Standings entering week 12
 NFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 ARI |
9-2 | 5-2 | |
| 2 |
 GB |
8-3 | 6-2 | |
| 3 |
 TB |
7-3 | 5-3 | TB wins the tiebreak over DAL on Head-to-Head. |
| 4 |
 DAL |
7-3 | 5-1 | |
| 5 |
 LAR |
7-3 | 5-2 | |
| 6 |
 MIN |
5-5 | 4-2 | MIN wins the tiebreak over NO/SF on Conference Record (4-2 vs 4-4/4-4). |
| 7 |
 NO |
5-5 | 4-4 | NO wins the tiebreak over SF on Strength of Victory (29-23 vs 17-33-1). |
| 8 |
 SF |
5-5 | 4-4 | |
| 9 |
 PHI |
5-6 | 4-3 | PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on Head-to-Head. |
| 10 |
 CAR |
5-6 | 3-5 | |
| 11 |
 WAS |
4-6 | 4-2 | WAS wins the tiebreak over ATL on Head-to-Head. |
| 12 |
 ATL |
4-6 | 2-5 | |
| 13 |
 NYG |
3-7 | 2-5 | NYG wins the tiebreak over CHI/SEA on Conference Record (2-5 vs 1-4/1-5). |
| 14 |
 CHI |
3-7 | 1-4 | CHI wins the tiebreak over SEA on Conference Record (1-4 vs 1-5). |
| 15 |
 SEA |
3-7 | 1-5 | |
| 16 |
 DETk |
0-9-1 | 0-6 | |
 AFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 TEN |
8-3 | 5-2 | |
| 2 |
 BAL |
7-3 | 4-3 | |
| 3 |
 NE |
7-4 | 5-1 | NE wins the tiebreak over KC on Conference Record (5-1 vs 2-4). |
| 4 |
 KC |
7-4 | 2-4 | |
| 5 |
 CIN |
6-4 | 4-2 | BUF drops out of the tiebreak with CIN/LAC on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-2). CIN wins the tiebreak over LAC on Common Games (4-1 vs 3-2). |
| 6 |
 LAC |
6-4 | 4-2 | LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (4-2 vs 5-4). |
| 7 |
 BUF |
6-4 | 5-4 | |
| 8 |
 PIT |
5-4-1 | 3-3 | |
| 9 |
 IND |
6-5 | 5-3 | IND wins the tiebreak over CLE on Conference Record (5-3 vs 3-4). |
| 10 |
 CLE |
6-5 | 3-4 | |
| 11 |
 LV |
5-5 | 4-3 | LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 12 |
 DEN |
5-5 | 2-4 | |
| 13 |
 MIA |
4-7 | 4-5 | |
| 14 |
 HOU |
2-8 | 2-5 | HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0). HOU wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Conference Record (2-5 vs 2-6). |
| 15 |
 JAX |
2-8 | 2-5 | JAX wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Conference Record (2-5 vs 2-6). |
| 16 |
 NYJ |
2-8 | 2-6 |
| NFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
DAL |
7-3 | 2-0 | |
| 2 |
PHI |
5-6 | 0-1 | |
| 3 |
WAS |
4-6 | 1-0 | |
| 4 |
NYG |
3-7 | 0-2 | |
| NFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
GB |
8-3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 |
MIN |
5-5 | 2-0 | |
| 3 |
CHI |
3-7 | 1-1 | |
| 4 |
DETk |
0-9-1 | 0-3 | |
| NFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
TB |
7-3 | 1-1 | |
| 2 |
NO |
5-5 | 1-2 | |
| 3 |
CAR |
5-6 | 2-0 | |
| 4 |
ATL |
4-6 | 1-2 | |
| NFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
ARI |
9-2 | 4-0 | |
| 2 |
LAR |
7-3 | 1-2 | |
| 3 |
SF |
5-5 | 1-3 | |
| 4 |
SEA |
3-7 | 1-2 | |
| AFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
NE |
7-4 | 2-1 | |
| 2 |
BUF |
6-4 | 3-0 | |
| 3 |
MIA |
4-7 | 2-2 | |
| 4 |
NYJ |
2-8 | 0-4 | |
| AFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
BAL |
7-3 | 0-1 | |
| 2 |
CIN |
6-4 | 2-1 | |
| 3 |
PIT |
5-4-1 | 1-1 | |
| 4 |
CLE |
6-5 | 1-1 | |
| AFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
TEN |
8-3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 |
IND |
6-5 | 2-2 | |
| 3 |
HOU |
2-8 | 2-1 | HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 4 |
JAX |
2-8 | 0-3 | |
| AFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
KC |
7-4 | 1-1 | |
| 2 |
LAC |
6-4 | 2-0 | |
| 3 |
LV |
5-5 | 1-2 | LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 4 |
DEN |
5-5 | 0-1 |
k: Team has been knocked out of division title contention
Scenarios
NFC Elimination Scenarios
|
DET is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
DET loss +
ATL win +
CAR win +
NO win +
WAS win +
PHI win |
|
| OR | 2) |
DET loss +
ATL win +
CAR win +
NO win +
WAS win +
MIN win |
| OR | 3) |
DET loss +
ATL win +
CAR win +
NO tie +
WAS win +
PHI win +
SF win |
| OR | 4) |
DET loss +
ATL win +
CAR tie +
NO win +
WAS win +
PHI win +
SF win |
| OR | 5) |
DET loss +
ATL tie +
CAR win +
NO win +
WAS win +
PHI win +
SF win |
AFC Elimination Scenarios
|
NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with: |
| 1) |
NYJ loss +
NE win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYJ loss +
BUF win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
NYJ tie +
NE win +
BUF win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
NYJ tie +
NE tie +
BUF win |
|
HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with: |
| 1) |
HOU loss +
TEN win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
HOU tie +
TEN win |
|
JAX is knocked out of AFC South title contention with: |
| 1) |
JAX loss +
TEN win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
JAX tie +
TEN win |
Possible Seeds
With the exception of DET, who has been eliminated from division title contention, all seeds are available to all other teams, even HOU, JAX, and NYJ, and DET can still get the 5 seed.
Fun possibilities:
Team Control
The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.
Teams that control the 1 seed:
ARI(2)
TEN
Teams that control the 2 seed:
DAL(1)
GB
NE(3)
BAL(3)
CIN(3)
Teams that control the 3 seed:
TB(4)
LAC(4)
Teams that control the 4 seed:
BUF(3)
PIT(3)
CLE(6)
KC
DEN
Teams that control the 5 seed:
LAR
Teams that control the 6 seed:
MIN(7)
Teams that control the 7 seed:
NO(4)
SF
IND
LV(4)
Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
PHI
WAS
NYG
CHI
DET
CAR(4)
ATL(7)
SEA
MIA
NYJ
HOU
JAX
Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post