NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • 2025
    • Week 17
      • Live 2025 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2025 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2025
    • Week 16
      • Final 2025 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2025 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2025
    • Week 15
      • Final 2025 Week 15 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2025
    • Week 14
      • Final 2025 Week 14 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2025
    • Week 13
      • Live 2025 Week 13 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2025
    • Week 12
      • Final 2025 Week 12 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2025
    • Week 11
      • Final 2025 Week 11 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2025
    • Week 10
      • Final 2025 Week 10 Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2025
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2025 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2025 NFL Standings
  • 2024
    • Week 18
      • 2024 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2024 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If GB wins on week 16 MNF)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2024 (If NO wins on week 16 MNF)
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2024 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2024
      • Who Gets the 1 seed if PHI and MIN win out?
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2024
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2024
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2024
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2024
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2024 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2024
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2024 NFL Standings
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2024
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2024 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2024 NFL Standings
  • 2023
    • Week 18
      • 2023 Season Summary
      • Final Week 18 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • 2023 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • Final Week 17 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 17 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 17)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 17 2023
    • Week 16
      • Final Week 16 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 16 Mailbag
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2023 Week 16)
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 16 2023
    • Week 15
      • Final Week 15 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 15 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 15 2023
    • Week 14
      • Final Week 14 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 14 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 14 2023
    • Week 13
      • Final Week 13 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 13 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 13 2023
    • Week 12
      • Final Week 12 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Week 12 Mailbag
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 12 2023
    • Week 11
      • Final Week 11 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 11 2023
      • Week 11 Mailbag
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2023 NFL Playoff Picture
      • Playoff Picture Entering Week 10 2023
      • Week 10 Mailbag
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 6
      • Final Week 6 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 5
      • Final Week 5 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 4
      • Final Week 4 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 3
      • Final Week 3 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 2
      • Final Week 2 2023 NFL Standings
    • Week 1
      • Final Week 1 2023 NFL Standings
  • 2022
    • Week 18
      • 2022 Week 18 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2022 Week 17 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2022 Week 16 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 17
      • Every Team's Simplest Path to the Playoffs (2022 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2022 Week 15 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 15 Playoff Picture
      • A look ahead to week 16
    • Week 14
      • 2022 Week 14 Live Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2022 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2022 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2022 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2022 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • Final Week 10 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 9
      • Final Week 9 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 8
      • Final Week 8 2022 NFL Standings
    • Week 7
      • Final Week 7 2022 NFL Standings
  • 2021
    • Week 18
      • 2021 Week 18 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 18 Playoff Picture
    • Week 17
      • 2021 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 17 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2021 Week 17)
    • Week 16
      • 2021 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • DAL has not clinched a playoff berth
    • Week 15
      • 2021 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2021 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2021 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2021 Week 12 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2021 Week 11 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2021 Week 11 Playoff Picture
  • 2020
    • Week 17
      • 2020 Week 17 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2020 Week 16 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 16 Playoff Picture
      • Every Team's Path to the Playoffs (2020 Week 16)
    • Week 15
      • 2020 Week 15 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • 2020 Week 14 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 14 Playoff Picture
      • How does PIT miss the playoffs?
    • Week 13
      • 2020 Week 13 Live Updating Playoff Picture
      • 2020 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2020 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2020 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2020 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2020 Week 9 Playoff Picture
  • 2019
    • Week 17
      • 2019 Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • Week 16
      • 2019 Week 16 Playoff Picture
    • Week 15
      • 2019 Week 15 Playoff Picture
    • Week 14
      • Week 14 Playoff Picture
    • Week 13
      • 2019 Week 13 Playoff Picture
    • Week 12
      • 2019 Week 12 Playoff Picture
    • Week 11
      • 2019 Week 11 Playoff Picture
    • Week 10
      • 2019 Week 10 Playoff Picture
    • Week 9
      • 2019 Week 9 Playoff Picture

You hate ads, we hate ads, and so we’ve opted to remove ads from the site. Instead, we now have a Patreon. If you like our work and would like the site to remain ad-free, please consider supporting us!


Live 2025 Week 17 Playoff Picture

Dec 25, 2025 | Week 17, 2025 | NFL Playoff Scenarios
  • Live standings
  • Posts from Week 17
    • - Playoff Picture Entering Week 17
    • - Notes on the Week 17 Playoff Picture
    • - Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs
  • Live Scenarios:
    • NFC Clinching Scenarios
    • AFC Clinching Scenarios
    • NFC Elimination Scenarios
    • AFC Elimination Scenarios
  • Updates from results in week 17
    • Clinches
    • Failures to Clinch
    • Eliminations
    • Avoided Eliminations
  • Playoff status going into week 17
    • Division status
    • Playoff Status
  • 1st Overall Pick Scenarios
  • Contact and Support Us

