NFL Playoff Scenarios

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Live 2025 Week 17 Playoff Picture

Dec 25, 2025 | Week 17, 2025 | NFL Playoff Scenarios

Live standings
Posts from Week 17
Live Scenarios:
Updates from results in week 17
Playoff status going into week 17
- Division status
- Playoff Status
1st Overall Pick Scenarios
Contact and Support Us

MERRY CHRISTMAS!


	NFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	SEA^x	12-3	7-3
2	CHI^x	11-4	7-3
3	PHI^xy	10-5	8-3
4	CAR	8-7	6-4
5	SF^x	11-4	8-2	SF wins the tiebreak over LAR on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-2).
6	LAR^x	11-4	6-4
7	GB^x	9-5-1	7-3-1
8	MIN^ke	8-8	6-5	MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
9	DET^ke	8-8	5-6
10	DAL^ke	7-8-1	4-6-1
11	TB	7-8	5-6
12	ATL^ke	6-9	5-5
13	NO^ke	5-10	4-7
14	WAS^ke	4-12	2-9
15	ARI^ke	3-12	3-8
16	NYG^ke	2-13	1-10

	AFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	DEN^x	13-3	8-3
2	NE^x	12-3	7-3
3	JAX^x	11-4	8-2
4	PIT	9-6	7-3
5	LAC^x	11-4	8-2	LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (8-2 vs 8-3).
6	BUF^x	11-4	8-3
7	HOU	10-5	8-2
8	IND^k	8-7	6-4
9	BAL	7-8	5-6
10	MIA^ke	6-9	3-8
11	KC^ke	6-10	3-8
12	CIN^ke	5-10	5-6
13	NYJ^ke	3-12	2-8	CLE drops out of the tiebreak with NYJ/TEN on Head-to-Head Sweep. NYJ wins the tiebreak over TEN on Conference Record (2-8 vs 2-9).
14	TEN^ke	3-12	2-9	TEN wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head.
15	CLE^ke	3-12	2-8
16	LV^ke	2-13	2-9


NFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	PHI^xy	10-5	3-2
2	DAL^ke	7-8-1	4-1
3	WAS^ke	4-12	2-3
4	NYG^ke	2-13	1-4

NFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	CHI^x	11-4	2-3
2	GB^x	9-5-1	4-1
3	MIN^ke	8-8	3-2	MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4	DET^ke	8-8	1-4

NFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	CAR	8-7	3-2
2	TB	7-8	2-3
3	ATL^ke	6-9	2-3
4	NO^ke	5-10	3-2

NFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	SEA^x	12-3	3-2
2	SF^x	11-4	4-1	SF wins the tiebreak over LAR on Division Record (4-1 vs 3-2).
3	LAR^x	11-4	3-2
4	ARI^ke	3-12	0-5

AFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	NE^x	12-3	3-1
2	BUF^x	11-4	3-2
3	MIA^ke	6-9	3-2
4	NYJ^ke	3-12	0-4

AFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	PIT	9-6	3-1
2	BAL	7-8	3-2
3	CIN^ke	5-10	3-2
4	CLE^ke	3-12	0-4

AFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	JAX^x	11-4	3-1
2	HOU	10-5	4-1
3	IND^k	8-7	2-2
4	TEN^ke	3-12	0-5

AFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	DEN^x	13-3	4-1
2	LAC^x	11-4	5-0
3	KC^ke	6-10	1-4
4	LV^ke	2-13	0-5

^x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
^y Team has clinched their division title.
^e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
^k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, TB, DAL, DET, MIN, GB, CAR, PHI
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: LV, CLE, TEN, NYJ, CIN, KC, MIA, BAL, IND, HOU, PIT

Posts from Week 17

- Playoff Picture Entering Week 17

- Notes on the Week 17 Playoff Picture

- Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs

Live Scenarios:

NFC Clinching Scenarios

SEA clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

SEA win +

LAR loss/tie +

SF tie

SEA clinches the NFC West division title with:

	1)	SEA win + LAR loss/tie + SF loss/tie
OR	2)	SEA tie + LAR loss + SF loss

CHI clinches the NFC North division title with:

	1)	CHI win
OR	2)	CHI tie + GB tie
OR	3)	GB loss

CAR clinches the NFC South division title with:

	1)	CAR win + TB loss/tie
OR	2)	CAR tie + TB loss

AFC Clinching Scenarios

DEN clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

NE loss +

LAC loss/tie + JAX

JAX loss/tie + BUF

BUF loss/tie

DEN clinches the AFC West division title with:

