- We have a mailbag now!
- Standings Entering Week 16
- Clinching Scenarios Entering Week 16
- Elimination Scenarios Entering Week 16
- Possible and Simulated Seeds Entering Week 16
- Seed Control Entering Week 16
- Contact Us
We have a mailbag now!
Send a message here and we will have a Wednesday or Thursday post addressing a selection of them!
In this week’s mailbag, we cover the DAL & PHI Strength of Victory situation for the division title. We also break down some of the logic behind the CLE clinching scenarios, and more!
Standings Entering Week 16
 NFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 SFxy |
11-3 | 9-1 | |
| 2 |
 DALx |
10-4 | 7-3 | DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-1). DAL wins the tiebreak over DET on Conference Record (7-3 vs 6-3). |
| 3 |
 DET |
10-4 | 6-3 | |
| 4 |
 TB |
7-7 | 6-4 | TB wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 5 |
 PHIx |
10-4 | 6-3 | |
| 6 |
 MIN |
7-7 | 6-3 | LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). MIN wins the tiebreak over LAR/NO on Conference Record (6-3 vs 5-4/4-5). |
| 7 |
 LARk |
7-7 | 5-4 | LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). LAR wins the tiebreak over NO on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-5). |
| 8 |
 SEAk |
7-7 | 6-5 | SEA wins the tiebreak over NO on Conference Record (6-5 vs 4-5). |
| 9 |
 NO |
7-7 | 4-5 | |
| 10 |
 ATL |
6-8 | 4-6 | ATL wins the tiebreak over GB on Head-to-Head. |
| 11 |
 GBk |
6-8 | 4-5 | |
| 12 |
 NYGk |
5-9 | 4-5 | NYG wins the tiebreak over CHI on Common Games (3-2 vs 2-2). |
| 13 |
 CHIk |
5-9 | 4-5 | |
| 14 |
 WASke |
4-10 | 2-8 | |
| 15 |
 ARIke |
3-11 | 2-7 | |
| 16 |
 CARke |
2-12 | 1-9 | |
 AFC |
Record | Conf. Rec. | Explanation | |
| 1 |
 BALx |
11-3 | 7-3 | |
| 2 |
 MIA |
10-4 | 7-3 | |
| 3 |
 KC |
9-5 | 7-2 | |
| 4 |
 JAX |
8-6 | 6-5 | JAX wins the tiebreak over HOU/IND on Head-to-Head (3-1 vs 1-2/1-2). |
| 5 |
 CLE |
9-5 | 6-3 | |
| 6 |
 CINk |
8-6 | 3-6 | IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0). CIN wins the tiebreak over BUF/IND on Head-to-Head Sweep. |
| 7 |
 IND |
8-6 | 6-4 | IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0). IND wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (6-4 vs 4-5). |
| 8 |
 HOU |
8-6 | 5-4 | HOU wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-5). |
| 9 |
 BUF |
8-6 | 4-5 | |
| 10 |
 PITk |
7-7 | 5-5 | PIT wins the tiebreak over DEN on Conference Record (5-5 vs 4-5). |
| 11 |
 DEN |
7-7 | 4-5 | |
| 12 |
 LV |
6-8 | 4-5 | |
| 13 |
 LACk |
5-9 | 3-6 | LAC wins the tiebreak over NYJ/TEN on Conference Record (3-6 vs 3-7/3-7). |
| 14 |
 TENke |
5-9 | 3-7 | TEN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Common Games (3-1 vs 1-4). |
| 15 |
 NYJke |
5-9 | 3-7 | |
| 16 |
 NEke |
3-11 | 3-6 |
| NFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
DALx |
10-4 | 4-1 | DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-1). |
| 2 |
PHIx |
10-4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 |
NYGk |
5-9 | 2-2 | |
| 4 |
WASke |
4-10 | 0-5 | |
| NFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
DET |
10-4 | 2-2 | |
| 2 |
MIN |
7-7 | 2-1 | |
| 3 |
GBk |
6-8 | 2-2 | |
| 4 |
CHIk |
5-9 | 2-3 | |
| NFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
TB |
7-7 | 3-1 | TB wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 2 |
NO |
7-7 | 2-2 | |
| 3 |
ATL |
6-8 | 3-2 | |
| 4 |
CARke |
2-12 | 1-4 | |
| NFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
SFxy |
11-3 | 5-0 | |
| 2 |
LARk |
7-7 | 4-1 | LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0). |
| 3 |
SEAk |
7-7 | 1-4 | |
| 4 |
ARIke |
3-11 | 0-5 | |
| AFC | East | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
MIA |
10-4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 |
BUF |
8-6 | 2-2 | |
| 3 |
NYJke |
5-9 | 1-4 | |
| 4 |
NEke |
3-11 | 2-2 | |
| AFC | North | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
BALx |
11-3 | 3-2 | |
| 2 |
CLE |
9-5 | 3-2 | |
| 3 |
CINk |
8-6 | 0-4 | |
| 4 |
PITk |
7-7 | 3-1 | |
| AFC | South | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
JAX |
8-6 | 4-1 | JAX wins the tiebreak over HOU/IND on Head-to-Head (3-1 vs 1-2/1-2). |
| 2 |
IND |
8-6 | 3-2 | IND wins the tiebreak over HOU on Head-to-Head (1-0). |
| 3 |
HOU |
8-6 | 2-2 | |
| 4 |
TENke |
5-9 | 0-4 | |
| AFC | West | Record | Div. Rec. | Explanation |
| 1 |
KC |
9-5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 |
DEN |
7-7 | 2-2 | |
| 3 |
LV |
6-8 | 2-2 | |
| 4 |
LACk |
5-9 | 1-3 |
x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
y Team has clinched their division title.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
Clinching Scenarios Entering Week 16
NFC
|
SF clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with: |
| 1) |
SF win +
DAL loss +
PHI loss +
DET loss |
|
DET clinches the NFC North division title with: |
| 1) |
DET win/tie |
|
DET clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
LAR loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
SEA loss/tie |
AFC
|
BAL clinches the AFC North division title with: |
| 1) |
BAL win +
CLE loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL tie +
CLE loss |
|
KC clinches the AFC West division title with: |
| 1) |
KC win |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC tie +
DEN loss |
|
MIA clinches the AFC East division title with: |
| 1) |
MIA win +
BUF loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
BUF loss |
|
