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Standings Entering Week 15

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SFx 10-3 8-1 DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-1). SF wins the tiebreak over DAL on Head-to-Head.
2 DAL 10-3 7-3 DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-1).
3 DET 9-4 6-3  
4 TB 6-7 5-4 NO drops out of the tiebreak with ATL/TB on Head-to-Head (0-2 vs 2-1). TB wins the tiebreak over ATL on Common Games (4-2 vs 3-3).
5 PHI 10-3 6-2  
6 MIN 7-6 6-3  
7 GB 6-7 4-4 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). ATL drops out of the tiebreak with GB/LAR on Conference Record (4-5 vs 4-4). GB wins the tiebreak over LAR on Head-to-Head.
8 LAR 6-7 4-4 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). LAR wins the tiebreak over ATL on Conference Record (4-4 vs 4-5).
9 SEAk 6-7 5-5 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). SEA wins the tiebreak over ATL on Conference Record (5-5 vs 4-5).
10 ATL 6-7 4-5 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
11 NO 6-7 3-5  
12 NYGk 5-8 4-4 NYG wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (4-4 vs 4-5).
13 CHIk 5-8 4-5  
14 WASk 4-9 2-7  
15 ARIk 3-10 2-6  
16 CARke 1-12 0-9  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 10-3 6-3  
2 MIA 9-4 6-3  
3 KC 8-5 6-2 KC wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head.
4 JAX 8-5 6-4  
5 CLE 8-5 6-3  
6 PIT 7-6 5-4 PIT wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0). IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0). BUF/DEN drops out of the tiebreak with PIT/IND on Conference Record (4-5/4-5 vs 5-4). PIT wins the tiebreak over IND on Common Games (5-4 vs 5-5).
7 IND 7-6 5-4 IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0). IND wins the tiebreak over BUF/DEN/CIN on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-5/4-5/3-6).
8 HOU 7-6 4-4 HOU wins the tiebreak over BUF/DEN/CIN on Conference Record (4-4 vs 4-5/4-5/3-6).
9 DEN 7-6 4-5 BUF drops out of the tiebreak with CIN/DEN on Head-to-Head Sweep. DEN wins the tiebreak over CIN on Conference Record (4-5 vs 3-6).
10 CIN 7-6 3-6 CIN wins the tiebreak over BUF on Head-to-Head.
11 BUF 7-6 4-5  
12 LAC 5-8 3-5 LAC wins the tiebreak over LV on Head-to-Head (1-0). LAC wins the tiebreak over NYJ/TEN on Conference Record (3-5 vs 3-6/3-6).
13 LV 5-8 3-5 LV wins the tiebreak over NYJ/TEN on Conference Record (3-5 vs 3-6/3-6).
14 NYJk 5-8 3-6 NYJ wins the tiebreak over TEN on Strength of Victory (36-29 vs 28-37).
15 TEN 5-8 3-6  
16 NEke 3-10 3-5  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DAL 10-3 4-1 DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-1).
2 PHI 10-3 3-1  
3 NYGk 5-8 2-2  
4 WASk 4-9 0-5  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DET 9-4 2-2  
2 MIN 7-6 2-1  
3 GB 6-7 2-2  
4 CHIk 5-8 2-3  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TB 6-7 3-1 NO drops out of the tiebreak with ATL/TB on Head-to-Head (0-2 vs 2-1). TB wins the tiebreak over ATL on Common Games (4-2 vs 3-3).
2 ATL 6-7 3-1 ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 NO 6-7 2-2  
4 CARke 1-12 0-4  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SFx 10-3 4-0  
2 LAR 6-7 4-1 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0).
3 SEAk 6-7 1-4  
4 ARIk 3-10 0-4  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 MIA 9-4 3-1  
2 BUF 7-6 2-2  
3 NYJk 5-8 1-3  
4 NEke 3-10 2-2  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 BAL 10-3 3-2  
2 CLE 8-5 3-2  
3 PIT 7-6 3-1 PIT wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 CIN 7-6 0-4  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 JAX 8-5 4-1  
2 IND 7-6 3-2 IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3 HOU 7-6 1-2  
4 TEN 5-8 0-3  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 KC 8-5 3-1  
2 DEN 7-6 2-2  
3 LAC 5-8 1-2 LAC wins the tiebreak over LV on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4 LV 5-8 1-2  

x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.

