Standings entering week 13

Italics indicate elimination from playoffs.

      NFC                                 AFC
1 NO (9-2) 1 PIT (11-0)
2 SEA (8-3)1 2 KC (10-1)
3 GB (8-3) 3 TEN (8-3)7
4 NYG (4-7)2 4 BUF (8-3)
5 LAR (7-4) 5 CLE (8-3)
6 TB (7-5) 6 MIA (7-4)8
7 ARI (6-5) 7 IND (7-4)
8 MIN (5-6)3 8 LV (6-5)9
9 CHI (5-6)4 9 BAL (6-5)k
10 SF (5-6) 10 NE (5-6)
11 DET (4-7)5 11 DEN (4-7)k 10
12 WAS (4-7)6 12 HOU (4-7)
13 ATL (4-7) 13 LAC (3-8)k
14 CAR (4-8)k 14 CIN (2-8-1)k
15 PHI (3-7-1) 15 JAX (1-10)ke
16 DAL (3-8) 16 NYJ (0-11)ke

e Team is eliminated from playoff contention
k Team is knocked out of division title contention

1 SEA wins the tiebreak over GB on Strength of Victory (38-49-1 vs 37-51).
2 NYG wins the tiebreak over WAS on head-to-head (2-0).
3 MIN wins the tiebreak over CHI on head-to-head (1-0). MIN wins the tiebreak over SF on conference record (4-4 vs 3-5).
4 CHI wins the tiebreak over SF on conference record (5-4 vs 3-5).
5 DET wins the tiebreak over WAS/ATL on head-to-head sweep.
6 WAS wins the tiebreak over ATL on conference record (3-5 vs 2-7).
7 TEN wins the tiebreak over BUF on head-to-head.
8 MIA wins the tiebreak over IND on conference record (4-3 vs 3-4).
9 LV wins the tiebreak over BAL on conference record (4-3 vs 4-5).
10 DEN wins the tiebreak over HOU on conference record (4-4 vs 3-5).


Clinching Scenarios

NFC

NO clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) NO win + CHI loss/tie
OR 2) NO tie + MIN loss + CHI loss + SF loss/tie
OR 3) NO tie + MIN loss + CHI loss + ARI loss/tie

 

AFC

PIT clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) PIT win/tie
OR 2) LV loss/tie
OR 3) MIA loss/tie
OR 4) IND loss/tie

 

PIT clinches the AFC North division title with:
         1) PIT win + CLE loss + 4.5 or more wins from (MIA, LV, BAL, HOU, DEN)

*The italicized portion is for PIT clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over CLE

 

KC clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) KC win
OR 2) KC tie + BAL loss/tie + IND loss
OR 3) KC tie + BAL loss/tie + IND tie + MIA loss
OR 4) KC tie + LV tie + BAL loss/tie + IND tie
OR 5) KC tie + LV tie + BAL loss/tie + MIA loss
OR 6) KC tie + LV tie + IND loss/tie + MIA loss
OR 7) LV loss + BAL loss + IND loss

 

KC clinches the AFC West division title with:
         1) KC win + LV loss/tie
OR 2) KC tie + LV loss

Elimination Scenarios

NFC

ATL is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:
         1) ATL loss/tie

 

DET is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) DET loss
OR 2) DET tie + GB win/tie

 

AFC

CLE is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) CLE loss + PIT win + 4.5 or more wins from (MIA, LV, BAL, HOU, DEN)

*The italicized portion is for PIT clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over CLE

 

HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) HOU loss + TEN win/tie
OR 2) HOU tie + TEN win

 

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LV loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) LV tie + KC win

 

CIN is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CIN loss
OR 2) CIN tie + IND win/tie
OR 3) CIN tie + LV win/tie
OR 4) CIN tie + BAL win

 

LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LAC loss + IND win/tie
OR 2) LAC loss + LV win/tie + MIA win/tie
OR 3) LAC tie + IND win + MIA win
OR 4) LAC tie + LV win + IND win
OR 5) LAC tie + LV win + MIA win
OR 6) LAC tie + LV tie + MIA tie + IND win

Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

                 
NYG: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
WAS: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
PHI:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DAL:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
GB: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
MIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CHI: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DET: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
NO: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
TB: 1 2 3   5 6 7 E
ATL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CAR:         5 6 7 E
                 
SEA: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LAR: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
ARI: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
SF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
BUF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
MIA: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NE:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NYJ:               E
                 
PIT: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CLE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
BAL:         5 6 7 E
CIN:           6 7 E
                 
TEN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
IND: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
HOU:     3 4 5 6 7 E
JAX:               E
                 
KC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LV: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DEN:         5 6 7 E
LAC:         5 6 7 E

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
NO PIT

Teams that control the 2 seed:
SEA KC

Teams that control the 3 seed:
GB LAR(2)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
NYG(new) BUF TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
ARI CLE

Teams that control the 6 seed:
TB MIA(7) LV

Teams that control the 7 seed:
MIN(new) IND(4)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
WAS PHI(4) DAL(4) CHI(3) DET ATL CAR SF
NE NYJ BAL(7) CIN HOU JAX DEN LAC


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit posts:
NFC Picture
AFC Picture
Tie-Free Scenarios