MIA clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
MIA win |
|
| OR | 2) |
MIA tie +
JAX loss |
| OR | 3) |
MIA tie +
CIN loss/tie +
IND loss/tie |
| OR | 4) |
MIA tie +
CIN loss/tie +
HOU loss/tie |
| OR | 5) |
MIA tie +
HOU loss +
IND loss |
| OR | 6) |
MIA tie +
CLE loss +
IND loss/tie |
|
CLE clinches a playoff berth with: |
| 1) |
CLE win +
DEN loss/tie +
IND loss/tie +
BUF loss +
MIA win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
CLE win +
PIT loss/tie +
DEN loss/tie +
IND win +
JAX loss |
| OR | 3) |
CLE win +
PIT loss/tie +
DEN loss/tie +
MIA win/tie +
BUF loss |
| OR | 4) |
CLE win +
PIT loss/tie +
DEN loss/tie +
MIA win/tie +
IND loss |
| OR | 5) |
CLE win +
PIT loss/tie +
DEN loss/tie +
MIA win/tie +
JAX loss |
| OR | 6) |
CLE win +
PIT loss +
BUF loss +
MIA win/tie +
IND win +
JAX loss |
| OR | 7) |
CLE win +
PIT loss +
BUF loss +
KC win +
IND win +
JAX loss |
| OR | 8) |
CLE win +
PIT tie +
BUF loss +
IND win +
JAX loss |
Elimination Scenarios Entering Week 16
NFC
|
CHI is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
CHI loss +
LAR win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
CHI loss +
SEA win/tie +
MIN win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
CHI loss +
SEA win/tie +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
CHI loss +
SEA win/tie +
TB win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
CHI loss +
TB win/tie +
MIN win/tie |
| OR | 6) |
CHI loss +
TB win/tie +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 7) |
CHI loss +
TB win/tie +
NYG win |
| OR | 8) |
CHI tie +
MIN win +
LAR win |
| OR | 9) |
CHI tie +
MIN win +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 10) |
CHI tie +
MIN win +
NO win +
TB win |
| OR | 11) |
CHI tie +
MIN win +
SEA win |
| OR | 12) |
CHI tie +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
LAR win |
| OR | 13) |
CHI tie +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 14) |
CHI tie +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
NO win +
TB win |
| OR | 15) |
CHI tie +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
SEA win |
| OR | 16) |
CHI tie +
GB win +
LAR win |
| OR | 17) |
CHI tie +
GB win +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 18) |
CHI tie +
GB win +
NO win +
TB win |
| OR | 19) |
CHI tie +
GB win +
SEA win |
| OR | 20) |
CHI tie +
SEA win +
LAR win |
| OR | 21) |
CHI tie +
SEA win +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 22) |
CHI tie +
SEA win +
NO win +
TB win |
|
NYG is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
NYG loss +
LAR win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
MIN win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
TB win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
ATL win +
CHI win/tie |
| OR | 6) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
ATL win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (NYJ, DEN, LV) |
| OR | 7) |
NYG loss +
SEA win/tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win |
| OR | 8) |
NYG loss +
SEA tie +
ATL tie +
CHI tie + NYJ win + DEN win |
| OR | 9) |
NYG loss +
SEA tie +
CHI win + NYJ win + DEN win |
| OR | 10) |
NYG loss +
TB win/tie +
MIN win/tie |
| OR | 11) |
NYG loss +
TB win/tie +
GB win/tie |
| OR | 12) |
NYG loss +
TB win/tie +
ATL win +
CHI win/tie |
| OR | 13) |
NYG loss +
TB win/tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win |
| OR | 14) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB win +
ATL win +
CHI tie |
| OR | 15) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB win +
ATL win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (NYJ, DEN, LV) |
| OR | 16) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB win +
ATL tie +
CHI win |
| OR | 17) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB win +
ATL tie +
CHI tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (NYJ, DEN, LV) |
| OR | 18) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB win +
CHI win + NYJ win |
| OR | 19) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
GB win +
CHI win + NYJ tie + DEN win/tie |
| OR | 20) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
GB win +
CHI win + NYJ tie + DEN win |
| OR | 21) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
GB tie +
CHI tie +
ATL win + NYJ win |
| OR | 22) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
GB tie +
CHI tie +
ATL win + NYJ tie + DEN win/tie |
| OR | 23) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
GB tie +
ATL win + NYJ win + DEN win/tie |
| OR | 24) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
CHI tie +
ATL win + NYJ tie + DEN win |
| OR | 25) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
ATL win + NYJ win + DEN win |
| OR | 26) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
GB tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win + NYJ win/tie |
| OR | 27) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
GB tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 28) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win + NYJ win |
| OR | 29) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
GB tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win + NYJ tie + DEN win |
| OR | 30) |
NYG loss +
MIN win/tie +
ATL win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (CHI, NYJ) |
| OR | 31) |
NYG loss +
MIN win +
ATL win + 1 combined wins from (CHI, NYJ) + DEN win/tie |
| OR | 32) |
NYG loss +
MIN tie +
ATL win + 1 combined wins from (CHI, NYJ) + DEN win |
