Standings entering week 11

      NFC                                 AFC
1 SF (8-1) 1 NE (8-1)
2 GB (8-2) 2 BAL (7-2)
3 NO (7-2) 3 HOU (6-3)
4 DAL (5-4)1 4 KC (6-4)
5 SEA (8-2) 5 BUF (6-3)
6 MIN (7-3) 6 PIT (5-4)4
7 LAR (5-4)2 7 OAK (5-4)5
8 PHI (5-4)3 8 IND (5-4)
9 CAR (5-4) 9 TEN (5-5)
10 CHI (4-5) 10 JAX (4-5)
11 DET (3-5-1) 11 LAC (4-6)
12 ARI (3-6-1) 12 DEN (3-6)6
13 TB (3-6) 13 CLE (3-6)
14 ATL (2-7) 14 MIA (2-7)7
15 NYG (2-8) 15 NYJ (2-7)
16 WAS (1-8) 16 CIN (0-9)k

k Team is knocked out of division title contention

1 DAL wins the tiebreak over PHI on head-to-head (1-0).
2 LAR wins the tiebreak over PHI/CAR on conference record (3-3 vs 3-4/2-4).
3 PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on conference record (3-4 vs 2-4).
4 IND drops out of the tie with PIT/OAK on head-to-head sweep. PIT wins the tiebreak over OAK on conference record(4-2 vs 3-2).
5 OAK wins the tiebreak over IND on head-to-head.
6 DEN wins the tiebreak over CLE on head-to-head.
7 MIA wins the tiebreak over NYJ on head-to-head (1-0).


Elimination Scenarios

ARI is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:
         1) ARI loss

 

MIA is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) MIA loss
OR 2) MIA tie + NE tie
OR 3) NE win

 

NYJ is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:
         1) NYJ loss
OR 2) NYJ tie + NE tie
OR 3) NE win

 

CIN is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) CIN loss + BUF win/tie
OR 2) CIN loss + PIT win/tie

Possible Seeds

All teams can still get all seeds with the following exceptions (E simply means seeds 7 and below):

NYG: 2-6, E
WAS: 2-6, E
CIN: 5-6, E


Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses

Teams that control the 1 seed:
SF NE

Teams that control the 2 seed:
GB(3) SEA(3) BAL HOU

Teams that control the 3 seed:
NO(1)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
DAL PHI(new) CAR IND KC OAK

Teams that control the 5 seed:
MIN PIT(new) BUF(1)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
None

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
NYG WAS CHI DET TB ATL LAR(6) ARI
MIA NYJ CLE CIN TEN JAX LAC(4) DEN


Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post