NOTE: Because the MNF game has not yet been played, but it does impact scenarios, any scenarios involving ATL or LAR will have (W17) or (W18) beside them to indicate which week that team needs that result.

Standings entering Week 18 (Not including LAR/ATL week 17 result)

                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEAx 13-3 8-3  
2 CHIxy 11-5 7-4 CHI wins the tiebreak over PHI on Head-to-Head.
3 PHIxy 11-5 8-3  
4 CAR 8-8 6-5  
5 SFx 12-4 9-2  
6 LARkx 11-4 6-4  
7 GBkx 9-6-1 7-3-1  
8 MINke 8-8 6-5 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
9 DETke 8-8 5-6  
10 DALke 7-8-1 4-6-1  
11 TB 7-9 5-6  
12 ATLke 6-9 5-5  
13 NOke 6-10 4-7  
14 WASke 4-12 2-9  
15 ARIke 3-13 3-8 ARI wins the tiebreak over NYG on Conference Record (3-8 vs 1-10).
16 NYGke 3-13 1-10  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DENxy 13-3 8-3 DEN wins the tiebreak over NE on Common Games (6-0 vs 5-1).
2 NExy 13-3 8-3  
3 JAXx 12-4 9-2  
4 PIT 9-7 7-4  
5 HOUx 11-5 9-2 HOU wins the tiebreak over BUF/LAC on Head-to-Head Sweep.
6 LACkx 11-5 8-3 LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Common Games (5-1 vs 3-3).
7 BUFkx 11-5 8-3  
8 INDke 8-8 6-5 IND wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (6-5 vs 5-6).
9 BAL 8-8 5-6  
10 MIAke 7-9 3-8  
11 CINke 6-10 5-6 CIN wins the tiebreak over KC on Conference Record (5-6 vs 3-8).
12 KCke 6-10 3-8  
13 CLEke 4-12 3-8  
14 TENke 3-13 2-9 TEN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Common Games (1-4 vs 1-5).
15 NYJke 3-13 2-9  
16 LVke 2-14 2-9  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 PHIxy 11-5 3-2  
2 DALke 7-8-1 4-1  
3 WASke 4-12 2-3  
4 NYGke 3-13 1-4  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 CHIxy 11-5 2-3  
2 GBkx 9-6-1 4-1  
3 MINke 8-8 3-2 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4 DETke 8-8 1-4  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 CAR 8-8 3-2  
2 TB 7-9 2-3  
3 ATLke 6-9 2-3  
4 NOke 6-10 3-2  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 SEAx 13-3 3-2  
2 SFx 12-4 4-1  
3 LARkx 11-4 3-2  
4 ARIke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 NExy 13-3 4-1  
2 BUFkx 11-5 3-2  
3 MIAke 7-9 3-2  
4 NYJke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 PIT 9-7 3-2  
2 BAL 8-8 3-2  
3 CINke 6-10 3-2  
4 CLEke 4-12 1-4  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 JAXx 12-4 4-1  
2 HOUx 11-5 4-1  
3 INDke 8-8 2-3  
4 TENke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec  Explanation 
1 DENxy 13-3 4-1  
2 LACkx 11-5 5-0  
3 KCke 6-10 1-4  
4 LVke 2-14 0-5  

x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
y Team has clinched their division title.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, TB, DAL, DET, MIN, GB, LAR, CAR, PHI, CHI
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: LV, NYJ, TEN, CLE, KC, CIN, MIA, BAL, IND, BUF, LAC, HOU, PIT


Standard-Style Clinching Scenarios

This is the standard style scenarios that just involve clinching a playoff berth/division without any concern for seed line. To see the correlated elimination scenarios, check out the elimination section under the seed-specific scenarios.

NFC

SEA clinches the NFC West division title, a first-round bye, and home-field advantage with:
         1) SEA win/tie

 

SF clinches the NFC West division title, a first-round bye, and home-field advantage with:
         1) SF win

 

CAR clinches the NFC South division title with:
         1) CAR win/tie
OR 2) ATL win (W17) + ATL win (W18)

 

TB clinches the NFC South division title with:
         1) TB win + ATL loss/tie (W17)
OR 2) TB win + ATL loss/tie (W18)

 

AFC

DEN clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:
         1) DEN win
OR 2) DEN tie + NE loss/tie
OR 3) NE loss + JAX loss/tie

 

NE clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:
         1) NE win + DEN loss/tie
OR 2) NE tie + DEN loss

 

JAX clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:
         1) JAX win + DEN loss + NE loss

 

JAX clinches the AFC South division title with:
         1) JAX win/tie
OR 2) HOU loss/tie

 

HOU clinches the AFC South division title with:
         1) HOU win + JAX loss

 

PIT clinches the AFC North division title with:
         1) PIT win/tie

 

BAL clinches the AFC North division title with:
         1) BAL win

 


