Standings entering week 12

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 9-1 5-1  
2 MIN 8-2 6-2  
3 SF 6-4 5-2 SF wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 TB 5-5 5-2  
5 DAL 7-3 6-3 DAL wins the tiebreak over NYG on Head-to-Head (1-0).
6 NYG 7-3 3-3  
7 SEA 6-4 4-4  
8 WAS 6-5 3-4  
9 ATL 5-6 4-4  
10 DET 4-6 4-4  
11 GB 4-7 3-4 ARI drops out of the tiebreak with GB/NO on Conference Record (3-6 vs 3-4). GB wins the tiebreak over NO on Strength of Victory (21-20 vs 17-24).
12 ARI 4-7 3-6 ARI wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head.
13 NO 4-7 3-4  
14 LAR 3-7 3-6  
15 CAR 3-8 3-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (3-5 vs 1-7).
16 CHI 3-8 1-7  

                                                                         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 8-2 5-2  
2 MIA 7-3 5-2 MIA wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0). BAL drops out of the tiebreak with MIA/TEN on Conference Record (4-2 vs 5-2). MIA wins the tiebreak over TEN on Strength of Victory (33-38 vs 25-46-3).
3 TEN 7-3 5-2 TEN wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (5-2 vs 4-2).
4 BAL 7-3 4-2  
5 BUF 7-3 5-2  
6 NE 6-4 5-2 NE wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head (2-0). NE wins the tiebreak over CIN on Conference Record (5-2 vs 3-3).
7 CIN 6-4 3-3 CIN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head.
8 NYJ 6-4 5-4  
9 LAC 5-5 4-3  
10 IND 4-6-1 4-4-1  
11 JAX 3-7 3-4 LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (2-0). CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). JAX wins the tiebreak over LV/CLE on Conference Record (3-4 vs 3-5/2-6).
12 LV 3-7 3-5 LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (2-0). CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). LV wins the tiebreak over CLE on Conference Record (3-5 vs 2-6).
13 CLE 3-7 2-6 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). CLE wins the tiebreak over DEN on Strength of Victory (12-19 vs 10-19-1).
14 DEN 3-7 2-6 DEN wins the tiebreak over PIT on Conference Record (2-6 vs 1-6).
15 PIT 3-7 1-6  
16 HOU 1-8-1 1-4-1  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 9-1 2-1  
2 DAL 7-3 2-1 DAL wins the tiebreak over NYG on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 NYG 7-3 0-1  
4 WAS 6-5 1-2  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIN 8-2 3-0  
2 DET 4-6 2-1  
3 GB 4-7 1-2  
4 CHI 3-8 0-3  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TB 5-5 2-1  
2 ATL 5-6 1-3  
3 NO 4-7 1-2  
4 CAR 3-8 3-1  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SF 6-4 4-0 SF wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (1-0).
2 SEA 6-4 2-1  
3 ARI 4-7 1-4  
4 LAR 3-7 1-3  

                                                                   
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIA 7-3 2-1 MIA wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head (1-0).
2 BUF 7-3 0-2  
3 NE 6-4 2-1 NE wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4 NYJ 6-4 2-2  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 7-3 2-0  
2 CIN 6-4 1-3  
3 CLE 3-7 2-1 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 PIT 3-7 1-2  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TEN 7-3 3-0  
2 IND 4-6-1 1-3-1  
3 JAX 3-7 1-2  
4 HOU 1-8-1 1-1-1  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 8-2 3-0  
2 LAC 5-5 2-2  
3 LV 3-7 2-2 LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4 DEN 3-7 0-3  

Elimination Scenarios

NFC

CHI is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) CHI loss
OR 2) CHI tie + MIN tie
OR 3) MIN win

AFC

HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) HOU loss + TEN win

 

Possible Seeds

The only team that cannot get the 1 seed at this point is CHI. Every other team (even HOU) can still get the 1 seed

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
PHI NYG KC

Teams that control the 2 seed:
MIN BUF

Teams that control the 3 seed:
SF SEA

Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB MIA NE BAL TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL NYJ(4) CIN(6)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
None!

Teams that control the 7 seed:
WAS LAC(6)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
DET GB CHI ATL NO CAR ARI LAR
CLE PIT IND JAX HOU LV DEN

Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post