| OR | 33) |
NYG loss +
GB win/tie +
CHI win +
ATL win |
| OR | 34) |
NYG loss +
GB win +
ATL win +
CHI loss + 2.5 or more combined wins from (NYJ, DEN, LV) |
| OR | 35) |
NYG loss +
GB tie +
ATL win +
CHI tie + NYJ win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DEN, LV) |
| OR | 36) |
NYG loss +
GB tie +
ATL tie +
CHI win + NYJ win + DEN win |
| OR | 37) |
NYG loss +
ATL win +
CHI win + NYJ win |
| OR | 38) |
NYG loss +
ATL win +
CHI win + NYJ tie + DEN win/tie |
| OR | 39) |
NYG tie +
LAR win +
SEA win |
| OR | 40) |
NYG tie +
LAR win +
MIN win |
| OR | 41) |
NYG tie +
LAR win +
GB win |
| OR | 42) |
NYG tie +
LAR win +
GB tie +
TB win +
ATL win +
CHI win |
| OR | 43) |
NYG tie +
NO win +
SEA win +
TB win |
| OR | 44) |
NYG tie +
NO win +
MIN win +
TB win |
| OR | 45) |
NYG tie +
NO win +
GB win +
TB win |
| OR | 46) |
NYG tie +
SEA win +
MIN win |
| OR | 47) |
NYG tie +
SEA win +
GB win |
| OR | 48) |
NYG tie +
SEA win +
GB tie +
TB win +
ATL tie +
CHI win |
| OR | 49) |
NYG tie +
SEA win +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 50) |
NYG tie +
MIN win +
TB win +
ATL win |
| OR | 51) |
NYG tie +
GB win +
TB win +
ATL win |
The portions of the scenarios in italics is for TB and/or CHI clinching Strength of Victory over NYG
|
MIN is knocked out of NFC North title contention with: |
| 1) |
MIN loss/tie |
|
ATL is knocked out of NFC South title contention with: |
| 1) |
ATL loss +
NO win |
|
| OR | 2) |
ATL loss +
NO tie +
TB win |
|
DAL is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
DAL loss +
SF win |
|
PHI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
PHI loss +
SF win |
|
DET is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
DET loss +
SF win |
AFC
|
LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with: |
| 1) |
LV loss/tie |
|
LV is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LV loss |
|
| OR | 2) |
LV tie +
CIN win +
BUF win |
| OR | 3) |
LV tie +
CIN win +
JAX win +
IND win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
LV tie +
CIN win +
JAX win +
HOU win/tie |
| OR | 5) |
LV tie +
CIN win +
IND win +
HOU win |
| OR | 6) |
LV tie +
BUF win +
JAX win +
IND win/tie |
| OR | 7) |
LV tie +
BUF win +
JAX win +
HOU win/tie |
| OR | 8) |
LV tie +
BUF win +
IND win +
HOU win |
| OR | 9) |
LV tie +
JAX win +
IND win +
HOU win |
|
LAC is eliminated from playoff contention with: |
| 1) |
LAC loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
JAX win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
CIN win/tie +
IND win/tie +
HOU win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
CIN win/tie +
IND win +
DEN win |
| OR | 5) |
CIN win/tie +
IND win +
DEN tie +
LV tie |
| OR | 6) |
CIN win +
IND win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 7) |
CIN win +
IND tie + 2 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 8) |
CIN win +
IND tie +
DEN win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 9) |
CIN win +
IND tie +
DEN tie +
LV tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 10) |
CIN tie +
IND win + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 11) |
CIN tie +
IND tie +
DEN win |
| OR | 12) |
CIN tie +
IND tie +
DEN tie +
LV tie |
| OR | 13) |
CIN tie +
IND tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 14) |
CIN win/tie +
HOU win/tie +
DEN win |
| OR | 15) |
CIN win/tie +
HOU win/tie +
DEN tie +
LV win/tie |
| OR | 16) |
CIN win +
HOU win + 2.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 17) |
CIN win +
HOU tie + 3 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 18) |
CIN tie +
HOU win + 2 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 19) |
CIN tie +
HOU tie + 2.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 20) |
CIN win/tie +
DEN win +
LV win/tie |
| OR | 21) |
CIN win/tie +
DEN tie +
LV win |
| OR | 22) |
CIN win +
DEN win + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 23) |
CIN tie +
DEN win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 24) |
CIN win +
DEN tie +
LV tie + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 25) |
CIN tie +
DEN tie +
LV tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 26) |
CIN win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 27) |
CIN tie + 3 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 28) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie +
LV tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, LAR, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 29) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie +
DEN tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, LAR, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 30) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie + LAR win |
| OR | 31) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie + NO tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 32) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie + NO win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 33) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU tie + NO win + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 34) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU tie + LAR win |
| OR | 35) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU tie + NO win |
| OR | 36) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 37) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win/tie +
LV win |
| OR | 38) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win +
