These are the scenarios for week 17, updated as they are calculated until the week 17 post is up.
Please note that scenarios here should be considered a work-in-progress, and should not be considered official.
Clinching Scenarios
NFC
 PHI clinches the NFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
PHI win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
 DAL loss/tie |
|
PHI clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
PHI win |
|
| OR | 2) |
PHI tie +
 MIN loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
DAL loss/tie +
 SF loss/tie +
MIN loss |
 TB clinches the NFC South division title with: |
| 1) |
TB win |
 NYG clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
NYG win |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYG tie +
 SEA loss/tie +
 DET loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
NYG tie +
SEA loss/tie +
 WAS tie |
| OR | 4) |
NYG tie +
SEA tie +
WAS loss |
| OR | 5) |
NYG tie +
DET loss/tie +
 GB loss/tie +
WAS tie |
| OR | 6) |
NYG tie +
DET loss/tie +
GB tie +
WAS loss |
| OR | 7) |
NYG tie +
DET tie +
GB loss +
WAS loss |
| OR | 8) |
WAS loss +
DET loss +
GB loss |
| OR | 9) |
WAS loss +
SEA loss |
| OR | 10) |
SEA loss +
DET loss +
GB loss/tie |
|
WAS clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
WAS win +
SEA loss +
DET loss +
GB loss/tie |
AFC
 BUF clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
BUF win +
 KC loss |
 MIA clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
MIA win +
 NYJ loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
NYJ loss +
 PIT loss/tie |
 CIN clinches the AFC North division title with: |
| 1) |
CIN win +
 BAL loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
CIN tie +
BAL loss |
This scenario only applies if LAC loses to IND on week 16 MNF
 LAC clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
LAC win +
NYJ loss/tie +
PIT loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAC win +
 NE loss +
NYJ loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
LAC win +
NE loss +
PIT loss/tie |
| OR | 4) |
LAC win +
NE tie |
| OR | 5) |
LAC tie +
NE loss +
NYJ loss +
PIT loss/tie |
Elimination Scenarios
NFC
|
DAL is knocked out of NFC East title contention with: |
| 1) |
DAL loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
PHI win/tie |
 NO is knocked out of NFC South title contention with: |
| 1) |
NO loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NO tie +
TB tie |
| OR | 3) |
TB win |
|
NO is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NO loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NO tie +
TB tie +
WAS win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
NO tie +
TB win +
WAS tie |
| OR | 4) |
NO tie +
TB win/tie +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
NO tie +
TB win/tie +
DET win/tie |
| OR | 6) |
NO tie +
TB win/tie +
SEA win |
| OR | 7) |
TB win +
WAS win |
| OR | 8) |
TB win +
DET win +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 9) |
TB win +
DET tie +
GB win |
 CAR is eliminated from NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
CAR loss |
|
WAS is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
WAS loss +
DET win +
GB win |
|
DET is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
DET loss +
WAS win |
|
GB is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
GB loss +
DET win |
|
| OR | 2) |
GB loss +
WAS win |
| OR | 3) |
GB loss +
WAS tie +
SEA loss +
NO loss/tie |
| OR | 4) |
GB tie +
WAS win +
SEA loss |
|
SEA is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
SEA loss +
WAS win |
|
| OR | 2) |
SEA loss +
DET win +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
SEA loss +
DET tie +
GB win |
| OR | 4) |
SEA tie +
NYG win/tie +
WAS win +
DET win +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
SEA tie +
NYG win/tie +
WAS win +
DET tie +
GB win |
AFC
|
BAL is knocked out of AFC North title contention with: |
| 1) |
BAL loss +
CIN win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL tie +
CIN win |
The following scenarios only apply if LAC beats IND on week 16 MNF
|
NE is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NE loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NE tie +
NYJ win |
| OR | 3) |
NE tie +
NYJ loss |
|
NYJ is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NYJ loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYJ tie +
MIA win |
|
PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
PIT loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT tie +
NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
PIT tie +
MIA tie |
| OR | 4) |
MIA win |
| OR | 5) |
MIA tie +
NYJ win |
 LV is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LV loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
NYJ win/tie |
The following scenarios only apply if IND beats LAC on week 16 MNF
|
NE is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NE loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
NE tie +
LAC win +
NYJ win |
| OR | 3) |
NE tie +
LAC win +
NYJ loss |
|
NYJ is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NYJ loss +
LAC win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYJ tie +
MIA win +
LAC win |
|
PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
PIT loss +
LAC win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
PIT loss +
LV loss/tie |
| OR | 3) |
PIT loss +
NE win |
| OR | 4) |
PIT loss +
NYJ win |
| OR | 5) |
PIT loss +
 TEN win +
 JAX win |
| OR | 6) |
PIT tie +
LAC win/tie +
NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 7) |
PIT tie +
LAC win/tie +
MIA tie |
| OR | 8) |
PIT tie +
LAC tie +
MIA win |
| OR | 9) |
LAC win +
MIA win |
| OR | 10) |
LAC win +
MIA tie +
NYJ win |
|
LV is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LV loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
LAC win/tie +
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
LAC win/tie +
NYJ win/tie |
Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post