Standings entering week 10

      NFC                                 AFC
1 SF (8-0) 1 NE (8-1)
2 NO (7-1) 2 BAL (6-2)
3 GB (7-2) 3 HOU (6-3)2
4 DAL (5-3) 4 KC (6-3)
5 SEA (7-2) 5 BUF (6-2)
6 MIN (6-3) 6 IND (5-3)
7 LAR (5-3)1 7 PIT (4-4)3
8 CAR (5-3) 8 OAK (4-4)
9 PHI (5-4) 9 JAX (4-5)4
10 DET (3-4-1) 10 TEN (4-5)5
11 ARI (3-5-1) 11 LAC (4-5)
12 CHI (3-5) 12 DEN (3-6)
13 TB (2-6) 13 CLE (2-6)
14 NYG (2-7) 14 MIA (1-7)6
15 ATL (1-7) 15 NYJ (1-7)
16 WAS (1-8) 16 CIN (0-8)

1 LAR wins the tiebreak over CAR on head-to-head.
2 HOU wins the tiebreak over KC on head-to-head.
3 PIT wins the tiebreak over OAK on conference record (4-2 vs 2-2)
4 JAX wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0). JAX wins the tiebreak over LAC on conference record (4-3 vs 2-4).
5 TEN wins the tiebreak over LAC on head-to-head.
6 MIA wins the tiebreak over NYJ on head-to-head (1-0).


Scenarios

NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NYJ loss

 

CIN is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) CIN loss

Possible Seeds

WAS has lost their ability to claim the 1 seed, but they still have the 2-6 seed available to them (as well as non-playoff seeds).

Outside of that, every other team can still get any seed. Even CIN MIA NYJ, and ATL can still get the 1 seed.


Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out.

If a team changed controlled seed, the controlled seed from last week will be indicated in parentheses after the team’s name.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
NO(2) SF NE BUF(5)

Teams that control the 2 seed:
BAL(3) HOU

Teams that control the 3 seed:
GB(2) SEA

Teams that control the 4 seed:
DAL CAR IND(2) KC OAK LAC

Teams that control the 5 seed:
MIN

Teams that control the 6 seed:
LAR(new)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
PHI NYG WAS CHI DET TB ATL ARI
NYJ MIA PIT CLE CIN JAX(4) TEN DEN


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post