 

Clinching Scenarios Entering Week 15

NFC

PHI clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) PHI win/tie
OR 2) MIN loss/tie + ATL loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 3) MIN loss/tie + ATL loss/tie + SF win/tie + DET win
OR 4) MIN loss/tie + TB loss + LAR loss/tie
OR 5) MIN loss/tie + TB loss + SF win/tie + DET win
OR 6) GB loss + ATL loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 7) GB loss + ATL loss/tie + SF win/tie + DET win
OR 8) GB tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 9) GB tie + SF win/tie + DET win

 

DAL clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) DAL win/tie
OR 2) TB loss + DET win/tie + SF win/tie
OR 3) TB loss + DET win/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 4) TB loss + MIN loss/tie + DET win/tie
OR 5) TB loss + MIN loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 6) TB loss + MIN loss/tie + SEA loss/tie
OR 7) TB tie + DET win/tie
OR 8) TB tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 9) TB tie + SEA loss/tie
OR 10) ATL loss/tie + GB loss + DET win/tie
OR 11) ATL loss/tie + GB loss + LAR loss/tie
OR 12) ATL loss/tie + GB loss + SEA loss/tie
OR 13) ATL loss/tie + MIN loss/tie + DET win/tie
OR 14) ATL loss/tie + MIN loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 15) ATL loss/tie + MIN loss/tie + SEA loss/tie
OR 16) ATL loss/tie + DET win/tie + SF win/tie
OR 17) ATL loss/tie + DET win/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 18) SEA loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 19) SEA loss/tie + MIN loss + NYG win + NE win + CLE win + PIT win + TEN win + LAC win

The results in italics are for DAL clinching a tie in Strength of Victory vs ATL

 

DET clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) DET win + SEA loss/tie + GB loss/tie
OR 2) DET win + SEA loss/tie + MIN loss/tie
OR 3) DET win + SEA loss/tie + LAR loss/tie
OR 4) DET win + LAR loss/tie + ATL loss/tie + MIN loss/tie
OR 5) DET win + LAR loss/tie + TB loss + MIN loss/tie
OR 6) DET win + LAR loss/tie + GB loss + ATL loss/tie
OR 7) DET win + LAR loss/tie + GB tie
OR 8) DET tie + TB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss
OR 9) DET tie + ATL loss + SEA loss + LAR loss
OR 10) DET tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR loss
OR 11) DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + LAR loss
OR 12) DET tie + GB loss + SEA loss + ATL loss/tie
OR 13) DET tie + GB loss + LAR loss + ATL loss/tie + NO loss/tie
OR 14) DET tie + GB tie + MIN loss + LAR loss + ATL loss/tie
OR 15) DET tie + GB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + ATL loss/tie
OR 16) DET tie + GB tie + MIN loss + SEA loss + LAR tie

 

SF clinches the NFC West division title with:
         1) SF win/tie
OR 2) LAR loss/tie

 

 

AFC

BAL clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) BAL win + PIT loss/tie + BUF loss/tie
OR 2) BAL win + PIT loss/tie + DEN loss/tie
OR 3) BAL win + PIT tie + CLE loss/tie
OR 4) BAL win + PIT tie + HOU loss/tie
OR 5) BAL win + BUF loss/tie + DEN loss/tie
OR 6) BAL win + CLE loss/tie + BUF loss/tie
OR 7) BAL win + CLE loss/tie + DEN loss/tie
OR 8) BAL win + HOU loss/tie + BUF loss/tie
OR 9) BAL win + HOU loss/tie + DEN loss/tie
OR 10) BAL tie + DEN loss + BUF loss
OR 11) BAL tie + DEN loss + IND loss + HOU loss
OR 12) BAL tie + DEN loss + IND loss + HOU tie + CLE loss
OR 13) BAL tie + DEN loss + IND loss + CLE loss + BUF win + MIA win/tie
OR 14) BAL tie + DEN loss + PIT loss + HOU loss/tie + CIN loss/tie
OR 15) BAL tie + DEN loss + PIT loss + HOU loss/tie + CLE loss
OR 16) BAL tie + DEN loss + PIT loss + CIN loss/tie + CLE loss
OR 17) BAL tie + DEN loss + PIT loss + CIN loss/tie + BUF win + MIA win/tie
OR 18) BAL tie + DEN loss + PIT loss + CLE loss + BUF win + MIA win/tie
OR 19) BAL tie + BUF loss + IND loss + HOU loss
OR 20) BAL tie + BUF loss + IND loss + HOU tie + CLE loss
OR 21) BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + HOU loss/tie + CIN loss/tie
OR 22) BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + HOU loss/tie + CLE loss
OR 23) BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + HOU loss/tie + KC loss
OR 24) BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + CLE loss + CIN loss/tie
OR 25) BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + CLE loss + KC loss

