Standings entering week 11

      NFC                                 AFC
1 GB (7-2)1 1 PIT (9-0)
2 NO (7-2) 2 KC (8-1)
3 ARI (6-3)2 3 BUF (7-3)
4 PHI (3-5-1) 4 IND (6-3)7
5 TB (7-3) 5 LV (6-3)8
6 LAR (6-3)3 6 MIA (6-3)9
7 SEA (6-3) 7 BAL (6-3)10
8 CHI (5-5) 8 CLE (6-3)11
9 MIN (4-5)4 9 TEN (6-3)
10 DET (4-5) 10 NE (4-5)
11 SF (4-6) 11 DEN (3-6)
12 ATL (3-6) 12 CIN (2-6-1)
13 NYG (3-7)5 13 LAC (2-7)12
14 CAR (3-7) 14 HOU (2-7)
15 WAS (2-7)6 15 JAX (1-8)
16 DAL (2-7) 16 NYJ (0-9)k

k Team is knocked out of division title contention

1 GB wins the tiebreak over NO on head-to-head.
2 SEA drops out of SEA/ARI/LAR on record-among-tied-teams (0-2 vs 1-0 for ARI/LAR). ARI wins the tiebreak over LAR on division record.
3 LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on head-to-head (1-0).
4 MIN wins the tiebreak over DET on head-to-head (1-0).
5 NYG wins the tiebreak over CAR on conference record (3-6 vs 2-5).
6 WAS wins the tiebreak over DAL on head-to-head (1-0).
7 IND wins the tiebreak over TEN on head-to-head (1-0).
8 BAL wins the tiebreak over CLE on head-to-head (1-0). LV wins the tiebreak over MIA/BAL/TEN on conference record (4-2 vs 3-2/4-3/4-3).
9 BAL wins the tiebreak over CLE on head-to-head (1-0). MIA wins the tiebreak over BAL/TEN on conference record (3-2 vs 4-3/4-3).
10 BAL wins the tiebreak over CLE on head-to-head (1-0). BAL wins the tiebreak over TEN on common games (3-1 vs 1-3).
11 CLE wins the tiebreak over TEN on common games (4-1 vs 1-3).
12 LAC wins the tiebreak over HOU on conference record (2-4 vs 2-5).

Elimination Scenarios

CAR is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:
         1) CAR loss + NO win
OR 2) CAR loss + TB win

 

CIN is knocked out of AFC North title contention with:
         1) CIN loss/tie
OR 2) PIT win/tie

 

JAX is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:
         1) JAX loss + IND win + TEN win/tie
OR 2) JAX loss + IND tie + TEN win

 

LAC is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:
         1) LAC loss + KC win/tie
OR 2) LAC tie + KC win

 

NYJ is eliminated from playoff contention with:
         1) NYJ loss + IND win/tie
OR 2) NYJ loss + MIA win/tie
OR 3) NYJ loss + NE win
OR 4) NYJ loss + BAL win/tie + CLE win/tie
OR 5) NYJ tie + MIA win/tie + BAL win + CLE win
OR 6) NYJ tie + MIA win + BAL win/tie + LV win
OR 7) NYJ tie + MIA win + CLE win/tie + LV win
OR 8) NYJ tie + MIA win + BAL win + CLE tie + LV tie
OR 9) NYJ tie + MIA win + BAL win + CLE tie + IND win/tie
OR 10) NYJ tie + MIA win + TEN win + CLE win/tie + IND win/tie
OR 11) NYJ tie + MIA win + TEN win + CLE win/tie + LV tie
OR 12) NYJ tie + MIA win + IND win + LV win
OR 13) NYJ tie + MIA tie + BAL win + CLE tie + IND win
OR 14) NYJ tie + MIA tie + TEN win + CLE win/tie + IND win
OR 15) NYJ tie + BAL win + CLE win + LV win/tie
OR 16) NYJ tie + BAL win + CLE tie + IND win + LV win/tie
OR 17) NYJ tie + TEN win + CLE win/tie + IND win + LV win/tie

Possible Seeds

All seeds are still available to all teams with the following 2 exceptions:
NYJ cannot obtain seeds 1-4
JAX cannot obtain seed 1

Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
GB(3) PIT

Teams that control the 2 seed:
NO(3) KC

Teams that control the 3 seed:
ARI LAR SEA(2) MIA(6)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
PHI BUF IND TEN

Teams that control the 5 seed:
TB(6)

Teams that control the 6 seed:
BAL(5) CLE(7) LV

Teams that control the 7 seed:
None

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
WAS NYG DAL CHI(3) DET MIN ATL CAR SF
NE NYJ CIN HOU JAX DEN LAC

Want to discuss the playoff picture? Head to the corresponding reddit post