NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • 2025
    • Week 16
      • Live 2025 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2025 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2025
    • Week 15
      • Final 2025 Week 15 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2025
    • Week 14
      • Final 2025 Week 14 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2025
    • Week 13
      • Live 2025 Week 13 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2025
    • Week 12
      • Final 2025 Week 12 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2025
    • Week 11
      • Final 2025 Week 11 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2025
    • Week 10
      • Final 2025 Week 10 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2025
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2025 NFL Standings
  • 2024
    • Week 18
      • 2024 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2024 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If GB wins on week 16 MNF)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If NO wins on week 16 MNF)
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2024
      • Who Gets the 1 seed if PHI and MIN win out?
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2024
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2024
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2024
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2024
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2024
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2024 NFL Standings
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2024
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2024 NFL Standings
  • 2023
    • Week 18
      • 2023 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2023 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 17 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2023
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 16 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2023
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 15 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2023
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 14 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2023
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 13 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2023
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 12 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2023
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2023
      • Week 11 Mailbag
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2023
      • Week 10 Mailbag
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2023 NFL Standings
  • 2022
    • Week 18
      • 2022 Week 18 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2022 Week 17 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2022 Week 16 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 17
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2022 Week 15 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 15 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 16
    • Week 14
      • 2022 Week 14 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2022 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2022 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2022 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2022 NFL Standings
  • 2021
    • Week 18
      • 2021 Week 18 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2021 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2021 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2021 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • DAL has not clinched a playoff berth
    • Week 15
      • 2021 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2021 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2021 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2021 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2021 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 11 Playoff Picture
  • 2020
    • Week 17
      • 2020 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2020 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2020 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2020 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2020 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 14 Playoff Picture
      • How does PIT miss the playoffs?
    • Week 13
      • 2020 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2020 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2020 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2020 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2020 Week 9 Playoff Picture
  • 2019
    • Week 17
      • 2019 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2019 Week 16 Playoff Picture
    • Week 15
      • 2019 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2019 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2019 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2019 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2019 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2019 Week 9 Playoff Picture

You hate ads, we hate ads, and so we’ve opted to remove ads from the site. Instead, we now have a Patreon. If you like our work and would like the site to remain ad-free, please consider supporting us!


Live 2025 Week 16 Playoff Picture

Dec 18, 2025 | Week 16, 2025 | NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • Live standings
  • Posts from Week 16
    • - Playoff Picture Entering Week 16
    • - Notes on the Week 16 Playoff Picture
    • - Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs
    • - Explanation of the Complexity of the GB 1 seed scenarios
  • Live Scenarios:
    • NFC Clinching Scenarios
    • AFC Clinching Scenarios
    • NFC Elimination Scenarios
    • AFC Elimination Scenarios
  • Updates from results in week 16
    • Clinches
    • Failures to Clinch
    • Eliminations
    • Avoided Eliminations
  • Playoff status going into week 16
    • Division status
    • Playoff Status
  • Contact and Support Us

Live standings

  • Conference Standings
  • Division Standings
                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEAx 12-3 7-3  
2 CHI 11-4 7-3  
3 PHIxy 10-5 8-3  
4 TB 7-7 5-5 TB wins the tiebreak over CAR on Common Games (5-5 vs 4-6).
5 LARx 11-4 6-4  
6 SF 10-4 8-2  
7 GB 9-5-1 7-3-1  
8 DET 8-6 5-5  
9 CAR 7-7 5-4  
10 DALke 6-7-1 3-6-1  
11 MINke 6-8 4-5  
12 ATLke 5-9 4-5  
13 NOke 4-10 4-7  
14 WASke 4-11 2-8  
15 ARIke 3-11 3-7  
16 NYGke 2-12 1-9  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DENx 12-2 7-2  
2 NE 11-3 6-3  
3 JAX 10-4 7-2  
4 PIT 8-6 7-3  
5 LAC 10-4 8-2 LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Conference Record (8-2 vs 7-3).
6 BUF 10-4 7-3  
7 HOU 9-5 7-2  
8 IND 8-6 6-4  
9 BAL 7-7 5-5  
10 KCke 6-8 3-6 KC wins the tiebreak over MIA on Conference Record (3-6 vs 3-7).
11 MIAke 6-8 3-7  
12 CINke 4-10 4-6  
13 NYJke 3-11 2-8 NYJ wins the tiebreak over CLE on Head-to-Head.
14 CLEke 3-11 2-7  
15 LVke 2-12 2-8 LV wins the tiebreak over TEN on Head-to-Head.
16 TENke 2-12 1-9  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHIxy 10-5 3-2  
2 DALke 6-7-1 3-1  
3 WASke 4-11 2-2  
4 NYGke 2-12 1-4  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 CHI 11-4 2-3  
2 GB 9-5-1 4-1  
3 DET 8-6 1-3  
4 MINke 6-8 2-2  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 TB 7-7 2-2 TB wins the tiebreak over CAR on Common Games (5-5 vs 4-6).
2 CAR 7-7 2-2  
3 ATLke 5-9 2-3  
4 NOke 4-10 3-2  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEAx 12-3 3-2  
2 LARx 11-4 3-2  
3 SF 10-4 4-1  
4 ARIke 3-11 0-5  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 NE 11-3 3-1  
2 BUF 10-4 3-2  
3 MIAke 6-8 3-2  
4 NYJke 3-11 0-4  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PIT 8-6 3-1  
2 BAL 7-7 3-2  
3 CINke 4-10 3-2  
4 CLEke 3-11 0-4  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 JAX 10-4 3-1  
2 HOU 9-5 4-1  
3 IND 8-6 2-2  
4 TENke 2-12 0-5  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DENx 12-2 3-1  
2 LAC 10-4 5-0  
3 KCke 6-8 1-3  
4 LVke 2-12 0-5  

