- Standings entering week 18
- Standard-Style Clinching Scenarios
- Seed Possibilities
-
NFC Scenarios by seed -
AFC Scenarios by seed
NOTE 1: The KC scenarios in this post separate the bye week from home-field advantage because if KC & BUF both have the same result, then a KC/BUF AFC Championship Game will be played at a neutral site, and if KC & BUF both lose and CIN wins, then a KC/CIN AFC Championship Game will be played at a neutral site.
NOTE 2: Though this post doesn’t have any items about homefield for CIN/BAL, if BAL beats CIN & LAC wins, a coin flip will determine where the CIN/BAL wildcard matchup is played.
Standings entering week 18
|
NFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 PHIx |
13-3 | 8-3 | |
| 2 |
 SFxy |
12-4 | 9-2 | SF wins the tiebreak over MIN on Conference Record (9-2 vs 7-4). |
| 3 |
 MINxy |
12-4 | 7-4 | |
| 4 |
 TBxy |
8-8 | 8-3 | |
| 5 |
 DALx |
12-4 | 8-3 | |
| 6 |
 NYGkx |
9-6-1 | 4-6-1 | |
| 7 |
 SEAk |
8-8 | 5-6 | DET wins the tiebreak over GB on Head-to-Head (1-0). SEA wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head. |
| 8 |
 DETk |
8-8 | 6-5 | DET wins the tiebreak over GB on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 9 |
 GBk |
8-8 | 6-5 | |
| 10 |
 WASke |
7-8-1 | 4-6-1 | |
| 11 |
 NOke |
7-9 | 5-6 | |
| 12 |
 CARke |
6-10 | 5-6 | CAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Division Record (3-2 vs 1-4). |
| 13 |
 ATLke |
6-10 | 5-6 | |
| 14 |
 LARke |
5-11 | 3-8 | |
| 15 |
 ARIke |
4-12 | 3-8 | |
| 16 |
 CHIke |
3-13 | 1-10 | |
|
AFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 KCxy |
13-3 | 8-3 | |
| 2 |
 BUFxy |
12-3 | 8-2 | |
| 3 |
 CINxy |
11-4 | 7-3 | |
| 4 |
 JAX |
8-8 | 7-4 | |
| 5 |
 LACkx |
10-6 | 7-4 | LAC wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (7-4 vs 6-5). |
| 6 |
 BALkx |
10-6 | 6-5 | |
| 7 |
 NEk |
8-8 | 6-5 | NE wins the tiebreak over MIA on Division Record (3-2 vs 2-3). NE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head. |
| 8 |
 MIAk |
8-8 | 6-5 | MIA wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head. |
| 9 |
 PITk |
8-8 | 4-7 | |
| 10 |
 NYJke |
7-9 | 5-6 | CLE drops out of the tiebreak with NYJ/TEN on Conference Record (4-7 vs 5-6). NYJ wins the tiebreak over TEN on Common Games (3-3 vs 2-3). |
| 11 |
 TEN |
7-9 | 5-6 | TEN wins the tiebreak over CLE on Conference Record (5-6 vs 4-7). |
| 12 |
 CLEke |
7-9 | 4-7 | |
| 13 |
 LVke |
6-10 | 5-6 | |
| 14 |
 INDke |
4-11-1 | 4-6-1 | |
| 15 |
 DENke |
4-12 | 2-9 | |
| 16 |
 HOUke |
2-13-1 | 2-8-1 |
| NFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
PHIx |
13-3 | 3-2 | |
| 2 |
DALx |
12-4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 |
NYGkx |
9-6-1 | 1-3-1 | |
| 4 |
WASke |
7-8-1 | 1-3-1 | |
| NFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
MINxy |
12-4 | 3-2 | |
| 2 |
DETk |
8-8 | 4-1 | DET wins the tiebreak over GB on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 3 |
GBk |
8-8 | 3-2 | |
| 4 |
CHIke |
3-13 | 0-5 | |
| NFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
TBxy |
8-8 | 4-1 | |
| 2 |
NOke |
7-9 | 2-3 | |
| 3 |
CARke |
6-10 | 3-2 | CAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Division Record (3-2 vs 1-4). |
| 4 |
ATLke |
6-10 | 1-4 | |
| NFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
SFxy |
12-4 | 5-0 | |
| 2 |
SEAk |
8-8 | 3-2 | |
| 3 |
LARke |
5-11 | 1-4 | |
| 4 |
ARIke |
4-12 | 1-4 | |
| AFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
BUFxy |
12-3 | 3-2 | |
| 2 |
NEk |
8-8 | 3-2 | NE wins the tiebreak over MIA on Division Record (3-2 vs 2-3). |
| 3 |
MIAk |
8-8 | 2-3 | |
| 4 |
NYJke |
7-9 | 2-3 | |
| AFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
CINxy |
11-4 | 2-3 | |
| 2 |
BALkx |
10-6 | 3-2 | |
| 3 |
PITk |
8-8 | 2-3 | |
| 4 |
CLEke |
7-9 | 3-2 | |
| AFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
JAX |
8-8 | 3-2 | |
| 2 |
TEN |
7-9 | 3-2 | |
| 3 |
INDke |
4-11-1 | 1-3-1 | |
| 4 |
HOUke |
2-13-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| AFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
KCxy |
13-3 | 5-0 | |
| 2 |
LACkx |
10-6 | 2-3 | |
| 3 |
LVke |
6-10 | 3-2 | |
| 4 |
DENke |
4-12 | 0-5 |
x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
y Team has clinched their division title.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