LV tie + LAR win |
| OR | 39) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win +
LV tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 40) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win +
DEN tie + LAR win |
| OR | 41) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win +
DEN tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 42) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win + NO win |
| OR | 43) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win + NO tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 44) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win + NO tie + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 45) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
HOU win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 46) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU win/tie +
DEN tie |
| OR | 47) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU win/tie +
LV win/tie |
| OR | 48) |
PIT win +
IND win +
HOU win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, NO, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 49) |
PIT win +
IND win/tie +
DEN win |
| OR | 50) |
PIT win +
IND win/tie +
DEN tie +
LV win/tie |
| OR | 51) |
PIT win +
IND win +
CLE win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 52) |
PIT win +
IND tie +
CLE win + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 53) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win/tie +
LV win + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, LAR, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 54) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win +
LV tie + LAR win |
| OR | 55) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win +
LV tie + NO tie + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 56) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win +
LV tie + NO win + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 57) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win +
LV tie + NO win + 1 combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 58) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 59) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + NO tie + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 60) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + NO tie + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) + 0.5 combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 61) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + NO tie + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 62) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + NO win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 63) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN win + NO win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 64) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN tie +
LV tie + LAR win |
| OR | 65) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN tie +
LV tie + NO tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 66) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN tie +
LV tie + NO win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 67) |
PIT win +
HOU win +
DEN tie +
LV tie + NO win + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 68) |
PIT win +
HOU win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 69) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win/tie +
LV win |
| OR | 70) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win +
LV tie + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, LAR, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 71) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win + LAR win |
| OR | 72) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win + NO tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 73) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win + NO win + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 74) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win + NO win + 0.5 combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) + 0.5 combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 75) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN win + NO win + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, BAL) |
| OR | 76) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN tie +
LV tie + LAR win/tie |
| OR | 77) |
PIT win +
HOU tie +
DEN tie +
LV tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 78) |
PIT win +
HOU tie + 2 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 79) |
PIT win +
CLE win +
DEN win +
LV win/tie |
| OR | 80) |
PIT win +
CLE win +
DEN win + NO win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, GB, ARI, LAR, BAL, TEN) |
| OR | 81) |
PIT win +
CLE win +
DEN win + NO tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 82) |
PIT win +
CLE win +
DEN win + LAR win + 1 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, ARI, TEN) |
| OR | 83) |
PIT win +
CLE win +
DEN tie +
LV win |
| OR | 84) |
PIT win +
CLE win + 2.5 or more combined wins from (WAS, DET, NO, ARI, TEN) |
The portions of scenarios in italics are for PIT and/or JAX clinching Strength of Victory over LAC
|
DEN is knocked out of AFC West title contention with: |
| 1) |
DEN loss +
KC tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC win |
|
BUF is knocked out of AFC East title contention with: |
| 1) |
BUF loss +