Seed Possibilities

      NFC
1 SEA SF
2 CHI PHI
3 PHI CHI
4 CAR TB
5 SF SEA LAR
6 LAR SEA SF
7 GB

      AFC
1 DEN NE JAX
2 NE DEN JAX
3 JAX DEN NE HOU
4 PIT BAL
5 HOU JAX LAC BUF
6 LAC JAX HOU BUF
7 BUF JAX HOU LAC

 


NFC Scenarios by seed

1 seed

SEA obtains the 1 seed with:
         1) SEA win/tie

SF obtains the 1 seed with:
         1) SF win

 

2 seed

CHI obtains the 2 seed with:
         1) CHI win
OR 2) CHI tie + PHI tie
OR 3) PHI loss

PHI obtains the 2 seed with:
         1) PHI win + CHI loss/tie
OR 2) PHI tie + CHI loss

 

3 seed

PHI obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) PHI tie + CHI tie
OR 2) PHI loss
OR 3) CHI win

CHI obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) CHI loss + PHI win/tie
OR 2) CHI tie + PHI win

 

4 seed

CAR obtains the 4 seed with:
         1) CAR win/tie
OR 2) ATL win (W17) + ATL win (W18)

TB obtains the 4 seed with:
         1) TB win + ATL loss/tie (W17)
OR 2) TB win + ATL loss/tie (W18)

 

5 seed

SF obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) SF tie + LAR loss/tie (W17)
OR 2) SF tie + LAR loss/tie (W18)
OR 3) SF loss + LAR loss (W18)
OR 4) SF loss + LAR loss/tie (W17) + LAR tie (W18)

SEA obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) SEA loss + LAR loss/tie (W17)
OR 2) SEA loss + LAR loss/tie (W18)

LAR obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) LAR win (W17) + LAR win (W18)
OR 2) LAR win (W17) + LAR tie (W18) + SF loss
OR 3) LAR win (W18) + SF loss

 

6 seed

LAR obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) LAR loss/tie (W17) + LAR tie (W18)
OR 2) LAR loss/tie (W17) + SF win/tie
OR 3) LAR loss (W18)
OR 4) LAR tie (W18) + SF win/tie

SEA obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) SEA loss + LAR win (W17) + LAR win (W18)

SF obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) SF loss + LAR win (W18)
OR 2) SF loss + LAR win (W17) + LAR tie (W18)
OR 3) SF tie + LAR win (W17) + LAR win (W18)

 

7 seed

GB is locked into the 7 seed

 

Elimination

CAR is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CAR loss + ATL loss/tie (W17)
OR 2) CAR loss + ATL loss/tie (W18)

TB is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) TB loss/tie
OR 2) ATL win (W17) + ATL win (W18)

 


AFC Scenarios by seed

1 seed

DEN obtains the 1 seed with:
         1) DEN win
OR 2) DEN tie + NE loss/tie
OR 3) NE loss + JAX loss/tie

NE obtains the 1 seed with:
         1) NE win + DEN loss/tie
OR 2) NE tie + DEN loss

JAX obtains the 1 seed with:
         1) JAX win + DEN loss + NE loss

 

2 seed

NE obtains the 2 seed with:
         1) NE win + DEN win
OR 2) NE tie + DEN win/tie
OR 3) NE loss + JAX loss/tie
OR 4) DEN win + JAX loss/tie

DEN obtains the 2 seed with:
         1) DEN tie + NE win
OR 2) DEN loss + NE win/tie + JAX loss/tie
OR 3) DEN loss + NE loss + JAX win

JAX obtains the 2 seed with:
         1) JAX win + DEN loss + NE win/tie
OR 2) JAX win + DEN win/tie + NE loss

 

3 seed

JAX obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) JAX win + DEN win/tie + NE win/tie
OR 2) JAX tie
OR 3) JAX loss + HOU loss/tie
OR 4) DEN win/tie + NE win/tie + HOU loss/tie

DEN obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) DEN loss + NE win/tie + JAX win

NE obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) NE loss + JAX win

HOU obtains the 3 seed with:
         1) HOU win + JAX loss

 

4 seed

PIT obtains the 4 seed with:
         1) PIT win/tie

BAL obtains the 4 seed with:
         1) BAL win

 

5 seed

HOU obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) HOU win + JAX win/tie
OR 2) HOU tie + LAC loss/tie + BUF loss/tie
OR 3) HOU loss + LAC loss + BUF loss
OR 4) JAX win/tie + LAC loss + BUF loss

JAX obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) JAX loss + HOU win + BUF loss/tie
OR 2) JAX loss + HOU win + LAC win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (NYG, WAS, GB, CAR, ARI, SF, NE, BAL)

The italicized portion of scenario 2 is for JAX clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over LAC.

