Standings entering week 11

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 8-1 5-1 PHI wins the tiebreak over MIN on Head-to-Head.
2 MIN 8-1 6-1  
3 SEA 6-4 4-4  
4 TB 5-5 5-2  
5 NYG 7-2 3-2  
6 DAL 6-3 5-3  
7 SF 5-4 4-2  
8 WAS 5-5 3-4  
9 GB 4-6 3-4 ARI drops out of the tiebreak with GB/ATL on Conference Record (3-5 vs 3-4). GB wins the tiebreak over ATL on Strength of Victory (19-19 vs 17-21).
10 ATL 4-6 3-4 ATL wins the tiebreak over ARI on Conference Record (3-4 vs 3-5).
11 ARI 4-6 3-5  
12 DET 3-6 3-4 DET wins the tiebreak over LAR on Conference Record (3-4 vs 3-5).
13 LAR 3-6 3-5  
14 CAR 3-7 3-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). CAR wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (3-5 vs 1-6).
15 NO 3-7 2-4 NO wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (2-4 vs 1-6).
16 CHI 3-7 1-6  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 7-2 4-2  
2 MIA 7-3 5-2  
3 TEN 6-3 5-2 TEN wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (5-2 vs 4-2).
4 BAL 6-3 4-2  
5 NYJ 6-3 5-3 NYJ wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0).
6 BUF 6-3 4-2  
7 NE 5-4 4-2 CIN drops out of the tiebreak with NE/LAC on Conference Record (2-3 vs 4-2). NE wins the tiebreak over LAC on Strength of Victory (19-26-1 vs 13-32-1).
8 LAC 5-4 4-2 LAC wins the tiebreak over CIN on Conference Record (4-2 vs 2-3).
9 CIN 5-4 2-3  
10 IND 4-5-1 4-4-1  
11 CLE 3-6 2-5 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). CLE wins the tiebreak over DEN on Strength of Victory (11-17 vs 9-18-1).
12 DEN 3-6 2-5 DEN wins the tiebreak over PIT on Conference Record (2-5 vs 1-5).
13 PIT 3-6 1-5  
14 JAX 3-7 3-4  
15 LV 2-7 2-5  
16 HOU 1-7-1 1-4-1  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 8-1 2-1  
2 NYG 7-2 0-1  
3 DAL 6-3 2-1  
4 WAS 5-5 1-2  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIN 8-1 3-0  
2 GB 4-6 1-2  
3 DET 3-6 2-1  
4 CHI 3-7 0-3  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TB 5-5 2-1  
2 ATL 4-6 1-3  
3 CAR 3-7 3-1 CAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 NO 3-7 1-2  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEA 6-4 2-1  
2 SF 5-4 3-0  
3 ARI 4-6 1-3  
4 LAR 3-6 1-3  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIA 7-3 2-1  
2 NYJ 6-3 2-1 NYJ wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 BUF 6-3 0-2  
4 NE 5-4 1-1  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 6-3 2-0  
2 CIN 5-4 0-3  
3 CLE 3-6 2-1 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 PIT 3-6 1-1  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TEN 6-3 3-0  
2 IND 4-5-1 1-3-1  
3 JAX 3-7 1-2  
4 HOU 1-7-1 1-1-1  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 7-2 2-0  
2 LAC 5-4 2-1  
3 DEN 3-6 0-2  
4 LV 2-7 1-2  

Scenarios

NFC Elimination Scenarios

CHI is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) CHI loss + MIN win

 

Possible Seeds

All seeds are still available to all teams. In fact, every team in the league could still get their conference’s 1 seed on record alone without even needing a tie.

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
PHI NYG KC

Teams that control the 2 seed:
MIN BUF

Teams that control the 3 seed:
SEA SF

Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB NYJ MIA NE BAL TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL

Teams that control the 6 seed:
CIN LAC

Teams that control the 7 seed:
WAS

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
GB DET CHI ATL CAR NO ARI LAR
CLE PIT IND JAX HOU DEN LV

Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post