Live standings

  • Conference Standings
  • Division Standings
                                                                         
        NFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEAx 13-3 8-3  
2 CHIxy 11-5 7-4 CHI wins the tiebreak over PHI on Head-to-Head.
3 PHIxy 11-5 8-3  
4 CAR 8-8 6-5  
5 SFx 12-4 9-2  
6 LARkx 11-4 6-4  
7 GBkx 9-6-1 7-3-1  
8 MINke 8-8 6-5 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
9 DETke 8-8 5-6  
10 DALke 7-8-1 4-6-1  
11 TB 7-9 5-6  
12 ATLke 6-9 5-5  
13 NOke 6-10 4-7  
14 WASke 4-12 2-9  
15 ARIke 3-13 3-8 ARI wins the tiebreak over NYG on Conference Record (3-8 vs 1-10).
16 NYGke 3-13 1-10  
         
        AFC    Record    Conf. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DENxy 13-3 8-3 DEN wins the tiebreak over NE on Common Games (6-0 vs 5-1).
2 NExy 13-3 8-3  
3 JAXx 12-4 9-2  
4 PIT 9-7 7-4  
5 HOUx 11-5 9-2 HOU wins the tiebreak over BUF/LAC on Head-to-Head Sweep.
6 LACkx 11-5 8-3 LAC wins the tiebreak over BUF on Common Games (5-1 vs 3-3).
7 BUFkx 11-5 8-3  
8 INDke 8-8 6-5 IND wins the tiebreak over BAL on Conference Record (6-5 vs 5-6).
9 BAL 8-8 5-6  
10 MIAke 7-9 3-8  
11 CINke 6-10 5-6 CIN wins the tiebreak over KC on Conference Record (5-6 vs 3-8).
12 KCke 6-10 3-8  
13 CLEke 4-12 3-8  
14 TENke 3-13 2-9 TEN wins the tiebreak over NYJ on Common Games (1-4 vs 1-5).
15 NYJke 3-13 2-9  
16 LVke 2-14 2-9  
                                                                   
NFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PHIxy 11-5 3-2  
2 DALke 7-8-1 4-1  
3 WASke 4-12 2-3  
4 NYGke 3-13 1-4  
         
NFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 CHIxy 11-5 2-3  
2 GBkx 9-6-1 4-1  
3 MINke 8-8 3-2 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on Head-to-Head (2-0).
4 DETke 8-8 1-4  
         
NFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 CAR 8-8 3-2  
2 TB 7-9 2-3  
3 ATLke 6-9 2-3  
4 NOke 6-10 3-2  
         
NFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 SEAx 13-3 3-2  
2 SFx 12-4 4-1  
3 LARkx 11-4 3-2  
4 ARIke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  East   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 NExy 13-3 4-1  
2 BUFkx 11-5 3-2  
3 MIAke 7-9 3-2  
4 NYJke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  North   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 PIT 9-7 3-2  
2 BAL 8-8 3-2  
3 CINke 6-10 3-2  
4 CLEke 4-12 1-4  
         
AFC  South   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 JAXx 12-4 4-1  
2 HOUx 11-5 4-1  
3 INDke 8-8 2-3  
4 TENke 3-13 0-5  
         
AFC  West   Record   Div. Rec.   Explanation 
1 DENxy 13-3 4-1  
2 LACkx 11-5 5-0  
3 KCke 6-10 1-4  
4 LVke 2-14 0-5  

x Team has clinched a playoff berth.
y Team has clinched their division title.
e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.
NFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, TB, DAL, DET, MIN, GB, LAR, CAR, PHI, CHI
AFC Teams knocked out of 1 seed contention: LV, NYJ, TEN, CLE, KC, CIN, MIA, BAL, IND, BUF, LAC, HOU, PIT


Posts from Week 17

- Playoff Picture Entering Week 17

- Notes on the Week 17 Playoff Picture

- Every Team’s Simplest Path to the Playoffs


Live Scenarios:

NFC Clinching Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

AFC Clinching Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

NFC Elimination Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.

AFC Elimination Scenarios

No live scenarios remain.


Updates from results in week 17

Clinches

CHI has clinched the NFC North division title.

GB has clinched a playoff berth.

DEN has clinched the AFC West division title.

NE has clinched the AFC East division title.

HOU has clinched a playoff berth.

 

Failures to Clinch

SEA cannot clinch a first round bye and home-field advantage this week.

SEA cannot clinch the NFC West division title this week.

CAR cannot clinch the NFC South division title or a playoff berth this week.

DEN cannot clinch a first round bye and home-field advantage this week.

JAX cannot clinch the AFC South division title this week.

PIT cannot clinch the AFC North division title or a playoff berth this week.

 

Eliminations

DET has been eliminated from playoff contention.

