Standings entering week 13

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 ARI 9-2 5-2  
2 GB 9-3 7-2  
3 TB 8-3 5-3  
4 DAL 7-4 5-1  
5 LAR 7-4 5-3  
6 SF 6-5 5-4  
7 WAS 5-6 5-2 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). WAS wins the tiebreak over MIN/ATL on Conference Record (5-2 vs 4-3/2-5).
8 MIN 5-6 4-3 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). MIN wins the tiebreak over ATL on Conference Record (4-3 vs 2-5).
9 ATL 5-6 2-5 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
10 NO 5-6 4-4  
11 PHI 5-7 4-4 PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on Head-to-Head.
12 CAR 5-7 3-5  
13 NYG 4-7 3-5 NYG wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (3-5 vs 2-4).
14 CHI 4-7 2-4  
15 SEA 3-8 1-6  
16 DETk 0-10-1 0-7  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 8-3 5-3  
2 NE 8-4 6-1 NE wins the tiebreak over TEN on Head-to-Head.
3 TEN 8-4 5-3  
4 KC 7-4 2-4  
5 CIN 7-4 5-2 CIN wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (5-2 vs 5-4).
6 BUF 7-4 5-4  
7 LAC 6-5 4-3 LAC wins the tiebreak over DEN/LV on Division Record (2-1 vs 1-1/1-2).
8 LV 6-5 4-3 LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
9 DEN 6-5 3-4  
10 IND 6-6 5-3 PIT wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head (1-0). IND wins the tiebreak over PIT on Conference Record (5-3 vs 3-4).
11 PIT 5-5-1 3-4 PIT wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head (1-0).
12 CLE 6-6 3-5  
13 MIA 5-7 4-5  
14 NYJ 3-8 3-6  
15 HOU 2-9 2-6 HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0).
16 JAX 2-9 2-5  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 DAL 7-4 2-0  
2 WAS 5-6 1-0  
3 PHI 5-7 0-2  
4 NYG 4-7 1-2  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 GB 9-3 2-1  
2 MIN 5-6 2-0  
3 CHI 4-7 2-1  
4 DETk 0-10-1 0-4  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 TB 8-3 1-1  
2 ATL 5-6 1-2 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 NO 5-6 1-2  
4 CAR 5-7 2-0  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 ARI 9-2 4-0  
2 LAR 7-4 1-2  
3 SF 6-5 1-3  
4 SEA 3-8 1-2  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 NE 8-4 2-1  
2 BUF 7-4 3-0  
3 MIA 5-7 2-2  
4 NYJ 3-8 0-4  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 BAL 8-3 1-1  
2 CIN 7-4 3-1  
3 PIT 5-5-1 1-2 PIT wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 CLE 6-6 1-2  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 TEN 8-4 3-1  
2 IND 6-6 2-2  
3 HOU 2-9 2-1 HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 JAX 2-9 0-3  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 KC 7-4 1-1  
2 LAC 6-5 2-1 LAC wins the tiebreak over DEN/LV on Division Record (2-1 vs 1-1/1-2).
3 LV 6-5 1-2 LV wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 DEN 6-5 1-1  

k: Team has been knocked out of division title contention


Scenarios

NFC Elimination Scenarios

SEA is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) SEA loss/tie
OR 2) ARI win/tie

 

