Standings entering week 13

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 10-1 6-1  
2 MIN 9-2 6-2  
3 SF 7-4 6-2  
4 TB 5-6 5-2  
5 DAL 8-3 7-3  
6 NYG 7-4 3-4  
7 WAS 7-5 4-4  
8 SEA 6-5 4-4  
9 ATL 5-7 4-5  
10 DET 4-7 4-4  
11 GB 4-8 3-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). ARI drops out of the tiebreak with GB/CAR on Conference Record (3-6 vs 3-5). GB wins the tiebreak over CAR on Strength of Victory (22-23 vs 17-29).
12 ARI 4-8 3-6 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). ARI wins the tiebreak over CAR on Head-to-Head.
13 CAR 4-8 3-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
14 NO 4-8 3-5  
15 LAR 3-8 3-6  
16 CHIk 3-9 1-7  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 9-2 5-2  
2 MIA 8-3 6-2 MIA wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 TEN 7-4 5-3 BAL wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0). TEN wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (5-3 vs 4-3).
4 BAL 7-4 4-3 BAL wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
5 BUF 8-3 5-2  
6 CIN 7-4 4-3 CIN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head.
7 NYJ 7-4 5-4  
8 NE 6-5 5-2 NE wins the tiebreak over LAC on Conference Record (5-2 vs 4-3).
9 LAC 6-5 4-3  
10 IND 4-7-1 4-5-1  
11 JAX 4-7 4-4 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). JAX wins the tiebreak over LV/CLE on Conference Record (4-4 vs 3-5/2-6).
12 LV 4-7 3-5 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). LV wins the tiebreak over CLE on Conference Record (3-5 vs 2-6).
13 CLE 4-7 2-6 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
14 PIT 4-7 2-6  
15 DEN 3-8 2-6  
16 HOU 1-9-1 1-5-1  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 PHI 10-1 2-1  
2 DAL 8-3 3-1  
3 NYG 7-4 0-2  
4 WAS 7-5 1-2  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 MIN 9-2 3-0  
2 DET 4-7 2-1  
3 GB 4-8 1-2  
4 CHIk 3-9 0-3  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 TB 5-6 2-1  
2 ATL 5-7 1-3  
3 CAR 4-8 3-1 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 NO 4-8 1-2  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 SF 7-4 4-0  
2 SEA 6-5 2-1  
3 ARI 4-8 1-4  
4 LAR 3-8 1-3  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 MIA 8-3 2-1 MIA wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0).
2 BUF 8-3 0-2  
3 NYJ 7-4 2-2  
4 NE 6-5 2-1  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 BAL 7-4 2-0 BAL wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
2 CIN 7-4 1-3  
3 CLE 4-7 2-1 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 PIT 4-7 1-2  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 TEN 7-4 3-0  
2 IND 4-7-1 1-3-1  
3 JAX 4-7 1-2  
4 HOU 1-9-1 1-1-1  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 KC 9-2 3-0  
2 LAC 6-5 2-2  
3 LV 4-7 2-2  
4 DEN 3-8 0-3  

k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.


Clinching Scenarios

NFC

MIN clinches the NFC North division title with:
         1) MIN win + DET loss/tie
OR 2) MIN tie + DET loss

 

PHI clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) PHI win + WAS loss + SEA loss + SF loss/tie
OR 2) PHI win + WAS loss + SEA tie + SF loss
OR 3) PHI win + WAS tie + SEA loss + SF loss

 

AFC

No AFC clinching scenarios this week

 



Elimination Scenarios

NFC

DET is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) DET loss + MIN win/tie
OR 2) DET tie + MIN win

 

GB is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) GB loss/tie
OR 2) MIN win/tie

 

LAR is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) LAR loss + SF win/tie

 

CHI is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CHI loss + SEA win
OR 2) CHI loss + NYG/ WAS tie

 

AFC

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LV loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) LV loss + DEN loss/tie
OR 3) LV tie + KC win

 

DEN is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) DEN loss/tie
OR 2) KC win/tie

 

HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) HOU loss
OR 2) TEN win
OR 3) HOU tie + TEN tie

 

HOU is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) HOU loss
OR 2) HOU tie + TEN win/tie + NYJ win/tie + BAL win/tie + CIN win/tie
OR 3) HOU tie + TEN win/tie + NYJ win/tie + BAL win/tie + NE win/tie
OR 4) HOU tie + TEN win/tie + NYJ win/tie + NE win + PIT win + LV win
OR 5) TEN win + NYJ win + BAL win + CIN win
OR 6) TEN win + NYJ win + BAL win + CIN tie + NE win

 



Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

                 
PHI: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DAL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NYG: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
WAS: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
MIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DET: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
GB:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CHI:           6 7 E
                 
TB: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
ATL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CAR:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NO:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
SF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
SEA: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
ARI:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LAR:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
MIA: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
BUF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NYJ: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
BAL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CLE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
PIT: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
TEN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
IND: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
JAX: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
HOU:     3 4   6 7 E
                 
KC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LAC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LV: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DEN:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E


Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
PHI KC

Teams that control the 2 seed:
MIN BUF MIA(4)

Teams that control the 3 seed:
SF CIN(5)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB NYJ(5) BAL TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL

Teams that control the 6 seed:
NYG(1) WAS(7) NE(4)

Teams that control the 7 seed:
SEA(3) LAC

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
DET GB CHI ATL NO CAR ARI LAR
CLE PIT IND JAX HOU LV DEN


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post