2019 Week 13 Playoff Picture

• Standings entering week 13
• Clinching Scenarios
  • NFC
  • AFC
• Elimination Scenarios
  • NFC
  • AFC
• Possible Seeds
• Team Control

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Standings entering week 13

	NFC		AFC
1	SF (10-1)	1	NE (10-1)
2	NO (9-2)	2	BAL (9-2)
3	GB (8-3)1	3	HOU (7-4)6
4	DAL (6-5)	4	KC (7-4)
5	SEA (9-2)	5	BUF (8-3)
6	MIN (8-3)	6	PIT (6-5)7
7	LAR (6-5)	7	OAK (6-5)8
8	CHI (5-6)2	8	IND (6-5)9
9	PHI (5-6)3	9	TEN (6-5)
10	CAR (5-6)	10	CLE (5-6)
11	TB (4-7)k	11	JAX (4-7)10
12	DET (3-7-1)k 4	12	LAC (4-7)11
13	ARI (3-7-1)k	13	NYJ (4-7)k
14	ATL (3-8)k	14	DEN (3-8)
15	NYG (2-9)5	15	MIA (2-9)k
16	WAS (2-9)	16	CIN (0-11)ke

^e Team is eliminated from playoff contention
^k Team is knocked out of division title contention

¹ GB wins the tiebreak over MIN on head-to-head (1-0).
² CHI wins the tiebreak over PHI/CAR on conference record (4-4 vs 3-5/2-6).
³ PHI wins the tiebreak over CAR on conference record (3-5 vs 2-6).
⁴ DET wins the tiebreak over ARI on conference record (2-5-1 vs 2-6-1).
⁵ NYG wins the tiebreak over WAS on head-to-head (1-0).
⁶ HOU wins the tiebreak over KC on head-to-head.
⁷ IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0). IND drops out of tie with PIT/OAK on head-to-head sweep. PIT wins the tiebreak over OAK on conference record (5-3 vs 4-3).
⁸ IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0). PIT wins the tiebreak over IND on head-to-head.
⁹ IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0).
¹⁰ JAX wins the tiebreak over LAC/NYJ on conference record (4-5 vs 2-6/1-6).
¹¹ LAC wins the tiebreak over NYJ on conference record (2-6 vs 1-6).

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Clinching Scenarios

NFC

NO clinches the NFC South division title with:

	1)	NO win
OR	2)	NO tie + CAR loss/tie

 

SF clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	SF win + LAR loss/tie
OR	2)	SF tie + LAR loss

 

AFC

NE clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	NE win + PIT loss/tie
OR	2)	NE win + OAK loss/tie
OR	3)	NE tie + PIT loss + OAK loss
OR	4)	NE tie + IND loss + OAK loss
OR	5)	NE tie + IND loss + PIT loss

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Elimination Scenarios

NFC

CHI is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:

	1)	CHI loss + MIN win + GB win/tie
OR	2)	CHI loss + MIN tie + GB win

 

CAR is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:

	1)	CAR loss/tie + NO tie
OR	2)	NO win

 

LAR is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:

	1)	LAR loss
OR	2)	LAR tie + SF win
OR	3)	LAR tie + SEA win
OR	4)	LAR tie + SF tie + SEA tie
OR	5)	SEA win + SF win

 

NYG is eliminated from NFC East title contention AND playoff contention with:

	1)	NYG loss
OR	2)	NYG tie + DAL tie
OR	3)	NYG tie + PHI win
OR	4)	DAL win

 

WAS is eliminated from NFC East title contention AND playoff contention with:

	1)	WAS loss
OR	2)	WAS tie + DAL tie
OR	3)	WAS tie + PHI win
OR	4)	DAL win

 

DET is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	DET loss
OR	2)	DET tie + MIN win/tie
OR	3)	GB win/tie + MIN win

 

TB is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	TB loss + GB win/tie + MIN win/tie
OR	2)	TB tie + GB win + MIN win/tie

 

ATL is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	ATL loss/tie
OR	2)	MIN win/tie + GB win/tie

 

ARI is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	ARI loss
OR	2)	ARI tie + GB win/tie
OR	3)	ARI tie + GB clinches SoV over ARI*
OR	4)	GB win + MIN win/tie
OR	5)	GB tie + MIN win/tie + PHI loss/tie + CAR loss
OR	6)	GB tie + MIN win/tie + GB clinches SoV over ARI*

*Link to full scenarios with SoV calculations

 

AFC

PIT is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:

1)

PIT loss + BAL win

 

CLE is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:

	1)	CLE loss + BAL win/tie
OR	2)	CLE tie + BAL win

 

JAX is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:

	1)	JAX loss + HOU win/tie
OR	2)	JAX loss + TEN win/tie
OR	3)	JAX tie + HOU win + TEN win/tie
OR	4)	JAX tie + HOU tie + TEN win

 

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

1)

LAC loss + KC win

 

DEN is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

	1)	DEN loss + KC win/tie
OR	2)	DEN tie + KC win

 

DEN is eliminated from playoff contention with:

1)

DEN loss + TEN win + HOU win/tie + OAK/ KC tie

 

MIA is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	MIA loss/tie
OR	2)	PIT win
OR	3)	OAK win + TEN win/tie + HOU win/tie
OR	4)	OAK tie + TEN win + HOU win/tie

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Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

DAL:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
PHI:		2	3	4	5	6	E
NYG:				4			E		(knocked out of wildcard contention)
WAS:				4			E		(knocked out of wildcard contention)
GB:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
MIN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
CHI:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
DET:						6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
NO:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
CAR:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
TB:					5	6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
ATL:						6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
SF:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
SEA:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
LAR:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
ARI:						6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
NE:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
BUF:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
NYJ:					5	6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
MIA:						6	E		(knocked out of division title contention)
BAL:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
PIT:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
CLE:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
CIN:							E		(eliminated from playoff contention)
HOU:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
IND:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
TEN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
JAX:		2	3	4	5	6	E
KC:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
OAK:	1	2	3	4	5	6	E
LAC:		2	3	4	5	6	E
DEN:			3	4	5	6	E

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Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses

Teams that control the 1 seed:
NO(3) SF NE

Teams that control the 2 seed:
SEA BAL

Teams that control the 3 seed:
GB(2) MIN(5) HOU(4)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
DAL PHI(new) TEN(new) KC OAK

Teams that control the 5 seed:
BUF

Teams that control the 6 seed:
None

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
NYG WAS CHI DET CAR TB ATL LAR ARI
NYJ MIA PIT CLE CIN IND(4) JAX LAC DEN

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Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit posts:
NFC Picture
AFC Picture
Tie-Free Scenarios