MIA win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BUF tie +
MIA win |
|
BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
BUF loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
JAX loss/tie |
| OR | 5) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + 3 or more combined wins from (PHI, DET, ARI, LAR, DEN) |
| OR | 6) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN tie + 4 or more combined wins from (PHI, DET, ARI, LAR, DEN) |
| OR | 7) |
KC win +
CLE win + PHI win + DET win + ARI win + LAR win + DEN win |
| OR | 8) |
KC win + CIN win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DET, ARI, LAR, DEN) |
| OR | 9) |
KC win + CIN tie + 4.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DET, ARI, LAR, DEN) |
| OR | 10) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN win + 4.5 combined wins from (PHI, DET, ARI, LAR, DEN) |
| OR | 11) |
KC tie + CIN win + PHI win + DET win + ARI win + LAR win + DEN win |
| OR | 12) |
CLE win + CIN win + PHI win + DET win + ARI win + LAR win + DEN win |
The portions in italics are for BAL clinching a tie in Strength of Victory over BUF
|
CLE is knocked out of AFC North title contention with: |
| 1) |
CLE loss +
BAL win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
CLE tie +
BAL win |
|
CLE is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
CLE loss +
BAL win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
CLE loss +
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
CLE loss +
BUF loss/tie +
IND loss/tie |
| OR | 4) |
CLE tie +
BAL win |
| OR | 5) |
CLE tie +
BAL tie +
MIA win |
|
JAX is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
JAX loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
BUF loss/tie |
| OR | 5) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + 1 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 6) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 7) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 8) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + ATL win + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 9) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 10) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 11) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 12) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 13) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 14) |
KC win +
CLE win + CIN tie + 3 combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 15) |
KC win +
CLE win + SEA win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 16) |
KC win +
CLE win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 17) |
KC win +
CLE win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 18) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 19) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 20) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 21) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win + LAR tie + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 22) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win + 1.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 23) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + ATL win + GB tie + 1 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 24) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 25) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 26) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 27) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN win + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 28) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win |
| OR | 29) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 30) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 31) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 32) |
KC win +
CLE tie + CIN tie + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 33) |
KC win +
CLE tie + SEA win + LAR win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 34) |
KC win +
CLE tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 35) |
KC win +
CLE tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 36) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 37) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + LAR win + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 38) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 39) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + SEA tie + 1 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 40) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + LAR tie + 1 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 41) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + LAR tie + GB tie + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 42) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + GB win + 1.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) |
| OR | 43) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + GB win + 1 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 44) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + GB tie + DET win + ARI win |