 

Elimination Scenarios Entering Week 15

LAC & LV elimination scenarios are proving to be exceedingly challenging. It is possible that they will not be complete this week. Neither team can be eliminated prior to Sunday, but Thursday & Saturday’s games will have a substantial impact. If all else fails, the elimination scenarios will be calculated on Saturday for the needed team if an elimination scenario still exists for them. Note that neither can be eliminated with a win/tie, and they play each other on Thursday.

NFC

WAS is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) WAS loss
OR 2) WAS tie + MIN win/tie + CHI win + ATL win + GB win + NO win

 

ARI is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) ARI loss
OR 2) ARI tie + LAR win/tie
OR 3) ARI tie + GB win
OR 4) ARI tie + TB win
OR 5) ARI tie + ATL win/tie
OR 6) ARI tie + CHI win/tie
OR 7) ARI tie + SEA win
OR 8) ARI tie + NYG win
OR 9) LAR win + MIN win/tie
OR 10) LAR win + GB win/tie
OR 11) LAR win + NO win/tie + CHI win + ATL win/tie
OR 12) LAR win + NO win/tie + CHI tie + ATL win
OR 13) LAR tie + MIN win/tie + NYG win + TB win/tie + ATL win + CHI win/tie
OR 14) LAR tie + MIN win/tie + NO win/tie + GB win + ATL win + CHI win/tie
OR 15) LAR tie + MIN win/tie + NO win/tie + GB win + ATL tie + CHI win
OR 16) LAR tie + MIN win/tie + GB tie + ATL win + CHI win
OR 17) MIN win/tie + GB win + NO win + ATL win + CHI win/tie
OR 18) MIN win/tie + GB win + NO win + ATL tie + CHI win
OR 19) MIN win/tie + GB tie + NO win/tie + ATL win + CHI win

 

LAR is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) LAR loss/tie
OR 2) SF win/tie

 

LAR is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) LAR loss/tie
OR 2) PHI win/tie
OR 3) SF win/tie
OR 4) DAL win/tie
OR 5) DET win/tie
OR 6) MIN win

 

GB is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) GB loss
OR 2) GB tie + DET win
OR 3) GB tie + DET tie + MIN tie
OR 4) GB tie + MIN win
OR 5) DET win + MIN win

 

GB is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) GB loss/tie
OR 2) DAL win/tie
OR 3) PHI win/tie
OR 4) SF win/tie
OR 5) DET win/tie
OR 6) MIN win
OR 7) LAR loss/tie

 

MIN is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) MIN loss + PHI win/tie
OR 2) MIN loss + DAL win/tie
OR 3) MIN loss + SF win/tie
OR 4) MIN loss + DET win/tie
OR 5) MIN tie + PHI win
OR 6) MIN tie + SF win
OR 7) MIN tie + DAL win
OR 8) MIN tie + DAL tie + DET win

 