x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
y Team has clinched their division title.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, MIN, DAL, CAR, DET, GB, TB
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: TEN, LV, CLE, NYJ, CIN, MIA, KC, BAL, IND, PIT


Posts from Week 16

- Playoff Picture Entering Week 16

- Notes on the Week 16 Playoff Picture

- Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs

- Explanation of the Complexity of the GB 1 seed scenarios


Live Scenarios:

NFC Clinching Scenarios

CHI clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) DET loss/tie

 

SF clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) SF win
OR 2) SF tie + DET tie
OR 3) DET loss

 

AFC Clinching Scenarios

DEN clinches the AFC West division title with:
         1) DEN win + LAC loss/tie
OR 2) DEN tie + LAC loss

 

DEN clinches a first-round bye and home-field advantage with:
         1) DEN win + LAC loss/tie + NE loss + BUF loss/tie

 

NE clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) NE win/tie
OR 2) IND loss/tie
OR 3) HOU loss/tie

 

BUF clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) BUF win + IND loss/tie
OR 2) BUF win + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) BUF tie + IND loss
OR 4) BUF tie + HOU loss

 

JAX clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) JAX win + IND loss/tie
OR 2) JAX win + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) JAX tie + IND loss
OR 4) JAX tie + IND tie + HOU loss

 

LAC clinches a playoff berth with:
         1) LAC win + IND loss/tie
OR 2) LAC win + HOU loss/tie
OR 3) LAC tie + IND loss
OR 4) LAC tie + IND tie + HOU loss

 

NFC Elimination Scenarios

DET is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:
         1) DET loss/tie

 

PHI is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) SF win

 

AFC Elimination Scenarios

IND is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) IND loss + JAX win/tie
OR 2) IND tie + JAX win

 

LAC is knocked out of division title (and 1 seed) contention with:
         1) LAC loss + DEN win/tie
OR 2) LAC tie + DEN win

 

NE is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) NE loss + DEN win

 

BUF is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) BUF loss + DEN win/tie
OR 2) BUF loss + LAC win
OR 3) BUF tie + DEN win

 

JAX is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) JAX loss

 

HOU is knocked out of 1 seed contention with:
         1) HOU loss/tie
OR 2) DEN win/tie

 


Updates from results in week 16

Clinches

PHI has clinched the NFC East division title.

SEA has clinched a playoff berth.

 

Failures to Clinch

GB cannot clinch a playoff berth this week.

 

Eliminations

DAL has been knocked out of NFC East title contention.

DAL has been eliminated from playoff contention.

GB has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

 

Avoided Eliminations

DET cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

 


Playoff status going into week 16

Division status

Already clinched division title:
None

Can clinch division title this week:
PHI(clinched!), DEN

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
DAL(knocked out), DET, IND, LAC

Already knocked out of division title contention:
NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, MIN, TEN, LV, CLE, NYJ, CIN, KC, MIA

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
LAR, DEN

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
GB(did not clinch), CHI, SEA(clinched!), SF, NE, BUF, JAX, LAC

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
DAL(eliminated), DET(safe)

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, MIN, TEN, LV, CLE, NYJ, CIN, KC, MIA

 


Update 1 (TNF): Updated for SEA/LAR - SEA clinches playoff berth

Update 2 (Sat.Afternoon): Updated for PHI/WAS - PHI clinches division, DAL eliminated from playoffs

Update 3 (Sat.Night): Updated for CHI/GB - DET safe from playoff elimination, GB doesn’t clinch playoff berth this week, GB cannot get the 1 seed


Contact and Support Us

Questions about anything? Please feel free to reach out on any of our socials! Note that Bluesky, Reddit, and Patreon are checked much more frequently.

Patreon | Bluesky | reddit | Instagram | Facebook | Threads

If you would like to support us, you can donate to our Patreon. However, even if you cannot or do not wish to donate, you can help us out greatly by letting people know about our site, and especially by amplifying our Patreon and bluesky account. And if you do not wish to do that, you are still supporting us just by visiting the site!

To request an appearance on your media production or website, reach us here

© 2019 - 2025 Tiebreaker Experts Clinching & Elimination scenarios, tiebreakers, seeding, and more!
Social
  • NFLPlayoffScenarios
  • @nflplayoffscenarios.com
  • @tiebreakerexperts
  • TiebreakerExperts
  • tiebreakerexperts
  • @NFLScenarios