Standard-Style Clinching Scenarios
This is the standard style scenarios that just involve clinching a playoff berth/division without any concern for seed line. To see the correlated elimination scenarios, check out the elimination section under the seed-specific scenarios.
NFC
|
PHI clinches the NFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
PHI win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
DAL loss/tie |
|
PHI clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
PHI win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
DAL loss/tie +
SF loss/tie |
|
DAL clinches the NFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
DAL win +
PHI loss |
|
DAL clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
DAL win +
PHI loss +
SF loss/tie |
|
SF clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
SF win +
PHI loss |
|
SEA clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
SEA win +
GB loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
SEA tie +
DET tie +
WAS loss/tie |
|
DET clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
DET win +
SEA loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
DET tie +
SEA loss |
| OR | 3) |
DET tie +
SEA tie +
WAS win |
|
GB clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
GB win |
AFC
|
KC clinches a first-round bye with: |
| 1) |
KC win |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC tie +
BUF tie |
| OR | 3) |
BUF loss |
|
KC clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
KC win +
BUF loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC tie +
BUF loss |
|
BUF clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
BUF win +
KC loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF tie +
KC loss |
|
TEN clinches the AFC South division title with: |
| 1) |
TEN win |
|
JAX clinches the AFC South division title with: |
| 1) |
JAX win/tie |
|
JAX clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
MIA loss +
NE loss +
PIT loss |
|
NE clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
NE win |
|
| OR | 2) |
NE tie +
MIA loss/tie +
PIT loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA loss +
PIT loss +
JAX win/tie |
|
MIA clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
MIA win +
NE loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
NE loss +
PIT loss/tie |
|
PIT clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
PIT win +
MIA loss/tie +
NE loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT tie +
MIA loss +
NE loss |
Seed Possibilities
|
NFC |
|
|---|---|
| 1 |
PHI
SF
DAL |
| 2 |
SF
PHI
MIN
DAL |
| 3 |
MIN
SF |
| 4 |
TB |
| 5 |
DAL
PHI |
| 6 |
NYG |
| 7 |
SEA
DET
GB |
|
AFC |
|
|---|---|
| 1 |
KC
BUF |
| 2 |
BUF
KC
CIN |
| 3 |
CIN
BUF |
| 4 |
JAX
TEN |
| 5 |
LAC
BAL |
| 6 |
BAL
LAC |
| 7 |
NE
MIA
PIT
JAX |
NFC Scenarios by seed
See also: Ivan Urena’s tie-free NFC seeding chart or Jordan Anstey’s NFC chart with ties
1 seed
|
PHI obtains the 1 seed with: |
| 1) |
PHI win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
DAL loss/tie +
SF loss/tie |
|
SF obtains the 1 seed with: |
| 1) |
SF win +
PHI loss |
|
DAL obtains the 1 seed with: |
| 1) |
DAL win +
PHI loss +
SF loss/tie |
2 seed
|
SF obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
SF win +
PHI win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
SF tie +
MIN loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
SF loss +
MIN loss |
|
PHI obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
PHI loss +
DAL loss/tie +
SF win |
|
MIN obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
MIN win +
SF loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIN tie +
SF loss |
|
DAL obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
DAL win +
PHI loss +
SF win |
3 seed
|
MIN obtains the 3 seed with: |
| 1) |
MIN loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIN tie +
SF tie |
| OR | 3) |
SF win |
|
SF obtains the 3 seed with: |
| 1) |
SF loss +
MIN win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
SF tie +
MIN win |
4 seed
|
TB is locked into the 4 seed |
5 seed
|
DAL obtains the 5 seed with: |
| 1) |
DAL loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
PHI win/tie |
|
PHI obtains the 5 seed with: |
| 1) |
PHI loss +
DAL win |
6 seed
|
NYG is locked into the 6 seed |
7 seed
|