TB is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) TB loss/tie
OR 2) DAL win/tie
OR 3) PHI win/tie
OR 4) SF win/tie
OR 5) DET win/tie
OR 6) LAR loss/tie
OR 7) MIN loss + 1 or more combined wins from (NYG, CLE)
OR 8) MIN loss + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (ATL, BAL, HOU, IND)
OR 9) MIN loss + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + BAL win
OR 10) MIN loss + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + BAL tie + 0.5 combined wins from (ATL, HOU, IND)
OR 11) MIN loss + 2.5 or more combined wins from (ATL, BAL, HOU, IND)
OR 12) MIN loss + BAL win + 1 combined wins from (ATL, HOU, IND)
OR 13) MIN loss + BAL tie + 1.5 combined wins from (ATL, HOU)
OR 14) MIN tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (NYG, CLE)
OR 15) MIN tie + 1 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (ATL, BAL, HOU, IND)
OR 16) MIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + 2 or more combined wins from (ATL, BAL, HOU, IND)
OR 17) MIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + BAL win + 0.5 combined wins from (ATL, HOU, IND)
OR 18) MIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + BAL tie + IND tie + 0.5 combined wins from (ATL, HOU)
OR 19) MIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (NYG, CLE) + BAL tie + 1 combined wins from (ATL, HOU)
OR 20) MIN tie + 3 or more combined wins from (ATL, BAL, HOU, IND)
OR 21) MIN tie + BAL win + 1.5 combined wins from (ATL, HOU)
OR 22) MIN tie + BAL win + IND tie + 1 combined wins from (ATL, HOU)

The portions in italics are for LAR either clinching Strength of Victory over TB or clinching a tie in Strength of Victory and clinching Strength of Schedule

 

AFC

NYJ is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) NYJ loss + BUF win + IND win
OR 2) NYJ loss + BUF win + PIT win
OR 3) NYJ loss + BUF win + HOU win/tie
OR 4) NYJ loss + BUF win + CIN win/tie
OR 5) NYJ loss + BUF win + DEN win + LV win
OR 6) NYJ loss + BUF tie + DEN win + LAC win + IND win
OR 7) NYJ loss + BUF tie + DEN win + LAC win + PIT win
OR 8) NYJ loss + BUF tie + DEN win + LAC win + HOU win/tie
OR 9) NYJ loss + BUF tie + DEN win + LAC win + CIN win/tie
OR 10) NYJ loss + IND win + CIN win + HOU win/tie
OR 11) NYJ loss + CLE win/tie + IND win + CIN win
OR 12) NYJ loss + CLE win/tie + PIT win + HOU win
OR 13) NYJ loss + CLE win/tie + PIT win + HOU tie + DEN win + LV win
OR 14) NYJ loss + CLE win/tie + PIT tie + CIN win/tie + HOU win/tie
OR 15) NYJ loss + CLE win/tie + PIT tie + CIN win/tie + DEN win + LV win
OR 16) NYJ loss + PIT tie + CIN win/tie + HOU win/tie + DEN win + LV win

 

TEN is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) TEN loss
OR 2) TEN tie + JAX win

 

TEN is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) TEN loss + IND win
OR 2) TEN loss + PIT win
OR 3) TEN loss + CIN win/tie
OR 4) TEN loss + DEN win + LV win
OR 5) TEN loss + BUF win + DEN win + LAC win

 

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LV loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) LV loss + DEN win
OR 3) LV tie + KC win

 

LV is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LV loss + KC win/tie + An absurd set of permutations
OR 2) LV loss + DEN win + An absurd set of permuations

LV cannot be eliminated with a win/tie, and cannot be eliminated prior to Sunday. If an elimination scenario still exists for them after Saturday’s games, a complete elimination scenario for the remaining games will be calculated and put in the live post before Sunday’s games kick off.

 

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LAC loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) LAC loss + DEN win
OR 3) LAC tie + KC win

 

LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) LAC loss + KC win/tie + An absurd set of permutations
OR 2) LAC loss + DEN win + An absurd set of permuations

LAC cannot be eliminated with a win/tie, and cannot be eliminated prior to Sunday. If an elimination scenario still exists for them after Saturday’s games, a complete elimination scenario for the remaining games will be calculated and put in the live post before Sunday’s games kick off.

 

PIT is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) PIT loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) PIT tie + BAL win

 

PIT is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) PIT loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) PIT loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) PIT tie + BAL win
OR 4) PIT tie + BAL tie + MIA win

 

CIN is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) CIN loss
OR 2) CIN tie + BAL tie
OR 3) BAL win

 

CIN is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) CIN loss
OR 2) CIN tie + BAL win/tie
OR 3) CIN tie + MIA win
OR 4) CIN tie + MIA tie + BUF loss
OR 5) BAL win
OR 6) BAL tie + MIA win + BUF loss/tie

 

BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) BUF loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) BUF loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) BUF tie + BAL win
OR 4) BUF tie + BAL tie + MIA win

 

