NFL Playoff Scenarios

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Live 2025 Week 17 Playoff Picture

Dec 25, 2025 | Week 17, 2025 | NFL Playoff Scenarios

Live standings
Posts from Week 17
Live Scenarios:
Updates from results in week 17
Playoff status going into week 17
- Division status
- Playoff Status
1st Overall Pick Scenarios
Contact and Support Us


	NFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	SEA^x	12-3	7-3
2	CHI^xy	11-4	7-3
3	PHI^xy	10-5	8-3
4	CAR	8-7	6-4
5	SF^x	11-4	8-2	SF wins the tiebreak over LAR on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-2).
6	LAR^x	11-4	6-4
7	GB^kx	9-6-1	7-3-1
8	MIN^ke	8-8	6-5	MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
9	DET^ke	8-8	5-6
10	DAL^ke	7-8-1	4-6-1
11	TB	7-8	5-6
12	ATL^ke	6-9	5-5
13	NO^ke	5-10	4-7
14	WAS^ke	4-12	2-9
15	ARI^ke	3-12	3-8
16	NYG^ke	2-13	1-10

	AFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	DEN^xy	13-3	8-3
2	NE^x	12-3	7-3
3	JAX^x	11-4	8-2
4	PIT	9-6	7-3
5	BUF^x	11-4	8-3
6	HOU^x	11-5	9-2	HOU wins the tiebreak over LAC on Head-to-Head.
7	LAC^kx	11-5	8-3
8	IND^ke	8-7	6-4
9	BAL	8-8	5-6
10	MIA^ke	6-9	3-8
11	KC^ke	6-10	3-8
12	CIN^ke	5-10	5-6
13	NYJ^ke	3-12	2-8	CLE drops out of the tiebreak with NYJ/TEN on Head-to-Head Sweep. NYJ wins the tiebreak over TEN on Conference Record (2-8 vs 2-9).
14	TEN^ke	3-12	2-9	TEN wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head.
15	CLE^ke	3-12	2-8
16	LV^ke	2-13	2-9


NFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	PHI^xy	10-5	3-2
2	DAL^ke	7-8-1	4-1
3	WAS^ke	4-12	2-3
4	NYG^ke	2-13	1-4

NFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	CHI^xy	11-4	2-3
2	GB^kx	9-6-1	4-1
3	MIN^ke	8-8	3-2	MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4	DET^ke	8-8	1-4

NFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	CAR	8-7	3-2
2	TB	7-8	2-3
3	ATL^ke	6-9	2-3
4	NO^ke	5-10	3-2

NFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	SEA^x	12-3	3-2
2	SF^x	11-4	4-1	SF wins the tiebreak over LAR on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-2).
3	LAR^x	11-4	3-2
4	ARI^ke	3-12	0-5

AFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	NE^x	12-3	3-1
2	BUF^x	11-4	3-2
3	MIA^ke	6-9	3-2
4	NYJ^ke	3-12	0-4

AFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	PIT	9-6	3-1
2	BAL	8-8	3-2
3	CIN^ke	5-10	3-2
4	CLE^ke	3-12	0-4

AFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	JAX^x	11-4	3-1
2	HOU^x	11-5	4-1
3	IND^ke	8-7	2-2
4	TEN^ke	3-12	0-5

AFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	DEN^xy	13-3	4-1
2	LAC^kx	11-5	5-0
3	KC^ke	6-10	1-4
4	LV^ke	2-13	0-5

^x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
^y Team has clinched their division title.
^e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
^k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, TB, DAL, DET, MIN, GB, CAR, PHI
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: LV, CLE, TEN, NYJ, CIN, KC, MIA, BAL, IND, LAC, HOU, PIT

Posts from Week 17

- Playoff Picture Entering Week 17

- Notes on the Week 17 Playoff Picture

- Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs

Live Scenarios:

NFC Clinching Scenarios

SEA clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

SEA win +

LAR loss/tie +

SF tie

SEA clinches the NFC West division title with:

	1)	SEA win + LAR loss/tie + SF loss/tie
OR	2)	SEA tie + LAR loss + SF loss

CAR clinches the NFC South division title with:

	1)	CAR win + TB loss/tie
OR	2)	CAR tie + TB loss

AFC Clinching Scenarios

DEN clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

NE loss +

JAX loss/tie + BUF

BUF loss/tie

NE clinches the AFC East division title with:

	1)	NE win + BUF loss/tie
OR	2)	NE tie + BUF loss

PIT clinches the AFC North division title with:

PIT win/tie

NFC Elimination Scenarios

TB is eliminated from NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with:

	1)	TB loss + CAR win/tie
OR	2)	TB tie + CAR win

LAR is knocked out of division title (and 1 seed) contention with:

	1)	LAR loss
OR	2)	LAR tie + SEA win
OR	3)	LAR tie + SEA tie + SF tie
OR	4)	LAR tie + SF win
OR	5)	SEA win + SF win

SF is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:

	1)	SF loss + SEA win/tie
OR	2)	SF tie + SEA win

SF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

	1)	SF loss
OR	2)	SF tie + SEA win

CHI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

	1)	CHI loss
OR	2)	CHI tie + SEA win/tie

AFC Elimination Scenarios

BAL is eliminated from AFC North title contention AND playoff contention with:

PIT win/tie

BUF is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:

	1)	BUF loss + NE win/tie
OR	2)	BUF tie + NE win

BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

BUF loss/tie

NE is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

NE loss

JAX is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

JAX loss/tie

Updates from results in week 17

Clinches

CHI CHI has clinched the NFC North division title.

GB has clinched a playoff berth.

DEN DEN has clinched the AFC West division title.

HOU HOU has clinched a playoff berth.

Failures to Clinch

JAX JAX cannot clinch the AFC South division title this week.

Eliminations

DET DET has been eliminated from playoff contention.

GB has been knocked out of NFC North title contention.

IND IND has been eliminated from playoff contention.

HOU HOU has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

LAC LAC has been knocked out of AFC West title contention.

LAC LAC has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

Avoided Eliminations

HOU HOU cannot be knocked out of AFC South title contention this week.

Playoff status going into week 17

Division status

Already clinched division title:
PHI PHI

Can clinch division title this week:
SEA SEA, CHI CHI(clinched!), CAR CAR, DEN DEN(clinched!), NE, JAX JAX(did not clinch), PIT PIT

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
TB, GB(knocked out), LAR LAR, SF, BAL BAL, BUF BUF, HOU HOU(safe), LAC LAC(knocked out)

Already knocked out of division title contention:
NYG NYG, ARI ARI, WAS WAS, NO, ATL ATL, DAL DAL, MIN MIN, DET DET, LV, CLE CLE, TEN TEN, NYJ NYJ, CIN CIN, MIA MIA, KC, IND IND

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
SEA SEA, CHI CHI, LAR LAR, SF, PHI PHI, DEN DEN, NE, JAX JAX, LAC LAC, BUF BUF

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
CAR CAR, GB(clinched!), PIT PIT, HOU HOU(clinched!)

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
DET DET(eliminated), TB, BAL BAL, IND IND(eliminated)

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
NYG NYG, ARI ARI, WAS WAS, NO, ATL ATL, DAL DAL, MIN MIN, LV, CLE CLE, TEN TEN, NYJ NYJ, CIN CIN, MIA MIA, KC

Update 1 (Thurs.Early): Updated for DAL/WAS

Update 2 (Thurs.Late): Updated for MIN/DET - GB clinches playoff berth, DET eliminated from playoffs

Update 3 (TNF): Updated for DEN/KC - HOU cannot get the 1 seed

Update 4 (Sat.Afternoon): Updated for HOU/LAC - DEN clinches division, JAX doesn’t clinch division this week, HOU clinches playoff berth, IND eliminated from playoffs, HOU safe in division race, LAC knocked out of division race, LAC cannot get the 1 seed

Update 5 (Sat.Night): Updated for BAL/GB - CHI clinches division, GB knocked out of division race

1st Overall Pick Scenarios

NYG clinches the 1st overall draft pick with:

	1)	NYG loss + NYJ win/tie + CLE win/tie
OR	2)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI loss/tie
OR	3)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + 1.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND)

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