LAC obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) LAC win + HOU loss/tie
OR 2) LAC win + JAX loss + BUF win + 5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, MIN, TB, SEA, LAR, MIA, PIT)
OR 3) LAC tie + HOU loss + BUF loss/tie

The italicized portion of scenario 2 is for LAC clinching Strength of Victory over JAX.

BUF obtains the 5 seed with:
         1) BUF win + LAC loss/tie + HOU loss/tie
OR 2) BUF win + LAC loss/tie + JAX loss
OR 3) BUF tie + LAC loss + HOU loss

 

6 seed

LAC obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) LAC win + HOU win + JAX win/tie
OR 2) LAC win + BUF win + HOU win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (NYG, WAS, GB, CAR, ARI, SF, NE, BAL)
OR 3) LAC win + BUF tie + HOU win
OR 4) LAC tie + BUF loss/tie + HOU win/tie
OR 5) LAC tie + BUF win + HOU loss
OR 6) LAC loss + BUF loss
OR 7) BUF loss + HOU win

The italicized portion of scenario 2 is for JAX clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over LAC.

JAX obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) JAX loss + HOU win + BUF win + LAC loss/tie

HOU obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) HOU tie + BUF loss/tie + LAC win
OR 2) HOU tie + BUF win + LAC loss/tie
OR 3) HOU loss + BUF loss + LAC win/tie
OR 4) HOU loss + BUF win/tie + LAC loss

BUF obtains the 6 seed with:
         1) BUF win + LAC loss/tie + HOU win + JAX win/tie
OR 2) BUF win + LAC win + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) BUF win + LAC win + JAX loss + 5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, MIN, TB, SEA, LAR, MIA, PIT)
OR 4) BUF tie + LAC loss + HOU win/tie
OR 5) BUF tie + LAC win/tie + HOU loss

The italicized portion of scenario 3 is for LAC clinching Strength of Victory over JAX.

 

7 seed

BUF obtains the 7 seed with:
         1) BUF loss
OR 2) BUF tie + LAC win/tie + HOU win/tie
OR 3) LAC win + HOU win + JAX win/tie
OR 4) LAC win + HOU win + 3.5 or more combined wins from (NYG, WAS, GB, CAR, ARI, SF, NE, BAL)

The italicized portion of scenario 4 is for JAX clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over LAC.

JAX obtains the 7 seed with:
         1) JAX loss + HOU win + LAC win + BUF win + 5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, MIN, TB, SEA, LAR, MIA, PIT)

The italicized portion of scenario 1 is for LAC clinching Strength of Victory over JAX.

HOU obtains the 7 seed with:
         1) HOU tie + LAC win + BUF win
OR 2) HOU loss + LAC win/tie + BUF win/tie

LAC obtains the 7 seed with:
         1) LAC loss + BUF win/tie
OR 2) LAC tie + HOU win/tie + BUF win

 

Elimination

PIT is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) PIT loss

BAL is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) BAL loss/tie

 

Draft top 10 (Prior to week 17 MNF)

                                                                                                                     
Pick Team Record Strength Of Schedule   Explanation  
1 LV 2-14 141-114-1 (.553)    
2 NYG 3-13 136-118-2 (.535)    
3 NYJ 3-13 137-117-1 (.539)    
4 TEN 3-13 144-111 (.565)    
5 ARI 3-13 144-108-2 (.571)    
6 WAS 4-12 125-127-3 (.496)    
7 CLE 4-12 127-128-1 (.498)    
8 NO 6-10 126-128 (.496)    
9 KC 6-10 136-119-1 (.533) KC wins the tiebreak over CIN on Conference Record (3-8 vs 5-6).  
10 CIN 6-10 136-119-1 (.533)    

Note that this will be affected by the MNF game, so it will be updated after the game.

 

First Overall Draft Pick Scenarios

LV clinches the first overall draft pick with:
         1) LV loss/tie
OR 2) 3 or more combined losses from (CHI, ATL, SEA, CLE)
OR 3) NYG tie
OR 4) NYG win + NYJ win/tie
OR 5) NYG win + 0.5 or more combined losses from (LAR (W17), CHI, NE, CLE, TEN, LAC)

The italicized portion of scenario 2 is for NYG clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over LV
The italicized portion of scenario 5 is for NYJ clinching Strength of Victory over LV

 

NYG clinches the first overall draft pick with:
         1) NYG loss + LV win + 1.5 or more combined losses from (DET, NO, SF, CIN)

The italicized portion of scenario 1 is for LV clinching Strength of Victory over NYG

 

NYJ clinches the first overall draft pick with:
         1) NYJ loss + LV win + ATL loss (W17) + DAL loss + DET loss + MIA loss + CIN loss + JAX loss + DEN loss

The italicized portion of scenario 1 is for LV clinching a tie in Strength of Victory with NYJ

 


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