LAC loss/tie

NE clinches the AFC East division title with:

	1)	NE win + BUF loss/tie
OR	2)	NE tie + BUF loss

JAX clinches the AFC South division title with:

	1)	JAX win + HOU loss/tie
OR	2)	JAX tie + HOU loss

PIT clinches the AFC North division title with:

	1)	PIT win/tie
OR	2)	BAL loss/tie

HOU clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	HOU win/tie
OR	2)	IND loss/tie

NFC Elimination Scenarios

TB is eliminated from NFC South title contention AND playoff contention with:

	1)	TB loss + CAR win/tie
OR	2)	TB tie + CAR win

GB is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:

	1)	GB loss
OR	2)	GB tie + CHI tie
OR	3)	CHI win

LAR is knocked out of division title (and 1 seed) contention with:

	1)	LAR loss
OR	2)	LAR tie + SEA win
OR	3)	LAR tie + SEA tie + SF tie
OR	4)	LAR tie + SF win
OR	5)	SEA win + SF win

SF is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:

	1)	SF loss + SEA win/tie
OR	2)	SF tie + SEA win

SF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

	1)	SF loss
OR	2)	SF tie + SEA win

CHI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

	1)	CHI loss
OR	2)	CHI tie + SEA win/tie

AFC Elimination Scenarios

BAL is eliminated from AFC North title contention AND playoff contention with:

	1)	BAL loss/tie
OR	2)	PIT win/tie

IND is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	IND loss/tie
OR	2)	HOU win/tie

BUF is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:

	1)	BUF loss + NE win/tie
OR	2)	BUF tie + NE win

BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

	1)	BUF loss/tie
OR	2)	LAC win

HOU is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:

	1)	HOU loss + JAX win/tie
OR	2)	HOU tie + JAX win

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

LAC loss/tie

LAC is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

LAC loss/tie

NE is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

NE loss

JAX is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:

JAX loss/tie

Updates from results in week 17

Clinches

GB has clinched a playoff berth.

Failures to Clinch

None yet

Eliminations

DET DET has been eliminated from playoff contention.

HOU HOU has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

Avoided Eliminations

None yet

Playoff status going into week 17

Division status

Already clinched division title:
PHI PHI

Can clinch division title this week:
SEA SEA, CHI CHI, CAR CAR, DEN DEN, NE, JAX JAX, PIT PIT

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
TB, GB, LAR LAR, SF, BAL BAL, BUF BUF, HOU HOU, LAC LAC

Already knocked out of division title contention:
NYG NYG, ARI ARI, WAS WAS, NO, ATL ATL, DAL DAL, MIN MIN, DET DET, LV, CLE CLE, TEN TEN, NYJ NYJ, CIN CIN, MIA MIA, KC, IND IND

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
SEA SEA, CHI CHI, LAR LAR, SF, PHI PHI, DEN DEN, NE, JAX JAX, LAC LAC, BUF BUF

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
CAR CAR, GB(clinched!), PIT PIT, HOU HOU

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
DET DET(eliminated), TB, BAL BAL, IND IND

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
NYG NYG, ARI ARI, WAS WAS, NO, ATL ATL, DAL DAL, MIN MIN, LV, CLE CLE, TEN TEN, NYJ NYJ, CIN CIN, MIA MIA, KC

Update 1 (Thurs.Early): Updated for DAL/WAS

Update 2 (Thurs.Late): Updated for MIN/DET - GB clinches playoff berth, DET eliminated from playoffs

Update 3 (TNF): Updated for DEN/KC - HOU cannot get the 1 seed

1st Overall Pick Scenarios

NYG clinches the 1st overall draft pick with:

	1)	NYG loss + NYJ win/tie + CLE win
OR	2)	NYG loss + NYJ win/tie + CLE tie + 0.5 or more combined losses from (PHI, GB, NO, SF)
OR	3)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI loss + GB loss/tie
OR	4)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI loss + 0.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	5)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI tie + GB loss + 0.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	6)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI tie + GB tie + 1.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	7)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + PHI tie + 2.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	8)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + GB loss + 2.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	9)	NYG loss + CLE win/tie + GB tie + 3.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	10)	NYG loss + CLE win + 4.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC)
OR	11)	NYG loss + CLE tie + 4.5 or more combined losses from (TB, ARI, SEA, LAR, IND, LAC) + 0.5 or more combined losses from (NO, SF)

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