Standings entering week 12

Italics indicate elimination from playoffs.

      NFC                                 AFC
1 NO (8-2) 1 PIT (10-0)
2 LAR (7-3)1 2 KC (9-1)
3 GB (7-3) 3 BUF (7-3)7
4 PHI (3-6-1) 4 IND (7-3)8
5 SEA (7-3) 5 TEN (7-3)9
6 TB (7-4) 6 CLE (7-3)
7 ARI (6-4) 7 LV (6-4)10
8 CHI (5-5) 8 BAL (6-4)11
9 MIN (4-6)2 9 MIA (6-4)
10 DET (4-6)3 10 DEN (4-6)12
11 SF (4-6) 11 NE (4-6)
12 CAR (4-7) 12 LAC (3-7)13
13 NYG (3-7)4 13 HOU (3-7)
14 WAS (3-7)5 14 CIN (2-7-1)k
15 DAL (3-7)6 15 JAX (1-9)k
16 ATL (3-7) 16 NYJ (0-10)ke

e Team is eliminated from playoff contention
k Team is knocked out of division title contention

1 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on head-to-head (1-0). LAR wins the tiebreak over GB on conference record (7-1 vs 5-2).
2 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on head-to-head (1-0). MIN wins the tiebreak over SF on conference record (3-4 vs 2-5).
3 DET wins the tiebreak over SF on conference record (3-5 vs 2-5).
4 NYG wins the tiebreak over WAS/DAL on record among tied teams (2-1 vs 1-2/1-1). NYG wins the tiebreak over ATL on conference record (3-6 vs 2-7).
5 WAS wins the tiebreak over DAL on head-to-head (1-0). WAS wins the tiebreak over ATL on conference record (2-5 vs 2-7).
6 DAL wins the tiebreak over ATL on head-to-head.
7 IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0). BUF wins the tiebreak over IND on conference record (5-2 vs 3-3).
8 IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0).
9 TEN wins the tiebreak over CLE on conference record (5-3 vs 4-3).
10 LV wins the tiebreak over BAL/MIA on conference record (4-3 vs 4-4/3-3).
11 BAL wins the tiebreak over MIA on strength of victory (25-33-2 vs 21-39).
12 DEN wins the tiebreak over NE on head-to-head.
13 LAC wins the tiebreak over HOU on conference record (3-4 vs 3-5).

Clinching Scenarios

PIT clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) PIT win + MIA loss + LV loss/tie
OR 2) PIT win + MIA tie + LV loss

Elimination Scenarios

CAR is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:
         1) CAR loss
OR 2) CAR tie + NO tie
OR 3) NO win

 

ATL is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:
         1) ATL loss + NO win/tie
OR 2) ATL tie + NO win

 

BAL is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) BAL loss

 

DEN is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) DEN loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) DEN tie + KC win

 

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LAC loss/tie
OR 2) KC win/tie

 

JAX is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) JAX loss
OR 2) JAX tie + MIA win/tie
OR 3) JAX tie + LV win/tie
OR 4) JAX tie + BAL win
OR 5) JAX tie + NE win + DEN win + LAC win
OR 6) IND/ TEN tie + BAL win/tie + BUF win/tie + MIA win/tie + LV win
OR 7) IND/ TEN tie + BAL win/tie + BUF win/tie + MIA win + LV tie

Possible Seeds

There are 27 teams that still could get every seed 1 through 7 or be eliminated. This is the status of the remaining 5 teams.

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

NYJ:               E   (eliminated from playoff contention)
CIN:         5 6 7 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
HOU:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E    
JAX:         5 6 7 E   (knocked out of division title contention)
LAC:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E    

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
NO(2) PIT

Teams that control the 2 seed:
SEA(3) LAR(3) KC

Teams that control the 3 seed:
GB(1) CHI(new)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
PHI DAL(new) BUF IND TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
ARI(3) CLE(6)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
TB(5) LV

Teams that control the 7 seed:
MIA(3) BAL(6)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
NYG WAS MIN DET CAR ATL SF
NE NYJ CIN HOU JAX DEN LAC

Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post