| OR | 45) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + GB tie + 1.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 46) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL win + DET win + ARI win + 1 combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 47) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 48) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR win + GB tie + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 49) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR win + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 50) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR tie + SEA tie + 0.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 51) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 52) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR tie + GB win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 53) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR tie + GB tie + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 54) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + LAR tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 55) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + SEA tie + GB tie + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, ARI) + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 56) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + SEA tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 57) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + GB win + 1.5 combined wins from (DET, ARI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 58) |
KC win + CIN win + ATL tie + GB tie + DET win + ARI win + 1 or more combined wins from (PHI, DEN) |
| OR | 59) |
KC win + CIN win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 60) |
KC win + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 61) |
KC win + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 62) |
KC win + CIN win + DET win + GB win + ARI win |
| OR | 63) |
KC win + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 64) |
KC win + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 65) |
KC win + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 66) |
KC win + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 67) |
KC win + SEA win + LAR win + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 68) |
KC win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 69) |
KC win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 70) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 71) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 72) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 73) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN win + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 74) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win |
| OR | 75) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 76) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 77) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 78) |
KC tie +
CLE win + CIN tie + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 79) |
KC tie +
CLE win + SEA win + LAR win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 80) |
KC tie +
CLE win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 81) |
KC tie +
CLE win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 82) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 83) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 84) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 85) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 86) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 87) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 88) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 89) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 90) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + SEA win + LAR win + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 91) |
KC tie +
CLE tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 92) |
KC tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 93) |
KC tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 94) |
KC tie + CIN win + ATL win/tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 95) |
KC tie + CIN win + ATL win + LAR tie + DET win + ARI win + PHI win + DEN win |
| OR | 96) |
KC tie + CIN win + SEA win + LAR win |
| OR | 97) |
KC tie + CIN win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 98) |
KC tie + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 99) |
KC tie + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ARI win |
| OR | 100) |
KC tie + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 101) |
KC tie + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 102) |
KC tie + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 103) |
KC tie + SEA win + LAR win + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 104) |
KC tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 105) |
CLE win + CIN win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (SEA, LAR) |
| OR | 106) |
CLE win + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 107) |
CLE win + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 108) |
CLE win + CIN win + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 109) |
CLE win + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 110) |
CLE win + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 111) |
CLE win + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 112) |
CLE win + CIN tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 113) |
CLE win + SEA win + LAR win + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 114) |
CLE win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 115) |
CLE win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 116) |
CLE tie + CIN win + SEA win + LAR win |
| OR | 117) |
CLE tie + CIN win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 118) |
