 2024 season. Any trades that happen after the conclusion of the season will not be reflected here since this is the 2024 season summary.

                                                                                 
      Pick Team Record Strength Of Schedule   Explanation
      1 TEN 3-14 151-138 (.522)  
      2 CLE 3-14 155-134 (.536)  
      3 NYG 3-14 160-129 (.554)  
      4 NE 4-13 136-153 (.471)  
      5 JAX 4-13 138-151 (.478)  
      6 LV 4-13 156-133 (.540)  
      7 NYJ 5-12 143-146 (.495)  
      8 CAR 5-12 144-145 (.498)  
      9 NO 5-12 146-143 (.505)  
      10 CHI 5-12 160-129 (.554)  
      11 SF 6-11 163-126 (.564)  
      12 DAL 7-10 151-138 (.522)  
      13 MIA 8-9 121-168 (.419)  
      14 IND 8-9 132-157 (.457)  
      15 ATL 8-9 150-139 (.519)  
      16 ARI 8-9 155-134 (.536)  
      17 CIN 9-8 138-151 (.478)  
      18 SEA 10-7 144-145 (.498)  
      19 TB 10-7 145-144 (.502) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit. DEN wins the tiebreak over PIT on head-to-head loss. TB wins the tiebreak over DEN on head-to-head loss.
      20 DEN 10-7 145-144 (.502) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit. DEN wins the tiebreak over PIT on head-to-head loss.
      21 PIT 10-7 145-144 (.502) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit.
      22 LAC 11-6 135-154 (.467) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit.
      23 GB 11-6 154-135 (.533) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit.
      24 MIN 14-3 137-152 (.474) Wildcard Round Playoff Exit.
      25 HOU 10-7 139-150 (.481) Divisional Round Playoff Exit.
      26 LAR 10-7 146-143 (.505) Divisional Round Playoff Exit.
      27 BAL 12-5 153-136 (.529) Divisional Round Playoff Exit.
      28 DET 15-2 149-140 (.516) Divisional Round Playoff Exit.
      29 WAS 12-5 126-163 (.436) Conference Championship Playoff Exit.
      30 BUF 13-4 135-154 (.467) Conference Championship Playoff Exit.
      31 KC 15-2 141-148 (.488) Super Bowl Loser.
      32 PHI 14-3 131-158 (.453) Super Bowl Winner.

       

       

      Syndication and Free Use

      I love the interest in scenarios, and so this work is free for everyone to enjoy, and you are free to use any of it in your article or blog post. The only thing I ask is that your article credit and link the site above where you start sharing the scenarios. If you take pictures of the site to share on social media, I would also request that your post reference the site. Doing so allows this site to grow. Thank you all for your support.

      For any questions about citation or attribution, please contact me here.

       

      Acknowledgements

      This site would not be what it is without the support of many people.

      First and foremost, thank you to everyone who interacts with me on social media. Whether it be to ask a question, to offer feedback on the site, or just to offer a kind word - you are what keeps me doing this year after year. I do what I do because I love scenarios, and I love teaching people.

      My family has put up with my addiction to scenarios even when I was writing blogs with 0 readers. Without their support and willingness to entertain my hobby, none of this would have been possible. This is not a small time investment, and they put up with this every season. Anyone who enjoys my work owes them accolades.

      Jeff Murray offers me endless support, motivation, and feedback. He makes the whole season more fun.

      Justin Mader is responsible for all the cool pictures on social media. You’ve all seen my site and know that graphic design is not my talent, so I can’t thank him enough for making my pictures look good.

      Kyle Standerfer & Ivan Urena have endless troves of historical knowledge and are always willing to look something up and share. The most interesting things I post in a season usually come from them. Ivan has a book on the history of pro football schedules, which you can order here!

      Thomas Donovan & Jordan Anstey are the reason this site isn’t constantly error-riddled. They are my de facto editors, finding every mistake and helping refine scenarios day after day. When you see changes happen after the initial post, you can wager one of them is behind the fix.

      Ray Lehnhoff is basically the entire reason this site exists. Without his technical expertise and support, I could never have made an operational site. Please support him by visiting his Playoff Predictors website. It is the only NFL playoff machine that I can completely endorse as accurate.

      Joe Ferreira has been my friend and mentor since 2007, and has taught me everything I know about scenarios. He’s basically responsible for this entire community existing, as I don’t think we would have ever found each other if it weren’t for his old CBS message boards. I cannot express enough how much I and the entire scenario community appreciate his generosity with his time and skills.

       

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