SEA obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
SEA win +
GB loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
SEA tie +
DET tie +
WAS loss/tie |
|
DET obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
DET win +
SEA loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
DET tie +
SEA loss |
| OR | 3) |
DET tie +
SEA tie +
WAS win |
|
GB obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
GB win |
Elimination
|
SEA is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
SEA loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
SEA tie +
DET win |
| OR | 3) |
SEA tie +
DET tie +
WAS win |
| OR | 4) |
GB win |
|
DET is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
DET loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
DET tie +
SEA tie +
WAS loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
SEA win |
|
GB is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
GB loss/tie |
AFC Scenarios by seed
1 seed
|
KC obtains the 1 seed with: |
| 1) |
KC win |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC tie +
BUF tie |
| OR | 3) |
BUF loss |
|
BUF obtains the 1 seed with: |
| 1) |
BUF win +
KC loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF tie +
KC loss |
2 seed
|
BUF obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
BUF loss +
CIN loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF tie +
KC win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
BUF win +
KC win |
|
KC obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
KC loss +
BUF win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC tie +
BUF win |
|
CIN obtains the 2 seed with: |
| 1) |
CIN win +
BUF loss |
3 seed
|
CIN obtains the 3 seed with: |
| 1) |
CIN loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF win/tie |
|
BUF obtains the 3 seed with: |
| 1) |
BUF loss +
CIN win |
4 seed
|
JAX obtains the 4 seed with: |
| 1) |
JAX win/tie |
|
TEN obtains the 4 seed with: |
| 1) |
TEN win |
5 seed
|
LAC obtains the 5 seed with: |
| 1) |
LAC win |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAC tie +
BAL tie |
| OR | 3) |
BAL loss |
|
BAL obtains the 5 seed with: |
| 1) |
BAL win +
LAC loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL tie +
LAC loss |
6 seed
|
BAL obtains the 6 seed with: |
| 1) |
BAL loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL tie +
LAC tie |
| OR | 3) |
LAC win |
|
LAC obtains the 6 seed with: |
| 1) |
LAC loss +
BAL win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAC tie +
BAL win |
7 seed
|
NE obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
NE win |
|
| OR | 2) |
NE tie +
MIA loss/tie +
PIT loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA loss +
PIT loss +
JAX win/tie |
|
MIA obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
MIA win +
NE loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
NE loss +
PIT loss/tie |
|
PIT obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
PIT win +
MIA loss/tie +
NE loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT tie +
MIA loss +
NE loss |
|
JAX obtains the 7 seed with: |
| 1) |
JAX loss +
MIA loss +
NE loss +
PIT loss |
Elimination
|
TEN is eliminated from AFC South title contention AND playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
TEN loss/tie |
|
JAX is knocked out of AFC South title contention with: |
| 1) |
JAX loss |
|
JAX is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
JAX loss +
MIA win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
JAX loss +
NE win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
JAX loss +
PIT win/tie |
|
NE is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NE loss +
MIA win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
NE loss +
JAX loss |
| OR | 3) |
NE loss +
PIT win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
NE tie +
MIA win |
| OR | 5) |
NE tie +
PIT win |
|
MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
MIA loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
NE tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA tie +
PIT win |
| OR | 4) |
NE win |
|
PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
PIT loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT tie +
MIA tie |
| OR | 3) |
PIT tie +
NE tie |
| OR | 4) |
MIA win |
| OR | 5) |
NE win |
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