GB has been knocked out of NFC North title contention.

LAR has been knocked out of division title contention (and 1 seed contention).

CHI has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

IND has been eliminated from playoff contention.

BUF has been knocked out of AFC East title contention.

BUF has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

HOU has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

LAC has been knocked out of AFC West title contention.

LAC has been knocked out of 1 seed contention.

 

Avoided Eliminations

TB cannot be knocked out of NFC South title contention this week.

TB cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

SF cannot be knocked out of NFC West title contention this week.

SF cannot be knocked out of 1 seed contention this week.

BAL cannot be knocked out of AFC North title contention this week.

BAL cannot be eliminated from playoff contention this week.

HOU cannot be knocked out of AFC South title contention this week.

NE cannot be knocked out of 1 seed contention this week.

JAX cannot be knocked out of 1 seed contention this week.

 


Playoff status going into week 17

Division status

Already clinched division title:
PHI

Can clinch division title this week:
SEA(did not clinch), CHI(clinched!), CAR(did not clinch), DEN(clinched!), NE(clinched!), JAX(did not clinch), PIT(did not clinch)

Can be knocked out of division title contention this week:
TB(safe), GB(knocked out), LAR(knocked out), SF(safe), BAL(safe), BUF(knocked out), HOU(safe), LAC(knocked out)

Already knocked out of division title contention:
NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, DAL, MIN, DET, LV, CLE, TEN, NYJ, CIN, MIA, KC, IND

Playoff Status

Already clinched a playoff berth:
SEA, CHI, LAR, SF, PHI, DEN, NE, JAX, LAC, BUF

Can clinch a playoff berth this week:
CAR(did not clinch), GB(clinched!), PIT(did not clinch), HOU(clinched!)

Can be eliminated from playoff contention this week:
DET(eliminated), TB(safe), BAL(safe), IND(eliminated)

Already eliminated from playoff contention:
NYG, ARI, WAS, NO, ATL, DAL, MIN, LV, CLE, TEN, NYJ, CIN, MIA, KC

 


Update 1 (Thurs.Early): Updated for DAL/WAS

Update 2 (Thurs.Late): Updated for MIN/DET - GB clinches playoff berth, DET eliminated from playoffs

Update 3 (TNF): Updated for DEN/KC - HOU cannot get the 1 seed

Update 4 (Sat.Afternoon): Updated for HOU/LAC - DEN clinches division, JAX doesn’t clinch division this week, HOU clinches playoff berth, IND eliminated from playoffs, HOU safe in division race, LAC knocked out of division race, LAC cannot get the 1 seed

Update 5 (Sat.Night): Updated for BAL/GB - CHI clinches division, GB knocked out of division race

Update 6 (03:52): Updated for CIN/ARI

Update 7 (03:53): Updated for CLE/PIT - PIT doesn’t clinch division or playoff berth this week, BAL safe in division race (and from playoff elimination)

Update 8 (03:54): Updated for NE/NYJ - DEN doesn’t clinch home-field advantage this week, NE stays alive for 1 seed

Update 9 (03:56): Updated for MIA/TB

Update 10 (03:56): Updated for SEA/CAR - CAR doesn’t clinch division or playoff berth this week, TB safe in division race (and from playoff elimination)

Update 11 (04:07): Updated for JAX/IND - JAX stays alive for 1 seed

Update 12 (04:12): Updated for NO/TEN

Update 13 (06:54): Updated for NYG/LV

Update 14 (07:33): Updated for PHI/BUF - NE clinches division, BUF knocked out of division race, BUF cannot get the 1 seed

Update 15 (SNF): Updated for SF/CHI - SEA doesn’t clinch home-field advantage this week, SEA doesn’t clinch division this week, LAR knocked out of division race (and 1 seed contention), SF safe in division race, SF stays alive for 1 seed, CHI cannot get the 1 seed


1st Overall Pick Scenarios

NYG cannot clinch the 1st overall pick this week.

 

Contact and Support Us

Questions about anything? Please feel free to reach out on any of our socials! Note that Bluesky, Reddit, and Patreon are checked much more frequently.

Patreon | Bluesky | reddit | Instagram | Facebook | Threads

If you would like to support us, you can donate to our Patreon. However, even if you cannot or do not wish to donate, you can help us out greatly by letting people know about our site, and especially by amplifying our Patreon and bluesky account. And if you do not wish to do that, you are still supporting us just by visiting the site!

To request an appearance on your media production or website, reach us here

© 2019 - 2025 Tiebreaker Experts Clinching & Elimination scenarios, tiebreakers, seeding, and more!
Social
  • NFLPlayoffScenarios
  • @nflplayoffscenarios.com
  • @tiebreakerexperts
  • TiebreakerExperts
  • tiebreakerexperts
  • @NFLScenarios