CLE tie + CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 119) |
CLE tie + CIN win + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 120) |
CLE tie + CIN win + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 121) |
CLE tie + CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 122) |
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 123) |
CLE tie + CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 124) |
CLE tie + SEA win + LAR win + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 125) |
CLE tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 126) | CIN win + ATL win/tie + SEA win + LAR win |
| OR | 127) | CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 128) | CIN win + ATL win/tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 129) | CIN win + ATL win/tie + 0.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ARI win |
| OR | 130) | CIN win + SEA win + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 131) | CIN win + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 132) | CIN win + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ARI) |
| OR | 133) | CIN tie + SEA win + LAR win + 2 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 134) | CIN tie + 1.5 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + 3 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
| OR | 135) | CIN tie + 1 combined wins from (SEA, LAR) + DET win + GB win + ATL win + ARI win |
| OR | 136) | SEA win + LAR win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DET, GB, ATL, ARI) |
The portion of scenarios in italics are for BAL clinching appropriate ties or wins in Strength of Victory & Strength of Schedule over JAX
|
IND is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
IND loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA win/tie |
|
HOU is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
HOU loss/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
BAL win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 4) |
BUF loss/tie |
|
KC is knocked out of 1 seed contention with: |
| 1) |
KC loss +
BAL win/tie |
|
| OR | 2) |
KC loss +
MIA win/tie |
| OR | 3) |
KC tie +
BAL win |
| OR | 4) |
KC tie +
BAL tie +
MIA win |
Possible and Simulated Seeds Entering Week 16
We’re trying something new this year. Now that we have some teams knocked out of some seedlines, rather than just list the possible seeds, we’re going to approximate the percentage of possible outcomes than result in each seed’s outcomes. Note that this is not a prediction. This is an estimate of the percentage of possible results that yield each seed. Since we only care about possibilities, we approximate this by running 1 million simulations with all 3 results being equally likely - home win, away win, and tie. If an entry is blank, that means the seed is not possible for that team. Also note that due to rounding, the numbers for a team may not add up to exactly 100%
NFC
Results from 1 million simulations with home win/away win/tie all equally likely
| 1 seed | 2 seed | 3 seed | 4 seed | 5 seed | 6 seed | 7 seed | Miss Playoffs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SF |
76% | 19% | 5% | |||||
|
DAL |
8% | 31% | 19% | <1% | 42% | <1% | ||
|
DET |
8% | 27% | 63% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
|
TB |
<1% | 53% | 4% | 8% | 34% | |||
|
PHI |
7% | 23% | 12% | 57% | <1% | <1% | ||
|
MIN |
1% | <1% | <1% | 37% | 23% | 39% | ||
|
LAR |
<1% | 27% | 25% | 48% | ||||
|
SEA |
<1% | 22% | 25% | 52% | ||||
|
NO |
<1% | 39% | 4% | 8% | 50% | |||
|
ATL |
8% | 1% | 3% | 89% | ||||
|
GB |
4% | 7% | 89% | |||||
|
NYG |
<1% | <1% | 99% | |||||
|
CHI |
<1% | <1% | >99% | |||||
|
WAS |
100% | |||||||
|
ARI |
100% | |||||||
|
CAR |
100% |
AFC
Results from 1 million simulations with home win/away win/tie all equally likely
| 1 seed | 2 seed | 3 seed | 4 seed | 5 seed | 6 seed | 7 seed | Miss Playoffs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BAL |
73% | 21% | 2% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | |
|
MIA |
24% | 50% | 17% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
KC |
2% | 21% | 53% | 21% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
|
JAX |
<1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 1% | 8% | 14% | 36% |
|
CLE |
1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 70% | 14% | 6% | 6% |
|
CIN |
12% | 27% | 18% | 43% | ||||
|
IND |
<1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 2% | 10% | 15% | 42% |
|
HOU |
<1% | 1% | 7% | 19% | 4% | 12% | 14% | 43% |
|
BUF |
<1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 55% |
|
PIT |
1% | 4% | 7% | 88% | ||||
|
DEN |
<1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 87% | |
|
LV |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
|
LAC |
<1% | <1% | >99% | |||||
|
TEN |
100% | |||||||
|
NYJ |
100% | |||||||
|
NE |
100% |
Seed Control Entering Week 16
The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.
Teams that control the 1 seed:
SF
MIA
BAL
Teams that control the 2 seed:
DET(3)
Teams that control the 3 seed:
KC
Teams that control the 4 seed:
TB
NO
JAX
Teams that control the 5 seed:
DAL
PHI(2)
CLE
Teams that control the 6 seed:
MIN(3)
Teams that control the 7 seed:
LAR(E)
IND
HOU(E)
Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
NYG
WAS
GB(7)
CHI
ATL
CAR
SEA
ARI
BUF
NYJ
NE
CIN
PIT(7)
TEN
DEN
LAC
LV
Contact Us
Mailbag | Twitter | BlueSky | reddit