These are the scenarios for week 16, updated as they are calculated until the week 16 post is up.
Clinching Scenarios
NFC
 PHI clinches the NFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
PHI win/tie |
|
PHI clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
PHI win |
|
| OR | 2) |
PHI tie +
 MIN loss/tie |
 NYG clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
NYG win +
 WAS loss +
 DET loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYG win +
WAS loss +
 SEA loss |
| OR | 3) |
NYG win +
DET loss +
SEA loss |
AFC
 BUF clinches the AFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
BUF win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
 MIA loss/tie |
 CIN clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
CIN win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
 NYJ loss/tie |
 BAL clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
BAL win +
 NE loss/tie +
NYJ loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL win +
NE loss/tie +
MIA loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
BAL win +
NYJ loss/tie +
MIA loss/tie |
| OR | 4) |
BAL tie +
NE loss +
NYJ loss |
| OR | 5) |
BAL tie +
NE loss +
NYJ tie +
MIA loss |
| OR | 6) |
BAL tie +
NE loss +
NYJ tie +
 LAC win |
| OR | 7) |
BAL tie +
NE loss +
MIA loss +
LAC win |
| OR | 8) |
BAL tie +
NE tie +
NYJ loss +
MIA loss |
| OR | 9) |
BAL tie +
NE tie +
NYJ tie +
MIA loss +
LAC win |
| OR | 10) |
NYJ loss +
NE loss +
 CLE loss/tie +
 LV loss/tie +
LAC win +
 TEN loss/tie |
|
LAC clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
LAC win +
LV loss/tie +
NYJ loss +
NE loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAC win +
LV loss/tie +
NYJ loss +
NE tie +
MIA loss |
| OR | 3) |
LAC win +
LV loss/tie +
NYJ tie +
NE loss +
MIA loss |
Elimination Scenarios
NFC
 DAL is knocked out of NFC East title contention with: |
| 1) |
DAL loss/tie |
 NO is eliminated from NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NO loss +
 TB win |
 ATL is eliminated from NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
ATL loss +
TB win |
|
| OR | 2) |
ATL loss +
TB tie +
 CAR win |
| OR | 3) |
ATL loss +
TB tie +
CAR tie +
NO win |
| OR | 4) |
ATL loss +
CAR win +
NO win |
IF GB WINS ON WEEK 15 MNF:
 GB is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
GB loss +
WAS win |
IF GB TIES ON WEEK 15 MNF:
|
GB is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
GB loss +
WAS win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
GB loss +
SEA win |
| OR | 3) |
GB loss +
DET win |
| OR | 4) |
GB tie +
WAS win |
IF GB LOSES ON WEEK 15 MNF:
|
GB is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
GB loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
GB tie +
DET win |
| OR | 3) |
GB tie +
SEA win |
| OR | 4) |
GB tie +
WAS tie |
| OR | 5) |
WAS win |
If LAR LOSES/TIES on week 15 MNF, LAR is already eliminated from playoff contention
IF LAR WINS ON WEEK 15 MNF:
 LAR is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LAR loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAR tie +
DET win |
| OR | 3) |
LAR tie +
DET tie +
GB loss |
| OR | 4) |
LAR tie +
SEA tie |
| OR | 5) |
SEA win |
| OR | 6) |
WAS win/tie |
| OR | 7) |
DET win +
GB loss/tie |
AFC
|
MIA is knocked out of AFC East title contention with: |
| 1) |
MIA loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF win/tie |
 IND is eliminated from AFC South title contention AND playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
IND loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
TEN win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
 JAX win/tie |
|
NYJ is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NYJ loss +
LAC win +
MIA win +
NE win +
BAL win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYJ loss +
LAC win +
MIA win +
NE win +
CLE loss/tie |
 PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
PIT loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT tie +
LAC win/tie +
NE win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
PIT tie +
LAC win/tie +
NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
PIT tie +
LAC win/tie +
MIA tie |
| OR | 5) |
PIT tie +
LAC tie +
MIA win |
| OR | 6) |
LAC win +
MIA win |
| OR | 7) |
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NE win |
| OR | 8) |
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NYJ win |
| OR | 9) |
LAC win +
NE win +
NYJ win |
|
CLE is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
CLE loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
CLE tie +
LAC win/tie +
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
CLE tie +
LAC win/tie +
NE win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
CLE tie +
LAC win/tie +
NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
BAL win/tie +
LAC win +
MIA win |
| OR | 6) |
BAL win/tie +
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NE win |
| OR | 7) |
BAL win/tie +
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NYJ win |
| OR | 8) |
BAL win/tie +
LAC win +
NE win +
NYJ win |
|
LV is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LV loss +
LAC win/tie +
MIA win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
LV loss +
LAC win/tie +
NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
LV loss +
LAC win/tie +
NE win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
LV tie +
LAC win +
MIA win |
| OR | 5) |
LV tie +
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NE win |
| OR | 6) |
LV tie +
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NYJ win |
| OR | 7) |
LV tie +
LAC win +
NE win +
NYJ win |
Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post