NOTE: NO, WAS, ATL, and ARI (beyond division contention) can be knocked out of 1 seed contention this week. The scenarios have a lot of moving factors, making it difficult to and time-consuming to go through them comprehensively. Thus, due to time constraints in calculation and to prevent unreadability, we mostly only put simple tie-free pure-record 1 seed elimination scenarios for the teams in question. There are many subsets of these that will still eliminate, but this gives the readable high level view. However, we will be monitoring these games throughout Sunday and the site will reflect when the event has either happened or cannot happen.

NOTE 2: After some analysis, none of NO, WAS, ATL, and ARI can be knocked out of 1 seed contention by the early window on Sunday, so we should be able to do some extra and quicker analysis for those games knowing the results of the early window games. Thursday night had no bearing on any of these scenarios.


Live standings

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHI 8-2 7-1 PHI wins the tiebreak over LAR on Head-to-Head.
2 LAR 8-2 3-2  
3 CHI 7-3 5-2  
4 TB 6-4 4-2  
5 SEA 7-3 4-3  
6 GB 6-3-1 4-2-1  
7 SF 7-4 7-2  
8 DET 6-4 3-3  
9 CAR 6-5 4-2  
10 DAL 4-5-1 2-4-1  
11 MIN 4-6 2-3  
12 ARI 3-7 3-5 ARI wins the tiebreak over ATL on Conference Record (3-5 vs 2-4).
13 ATL 3-7 2-4  
14 WAS 3-8 1-6  
15 NO 2-8 2-6  
16 NYG 2-9 1-7  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DEN 9-2 6-2 DEN wins the tiebreak over NE on Conference Record (6-2 vs 5-2).
2 NE 9-2 5-2  
3 IND 8-2 6-1  
4 PIT 6-4 5-2  
5 LAC 7-4 6-2 LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (6-2 vs 4-3).
6 BUF 7-4 4-3  
7 JAX 6-4 4-2  
8 HOU 6-5 5-2  
9 KC 5-5 2-4 KC wins the tiebreak over BAL on Head-to-Head.
10 BAL 5-5 3-3  
11 MIA 4-7 2-6  
12 CIN 3-7 3-3  
13 LV 2-8 2-5 CLE drops out of the tiebreak with NYJ/LV on Conference Record (1-6 vs 2-5). LV wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Strength of Victory (10-11 vs 5-15).
14 NYJ 2-8 2-5 NYJ wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head.
15 CLE 2-8 1-6  
16 TENk 1-9 0-8  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 PHI 8-2 2-1  
2 DAL 4-5-1 2-1  
3 WAS 3-8 1-1  
4 NYG 2-9 1-3  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 CHI 7-3 1-2  
2 GB 6-3-1 1-0  
3 DET 6-4 1-2  
4 MIN 4-6 2-1  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 TB 6-4 2-0  
2 CAR 6-5 2-1  
3 ATL 3-7 0-3  
4 NO 2-8 1-1  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 LAR 8-2 2-1  
2 SEA 7-3 2-2  
3 SF 7-4 4-1  
4 ARI 3-7 0-4  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 NE 9-2 3-0  
2 BUF 7-4 2-2  
3 MIA 4-7 2-2  
4 NYJ 2-8 0-3  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 PIT 6-4 2-1  
2 BAL 5-5 2-0  
3 CIN 3-7 2-1  
4 CLE 2-8 0-4  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 IND 8-2 2-0  
2 JAX 6-4 1-1  
3 HOU 6-5 3-1  
4 TENk 1-9 0-4  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 DEN 9-2 2-1  
2 LAC 7-4 3-0  
3 KC 5-5 1-2  
4 LV 2-8 0-3  

k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: TEN


Posts from Week 12


Live Scenarios:

NFC Elimination Scenarios

NYG is knocked out of NFC East title contention with:
         1) NYG loss/tie
OR 2) PHI win/tie

 

NYG is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) NYG loss + SEA win/tie
OR 2) NYG loss + MIN win
OR 3) NYG loss + DAL win

 

ARI is knocked out of division title (and 1 seed) contention with:
         1) ARI loss + LAR win + SEA win
OR 2) ARI loss + LAR win + SEA tie + SF win
OR 3) ARI loss + LAR tie + SEA win + SF win

 

ARI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) ARI loss + LAR win + SEA win
OR 2) ARI loss + LAR win + SEA tie + SF win
OR 3) ARI loss + LAR win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 4) ARI loss + LAR win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 5) ARI loss + LAR tie + SEA win + SF win
OR 6) ARI loss + SEA win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 7) ARI loss + SEA win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 8) ARI loss + SF win + PHI win + CHI win
OR 9) ARI loss + PHI win + CHI win + GB win

 

WAS is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) LAR win + SEA win + SF win
OR 2) LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + CHI win + DET win
OR 3) LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 4) LAR win + SEA win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 5) LAR win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 6) LAR win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 7) SEA win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 8) SEA win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 9) SF win + PHI win + CHI win
OR 10) PHI win + CHI win + GB win

 

NO is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) NO loss/tie
OR 2) LAR win + SEA win + SF win
OR 3) LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + CHI win + DET win
OR 4) LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 5) LAR win + SEA win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 6) LAR win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 7) LAR win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 8) SEA win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 9) SEA win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 10) LAR tie + SEA win + SF win + PHI win
OR 11) LAR tie + SEA win + SF win + PHI tie + CHI win/tie
OR 12) LAR tie + SEA win + SF win + CHI win + DET win/tie
OR 13) LAR tie + SEA win + SF win + CHI win + GB win/tie
OR 14) SF win + PHI win + CHI win
OR 15) PHI win + CHI win + GB win

 

ATL is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) ATL loss + LAR win + SEA win + SF win
OR 2) ATL loss + LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + CHI win + DET win
OR 3) ATL loss + LAR win + SEA win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 4) ATL loss + LAR win + SEA win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 5) ATL loss + LAR win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 6) ATL loss + LAR win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 7) ATL loss + SEA win + SF win + PHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 8) ATL loss + SEA win + SF win + CHI win + DET win + GB win
OR 9) ATL loss + SF win + PHI win + CHI win
OR 10) ATL loss + PHI win + CHI win + GB win

 

AFC Elimination Scenarios

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LV loss/tie

 

LV is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) LV loss/tie
OR 2) NE win/tie
OR 3) IND win + JAX win/tie
OR 4) IND tie + JAX win

 

NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NYJ loss/tie
OR 2) NE win/tie

 

NYJ is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) NYJ loss/tie
OR 2) NE win/tie
OR 3) IND win + JAX win/tie
OR 4) IND tie + JAX win

 

CLE is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) CLE loss/tie
OR 2) NE win/tie
OR 3) IND win/tie
OR 4) JAX win/tie

 

CIN is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) CIN loss

 


Updates from results in week 12

Clinches

None yet

 

Failures to Clinch

None yet

 

Eliminations

None yet

 

Avoided Eliminations

None yet

 


Playoff status going into week 12

Division status

Already clinched division title:
None

Can clinch division title this week:
None

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
NYG, ARI, LV, NYJ

Already knocked out of division title contention:
TEN

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
None

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
None

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
NYG

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
None

 


Update 1 (11:26): Updated for HOU/BUF


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