The KC scenarios involving NYJ, CAR, NO, TB, HOU, GB, CHI, ARI, LV, BAL, and DEN are for making it impossible for PIT or BUF to use Strength of Victory or Strength of Schedule to get past KC in a 3-way PIT/BUF/KC tie.

Current Standings

      NFC                                 AFC
1 GB (12-3) 1 KC (14-1)
2 NO (11-4) 2 BUF (12-3)
3 SEA (11-4) 3 PIT (12-3)
4 WAS (6-9) 4 TEN (10-5)
5 TB (10-5) 5 MIA (10-5)
6 LAR (9-6) 6 BAL (10-5)
7 CHI (8-7) 7 CLE (10-5)
8 ARI (8-7) 8 IND (10-5)
9 DAL (6-9) 9 LV (7-8)
10 MIN (6-9) 10 NE (6-9)
11 SF (6-9) 11 LAC (6-9)
12 DET (5-10) 12 DEN (5-10)
13 NYG (5-10) 13 CIN (4-10-1)
14 CAR (5-10) 14 HOU (4-11)
15 PHI (4-10-1) 15 NYJ (2-13)
16 ATL (4-11) 16 JAX (1-14)

WAS wins the tiebreak over DAL on Head-to-Head.
NO wins the tiebreak over SEA on Conference Record.
CHI wins the tiebreak over ARI on Common Games.
DAL wins the tiebreak over MIN/SF on Head-to-Head Sweep.
MIN wins the tiebreak over SF on Common Games.
DET wins the tiebreak over NYG/CAR on Common Games.
NYG wins the tiebreak over CAR on Strength of Victory.
BAL wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head.
TEN wins the tiebreak over IND on Division Record.
BUF wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head.
MIA wins the tiebreak over BAL/IND on Conference Record.
BAL wins the tiebreak over IND on Head-to-Head.
CLE wins the tiebreak over IND on Head-to-Head.
NE wins the tiebreak over LAC on Head-to-Head.

Live Scenarios:

NFC Clinching Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

AFC Clinching Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

NFC Elimination Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

AFC Elimination Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

Updates from results in week 16

Clinches

NO has clinched the NFC South division title.

SEA has clinched the NFC West division title.

TB has clinched a playoff berth.

KC has clinched home-field advantage and a first round bye.

PIT has clinched the AFC North division title.

 

Failures to Clinch

GB cannot clinch a first round bye and home-field advantage this week.

WAS cannot clinch the NFC East division title this week.

WAS cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

LAR cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

ARI cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

TEN cannot clinch the AFC South division title this week.

TEN cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

IND cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

CLE cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

 

Eliminations

TB has been knocked out of NFC South title contention.

LAR has been knocked out of NFC West title contention.

PHI has been knocked out of NFC East title contention.

PHI has been eliminated from playoff contention.

MIN has been eliminated from playoff contention.

CLE has been knocked out of AFC North title contention.

LV has been eliminated from playoff contention.

 

Avoided Eliminations

NYG cannot be knocked out of NFC East title contention this week.

NYG cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

DAL cannot be knocked out of NFC East title contention this week.

DAL cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

CHI cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

IND cannot be knocked out of AFC South title contention this week.

 

Playoff status going into week 16

Division status

Already clinched division title:
GB, KC, BUF

Can clinch division title this week:
NO(clinched!), WAS(did not clinch), SEA(clinched!), PIT(clinched!), TEN(did not clinch)

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
TB(knocked out), LAR(knocked out), NYG(safe), DAL(safe), PHI(knocked out), CLE(knocked out), IND(safe)

Already knocked out of division title contention:
MIN, CHI, DET, ATL, CAR, ARI, SF, MIA, NE, NYJ, BAL, CIN, HOU, JAX, LV, DEN, LAC

 

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
GB, NO, SEA, KC, BUF, PIT

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
WAS(did not clinch), LAR(did not clinch), TB(clinched!), ARI(did not clinch), TEN(did not clinch), IND(did not clinch), CLE(did not clinch)

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
NYG(safe), DAL(safe), PHI(eliminated), CHI(safe), MIN(eliminated), LV(eliminated)

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
DET, ATL, CAR, SF, NE, NYJ, CIN, HOU, JAX, DEN, LAC

 

Update 1 (Friday): Updated for NO/MIN - NO clinches division, TB knocked out of division race, MIN eliminated from playoffs

Update 2 (Sat.Early): Updated for TB/DET - TB clinches playoff berth

Update 3 (Sat.Late): Updated for SF/ARI - ARI doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week, CHI safe from playoff elimination

Update 4 (Sat.Night): Updated for MIA/LV - LV eliminated from playoffs

Update 5 (3:56): Updated for KC/ATL - KC clinches home-field advantage

Update 6 (3:59): Updated for CHI/JAX

Update 7 (4:05): Updated for BAL/NYG - IND doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week

Update 8 (4:09): Updated for CIN/HOU

Update 9 (4:12): Updated for PIT/IND - PIT clinches division, CLE knocked out of division race

Update 10 (4:20): Updated for NYJ/CLE - CLE doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week

Update 11 (7:05): Updated for LAC/DEN

Update 12 (7:06): Updated for CAR/WAS - WAS doesn’t clinch division this week, WAS doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week

Update 13 (7:35): Updated for SEA/LAR - GB doesn’t clinch home-field advantage this week, SEA clinches division, LAR doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week, LAR knocked out of division race

Update 14 (7:42): Updated for DAL/PHI - NYG safe in division race, NYG safe from playoff elimination, DAL safe in division race, DAL safe from playoff elimination, PHI knocked out of division race, PHI eliminated from playoffs

Update 15 (SNF): Updated for GB/TEN - TEN doesn’t clinch division this week, TEN doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week, IND safe in division race

Update 16 (MNF): Updated for BUF/NE

Questions/comments? Head to the corresponding reddit post.