DET is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) DET loss/tie
OR 2) SF win + ATL win + NO win
OR 3) SF win + CHI win
OR 4) SF win + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 5) SF win + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 6) SF win + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 7) SF win + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 8) SF win + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 9) SF win + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 10) SF win + NYG win + WAS win
OR 11) SF win + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 12) SF win + PHI tie + WAS win
OR 13) SF tie + ATL win + CHI win
OR 14) SF tie + ATL win + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 15) SF tie + ATL win + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 16) SF tie + ATL win + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 17) SF tie + ATL win + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 18) SF tie + ATL win + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 19) SF tie + ATL win + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 20) SF tie + ATL win + NYG win + WAS win
OR 21) SF tie + ATL win + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 22) SF tie + ATL win + PHI tie + WAS win
OR 23) SF tie + NO win + CHI win
OR 24) SF tie + NO win + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 25) SF tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 26) SF tie + NO win + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 27) SF tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 28) SF tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 29) SF tie + NO win + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 30) SF tie + NO win + NYG win + WAS win
OR 31) SF tie + NO win + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 32) SF tie + NO win + PHI tie + WAS win
OR 33) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI win
OR 34) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 35) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 36) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 37) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 38) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 39) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 40) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + NYG win + WAS win
OR 41) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 42) SF tie + ATL tie + NO tie + PHI tie + WAS win
OR 43) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI win
OR 44) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 45) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 46) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 47) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 48) ATL win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 49) ATL win + NO win/tie + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 50) ATL win + NO win/tie + NYG win + WAS win
OR 51) ATL win + NO win/tie + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 52) ATL win + NO win/tie + PHI tie + WAS win
OR 53) ATL tie + NO win + CHI win
OR 54) ATL tie + NO win + CHI tie + NYG win
OR 55) ATL tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI win
OR 56) ATL tie + NO win + CHI tie + WAS win
OR 57) ATL tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI tie + WAS tie
OR 58) ATL tie + NO win + CHI tie + PHI tie + NYG tie
OR 59) ATL tie + NO win + NYG win + PHI win/tie
OR 60) ATL tie + NO win + NYG win + WAS win
OR 61) ATL tie + NO win + PHI win + WAS win/tie
OR 62) ATL tie + NO win + PHI tie + WAS win

 

AFC Elimination Scenarios

NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NYJ loss/tie
OR 2) NE win

 

HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) HOU loss/tie

 

JAX is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) JAX loss/tie

 

HOU is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) HOU loss + BUF win/tie
OR 2) HOU loss + LV win/tie
OR 3) HOU loss + DEN win/tie
OR 4) HOU loss + LAC win/tie
OR 5) HOU loss + PIT win
OR 6) HOU tie + BUF win + CIN win + DEN win + LV tie
OR 7) HOU tie + BUF win + CIN win + DEN tie + LV win
OR 8) HOU tie + BUF win + DEN win + LV win

 

JAX is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) JAX loss + BUF win/tie + DEN win/tie
OR 2) JAX loss + BUF win/tie + LAC win/tie
OR 3) JAX loss + BUF win/tie + LV win/tie
OR 4) JAX loss + BUF win/tie + IND win/tie
OR 5) JAX loss + BUF win/tie + PIT win
OR 6) JAX loss + LAC win + PIT win + DEN win/tie + LV win/tie
OR 7) JAX loss + LAC win + PIT win + DEN win/tie + IND win/tie
OR 8) JAX loss + LAC tie + DEN win + IND win
OR 9) JAX loss + LAC tie + DEN win + IND tie + PIT win
OR 10) JAX loss + LAC tie + DEN win + LV win
OR 11) JAX loss + LAC tie + DEN win + LV tie + IND tie
OR 12) JAX loss + LAC tie + DEN win + LV tie + PIT win
OR 13) JAX tie + BUF win + DEN win + LV win + IND win
OR 14) JAX tie + BUF win + CIN win + DEN win + LV win
OR 15) JAX tie + BUF win + CIN win + DEN tie + LV win + IND win
OR 16) JAX tie + BUF win + CIN win + DEN win + LV tie + IND win

 


Possible Seeds

With the following exceptions, all seeds are available to all teams:

DET can no longer get seeds 1-5.
HOU can no longer get seeds 1 or 2.
JAX can no longer get seeds 1 or 2.

Fun possibilities:

SEA gets the 1 seed

NYJ gets the 1 seed


Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
ARI BAL(2)

Teams that control the 2 seed:
GB NE CIN

Teams that control the 3 seed:
TB BUF(4) TEN(1)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
DAL(2) WAS(new) KC DEN LAC(3)

Teams that control the 5 seed:
LAR SF(7)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
None!

Teams that control the 7 seed:
PIT(4) LV

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
PHI NYG MIN(6) CHI DET NO(7) CAR ATL SEA
MIA NYJ CLE(4) IND(7) HOU JAX


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post