Standings entering week 14

Bold indicates a clinched playoff berth. Italics indicate elimination from playoffs.

      NFC                                 AFC
1 NO (10-2)y 1 1 BAL (10-2)7
2 SEA (10-2)2 2 NE (10-2)
3 GB (9-3) 3 HOU (8-4)8
4 DAL (6-6) 4 KC (8-4)
5 SF (10-2) 5 BUF (9-3)
6 MIN (8-4) 6 PIT (7-5)9
7 LAR (7-5) 7 TEN (7-5)
8 CHI (6-6) 8 OAK (6-6)10
9 TB (5-7)k 3 9 IND (6-6)
10 PHI (5-7)4 10 CLE (5-7)k
11 CAR (5-7)k 11 JAX (4-8)k 11
12 DET (3-8-1)ke 5 12 DEN (4-8)12
13 ARI (3-8-1)ke 13 LAC (4-8)k 13
14 ATL (3-9)ke 6 14 NYJ (4-8)k
15 WAS (3-9) 15 MIA (3-9)ke
16 NYG (2-10)ke 16 CIN (1-11)ke

y Team has clinched division title
e Team is eliminated from playoff contention
k Team is knocked out of division title contention

1 SEA wins the tiebreak over SF on head-to-head (1-0). NO wins the tiebreak over SEA on head-to-head.
2 SEA wins the tiebreak over SF on head-to-head (1-0).
3 TB wins the tiebreak over CAR on division record (2-3 vs 1-3). TB wins the tiebreak over PHI on conference record (4-6 vs 3-5).
4 PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on conference record (4-6 vs 2-7).
5 DET wins the tiebreak over ARI on conference record (2-6-1 vs 2-7-1).
6 ATL wins the tiebreak over WAS on conference record (3-6 vs 2-6).
7 BAL wins the tiebreak over NE on head-to-head.
8 HOU wins the tiebreak over KC on head-to-head.
9 PIT wins the tiebreak over TEN on conference record (6-3 vs 5-4).
10 OAK wins the tiebreak over IND on head-to-head.
11 DEN wins the tiebreak over LAC on head-to-head (2-0). JAX wins the tiebreak over DEN/NYJ on head-to-head sweep.
12 DEN wins the tiebreak over LAC on head-to-head (2-0). DEN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on conference record (4-5 vs 1-7).
13 LAC wins the tiebreak over NYJ on conference record (2-7 vs 1-7).


Clinching Scenarios

NFC

SEA clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) SEA win/tie

 

SF clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) SF win + LAR loss/tie
OR 2) SF tie + LAR loss

 

AFC

NE clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) NE win
OR 2) NE tie + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) NE tie + IND loss/tie
OR 4) NE tie + PIT loss
OR 5) HOU loss + IND loss/tie + OAK/ TEN tie

 

BAL clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) BAL win
OR 2) BAL tie + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) BAL tie + TEN loss/tie
OR 4) IND loss/tie + HOU loss + OAK/ TEN tie

BAL clinches the AFC North division title with:
         1) BAL win + PIT loss/tie
OR 2) BAL tie + PIT loss

 

KC clinches the AFC West division title with:
         1) KC win + OAK loss

Elimination Scenarios

NFC

CHI is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) CHI loss + GB win/tie
OR 2) CHI loss + MIN win/tie
OR 3) CHI tie + GB win
OR 4) CHI tie + GB tie + MIN win

 

LAR is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) LAR loss/tie
OR 2) SF win

 

WAS is eliminated from NFC East title contention AND playoff contention with:
         1) WAS loss
OR 2) WAS tie + DAL tie
OR 3) WAS tie + PHI win
OR 4) DAL win
OR 5) DAL tie + PHI win

 

TB is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) TB loss + CHI win
OR 2) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + JAX loss + HOU loss
OR 3) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + JAX loss + NO win
OR 4) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + HOU loss + NO win
OR 5) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + JAX loss + HOU tie + NO tie
OR 6) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + JAX tie + HOU loss + NO tie
OR 7) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + CHI tie + JAX tie + HOU tie + NO win
OR 8) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + JAX loss + HOU loss + NO win/tie
OR 9) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + JAX loss + HOU tie + NO win
OR 10) TB loss + LAR win + CAR win + JAX tie + HOU loss + NO win
OR 11) TB loss + LAR win + CAR tie + CHI tie + JAX loss + HOU loss + NO win
OR 12) TB loss/tie + MIN tie
OR 13) MIN win

*The italicized portions (CAR/CHI/JAX/HOU/NO) are for LAR clinching Strength of Victory over TB

CAR is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CAR loss
OR 2) CAR tie + MIN tie
OR 3) MIN win

 

AFC

PIT is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) PIT loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) PIT tie + BAL win

 

IND is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) IND loss + HOU win
OR 2) IND loss + HOU tie + TEN win/tie
OR 3) IND tie + HOU win + TEN win

 

OAK is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) OAK loss + KC win

 

DEN is eliminated from AFC West title contention with:
         1) DEN loss/tie
OR 2) KC win/tie

 

DEN is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) DEN loss + PIT win/tie
OR 2) DEN loss + TEN win/tie
OR 3) DEN tie + TEN win
OR 4) DEN tie + PIT win

 

LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LAC loss
OR 2) LAC tie + PIT tie
OR 3) LAC tie + TEN win
OR 4) PIT win

 

JAX is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) JAX loss
OR 2) JAX tie + TEN tie
OR 3) JAX tie + PIT win
OR 4) TEN win

Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

DAL:     3 4   6 E    
PHI:     3 4   6 E    
WAS:       4     E   (knocked out of wildcard contention)
NYG:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
GB: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
MIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
CHI:     3 4 5 6 E    
DET:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
NO: 1 2 3           (clinched division title)
TB:           6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
CAR:           6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
ATL:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
SEA: 1 2 3   5 6 E    
SF: 1 2 3   5 6 E    
LAR: 1 2 3   5 6 E    
ARI:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
NE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
BUF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
NYJ:           6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
MIA:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
BAL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
PIT: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
CLE:         5 6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
CIN:             E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
                   
HOU: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
TEN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
IND:   2 3 4 5 6 E    
JAX:           6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
                   
KC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 E    
OAK:   2 3 4 5 6 E    
DEN:       4   6 E    
LAC:           6 E   (knocked out of division title contention)

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses

Teams that control the 1 seed:
NO SF BAL(2)

Teams that control the 2 seed:
SEA NE(1)

Teams that control the 3 seed:
GB HOU

Teams that control the 4 seed:
DAL PHI TEN KC

Teams that control the 5 seed:
BUF

Teams that control the 6 seed:
MIN(3) PIT(new)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
WAS NYG CHI DET TB CAR ATL LAR ARI
NYJ MIA CLE CIN IND JAX OAK(4) DEN LAC


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit posts:
NFC Picture
AFC Picture
Tie-Free Scenarios