JAX is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) JAX loss + MIA win + BUF loss/tie
OR 2) JAX loss + PIT loss/tie + DEN loss/tie + BUF loss/tie

 

IND is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) IND loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) IND loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) IND tie + BAL win
OR 4) IND tie + BAL tie + MIA win

 

HOU is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) HOU loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) HOU loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) HOU tie + BAL win
OR 4) HOU tie + BAL tie + MIA win
OR 5) HOU tie + BAL tie + MIA tie + BUF loss + PIT loss
OR 6) HOU tie + BAL tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + CLE loss + DEN loss
OR 7) HOU tie + MIA win/tie + BUF loss + PIT loss + CLE loss + DEN loss
OR 8) BAL win + MIA win + BUF loss/tie + PIT loss/tie
OR 9) BAL win + BUF loss/tie + PIT loss/tie + CLE loss/tie + DEN loss/tie
OR 10) BAL tie + MIA win + BUF loss/tie + PIT loss/tie + CLE loss/tie + DEN loss/tie

 

DEN is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) DEN loss + BAL win/tie
OR 2) DEN loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) DEN tie + BAL win
OR 4) DEN tie + BAL tie + MIA win
OR 5) DEN tie + BAL tie + MIA tie + BUF loss
OR 6) BAL win + MIA win + BUF loss/tie

 

Possible and Simulated Seeds Entering Week 15

We’re trying something new this year. Now that we have some teams knocked out of some seedlines, rather than just list the possible seeds, we’re going to approximate the percentage of possible outcomes than result in each seed’s outcomes. Note that this is not a prediction. This is an estimate of the percentage of possible results that yield each seed. Since we only care about possibilities, we approximate this by running 1 million simulations with all 3 results being equally likely - home win, away win, and tie. If an entry is blank, that means the seed is not possible for that team. Also note that due to rounding, the numbers for a team may not add up to exactly 100%

NFC

Results from 1 million simulations with home win/away win/tie all equally likely

            1 seed         2 seed         3 seed         4 seed         5 seed         6 seed         7 seed     Miss Playoffs
SF 40% 47% 13%   <1% <1% <1%  
DAL 29% 21% 6% <1% 44% <1% <1% <1%
DET 5% 16% 67% <1% <1% 10% 1% <1%
TB <1% <1% <1% 37%   2% 7% 54%
PHI 26% 16% 3%   55% <1% <1% <1%
MIN <1% 1% 11% <1% <1% 51% 18% 19%
GB <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 15% 18% 67%
LAR <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 20% 71%
SEA         <1% 8% 18% 74%
ATL     <1% 34% <1% 1% 5% 60%
NO     <1% 29%   1% 5% 65%
NYG           1% 6% 93%
CHI           1% 3% 96%
WAS           <1% <1% >99%
ARI           <1% <1% >99%
CAR               100%

 

AFC

Results from 1 million simulations with home win/away win/tie all equally likely

            1 seed         2 seed         3 seed         4 seed         5 seed         6 seed         7 seed     Miss Playoffs
BAL 68% 19% 5% 1% 6% 1% <1% <1%
MIA 23% 39% 20% 9% 2% 3% 2% 2%
KC 3% 19% 31% 29% 2% 3% 4% 9%
JAX 4% 14% 26% 32% 2% 5% 6% 11%
CLE 3% 2% 1% <1% 49% 19% 11% 16%
PIT <1% <1% <1% <1% 12% 17% 15% 56%
IND <1% 2% 4% 7% 4% 12% 14% 58%
HOU <1% 1% 4% 6% 7% 11% 13% 58%
DEN <1% 1% 5% 11% 4% 8% 11% 60%
CIN <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 14% 13% 63%
BUF <1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 8% 11% 69%
LAC   <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
LV   <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
NYJ         <1% <1% <1% >99%
TEN   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
NE               100%

 

Seed Control Entering Week 15

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
SF(2) MIA BAL

Teams that control the 2 seed:
PHI(1)

Teams that control the 3 seed:
DET MIN(6) KC

Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB NO(E) JAX(3)

Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL CLE(6)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
None

Teams that control the 7 seed:
GB PIT(6) IND(6)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
NYG WAS CHI ATL(4) CAR LAR(7) SEA ARI
BUF NYJ NE CIN HOU(6) TEN DEN LAC LV

 

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