Standings entering week 15

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHIx 12-1 7-1  
2 MIN 10-3 6-3  
3 SF 9-4 7-2  
4 TB 6-7 6-3  
5 DAL 10-3 7-3  
6 WASk 7-5-1 4-4-1 WAS wins the tiebreak over NYG on Division Record (1-2-1 vs 0-3-1).
7 NYGk 7-5-1 3-5-1  
8 SEA 7-6 5-5  
9 DET 6-7 5-4  
10 GBk 5-8 4-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Division Record (3-1 vs 1-3). GB wins the tiebreak over CAR on Strength of Victory (29-36 vs 25-40).
11 CAR 5-8 4-5 CAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Division Record (3-1 vs 1-3).
12 ATL 5-8 4-5  
13 ARIk 4-9 3-6 ARI wins the tiebreak over LAR on Common Games (3-4 vs 2-5). ARI wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head.
14 NO 4-9 3-6 NO wins the tiebreak over LAR on Head-to-Head.
15 LARk 4-9 3-7  
16 CHIke 3-10 1-8  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BUF 10-3 7-2 BUF wins the tiebreak over KC on Head-to-Head.
2 KC 10-3 6-3  
3 BAL 9-4 6-3 BAL wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 TEN 7-6 5-4  
5 CIN 9-4 6-3  
6 MIA 8-5 6-3  
7 NE 7-6 5-3 NE wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head (2-0). NE wins the tiebreak over LAC on Conference Record (5-3 vs 5-4).
8 LAC 7-6 5-4 LAC wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Conference Record (5-4 vs 5-5).
9 NYJ 7-6 5-5  
10 JAX 5-8 5-4 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). JAX wins the tiebreak over LV/CLE on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-5/3-7).
11 LVk 5-8 4-5 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0). LV wins the tiebreak over CLE on Conference Record (4-5 vs 3-7).
12 CLEk 5-8 3-7 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
13 PITk 5-8 2-7  
14 IND 4-8-1 4-5-1  
15 DENke 3-10 2-8  
16 HOUke 1-11-1 1-6-1  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHIx 12-1 3-1  
2 DAL 10-3 3-1  
3 WASk 7-5-1 1-2-1 WAS wins the tiebreak over NYG on Division Record (1-2-1 vs 0-3-1).
4 NYGk 7-5-1 0-3-1  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIN 10-3 3-1  
2 DET 6-7 3-1  
3 GBk 5-8 2-2  
4 CHIke 3-10 0-4  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TB 6-7 3-1  
2 CAR 5-8 3-1 CAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Division Record (3-1 vs 1-3).
3 ATL 5-8 1-3  
4 NO 4-9 1-3  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SF 9-4 4-0  
2 SEA 7-6 3-1  
3 ARIk 4-9 1-4 ARI wins the tiebreak over LAR on Common Games (3-4 vs 2-5).
4 LARk 4-9 1-4  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BUF 10-3 2-2  
2 MIA 8-5 2-1  
3 NE 7-6 2-2 NE wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4 NYJ 7-6 2-3  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 9-4 3-0 BAL wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
2 CIN 9-4 2-3  
3 CLEk 5-8 2-2 CLE wins the tiebreak over PIT on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 PITk 5-8 1-3  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TEN 7-6 3-1  
2 JAX 5-8 2-2  
3 IND 4-8-1 1-3-1  
4 HOUke 1-11-1 1-1-1  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 10-3 4-0  
2 LAC 7-6 2-3  
3 LVk 5-8 3-2  
4 DENke 3-10 0-4  

x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.

Clinching Scenarios

NFC

MIN clinches the NFC North division title with:
         1) MIN win/tie
OR 2) DET loss/tie

 

SF clinches the NFC West division title with:
         1) SF win

 

DAL clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) DAL win
OR 2) DAL tie + NYG loss
OR 3) DAL tie + WAS loss
OR 4) DAL tie + SEA loss/tie
OR 5) SEA loss + WAS loss
OR 6) SEA loss + DET loss/tie

 

AFC

KC clinches the AFC West division title with:
         1) KC win
OR 2) KC tie + LAC tie
OR 3) LAC loss

 

KC clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) KC tie + NYJ loss + NE loss
OR 2) KC tie + NYJ loss + NE tie + MIA loss
OR 3) KC tie + NYJ tie + NE loss + MIA loss

 

BUF clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) BUF win
OR 2) BUF tie + LAC loss
OR 3) BUF tie + NE loss + NYJ loss
OR 4) BUF tie + LAC tie + NE tie + NYJ loss

 

Elimination Scenarios

NFC

DET is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) MIN win/tie
OR 2) DET loss/tie

 

SEA is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) SEA loss

 

NO is knocked out of NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with:
         1) NO loss + TB win/tie
OR 2) NO loss + CAR win

 

ARI is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) ARI loss
OR 2) ARI tie + SEA win/tie
OR 3) ARI tie + NYG/ WAS tie
OR 4) SEA win + NYG win
OR 5) SEA win + WAS win

 

LAR is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LAR loss
OR 2) LAR tie + SEA win/tie
OR 3) LAR tie + NYG win/tie
OR 4) SEA win + WAS win
OR 5) SEA win + NYG win

 

AFC

NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NYJ loss + BUF tie
OR 2) BUF win

 

NE is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NE loss + BUF win/tie
OR 2) NE tie + BUF win

 

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LAC loss
OR 2) LAC tie + KC tie
OR 3) KC win

 

IND is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) IND loss + TEN win/tie
OR 2) IND tie + TEN win

 

IND is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) IND loss + TEN win/tie + NYJ win
OR 2) IND loss + TEN win/tie + NE win

 

PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) PIT loss + NE win
OR 2) PIT loss + NYJ win + LAC win/tie
OR 3) PIT loss + LAC win + LV tie

 

CLE is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CLE loss + LAC win
OR 2) CLE loss + NYJ win
OR 3) CLE loss + NE win

 

LV is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LV loss + MIA win/tie
OR 2) LV loss + NYJ win/tie

 

Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

                 
PHI: 1 2 3   5      
DAL: 1 2 3   5 6 7 E
WAS:         5 6 7 E
NYG:         5 6 7 E
                 
MIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
DET:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
GB:           6 7 E
CHI:               E
                 
TB:   2 3 4   6 7 E
CAR:     3 4   6 7 E
ATL:     3 4   6 7 E
NO:       4   6 7 E
                 
SF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
SEA:   2 3 4 5 6 7 E
ARI:           6 7 E
LAR:           6 7 E
                 
BUF: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
MIA: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NE: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
NYJ: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
                 
BAL: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CIN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
CLE:         5 6 7 E
PIT:         5 6 7 E
                 
TEN: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
JAX:       4 5 6 7 E
IND:       4   6 7 E
HOU:               E
                 
KC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LAC: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E
LV:         5 6 7 E
DEN:               E

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
PHI BUF

Teams that control the 2 seed:
MIN CIN KC

Teams that control the 3 seed:
SF BAL

Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB CAR(new) TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL

Teams that control the 6 seed:
WAS(7) NYG MIA(3)

Teams that control the 7 seed:
SEA

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
DET GB CHI ATL NO ARI LAR
NE NYJ(6) CLE PIT JAX IND HOU LAC LV DEN

Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post