2021 Week 15 Playoff Picture

• Standings entering week 15
• Clinching Scenarios
  • NFC
  • AFC
• Elimination Scenarios
  • NFC
  • AFC
• Possible Seeds
• Team Control

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Standings entering week 15

• Conference Standings
• Division Standings

	NFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	GB	10-3	8-2	GB wins the tiebreak over TB/ARI on Conference Record (8-2 vs 6-3/6-3).
2	TB	10-3	6-3	TB wins the tiebreak over ARI on Strength of Victory (64-66 vs 58-72).
3	ARI	10-3	6-3
4	DAL	9-4	7-1
5	LAR	9-4	6-3
6	SF	7-6	5-5
7	WAS	6-7	5-3	WAS wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (1-1 vs 0-2). ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). WAS wins the tiebreak over MIN/ATL on Conference Record (5-3 vs 4-4/3-6).
8	MIN	6-7	4-4	ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). ATL drops out of the tiebreak with PHI/MIN on Conference Record (3-6 vs 4-4). MIN wins the tiebreak over PHI on Common Games (3-3 vs 2-3).
9	PHI	6-7	4-4	ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0). PHI wins the tiebreak over ATL on Head-to-Head.
10	ATLk	6-7	3-6	ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
11	NO	6-7	4-5
12	CARk	5-8	3-6	CAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Conference Record (3-6 vs 2-6).
13	SEAk	5-8	2-6
14	NYGk	4-9	3-5	NYG wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (3-5 vs 2-6).
15	CHIk	4-9	2-6
16	DETke	1-11-1	1-7
	AFC	Record	Conf. Rec.	Explanation
1	NE	9-4	7-1	NE wins the tiebreak over TEN/KC on Conference Record (7-1 vs 6-3/4-4).
2	TEN	9-4	6-3	TEN wins the tiebreak over KC on Head-to-Head.
3	KC	9-4	4-4
4	BAL	8-5	5-5
5	LAC	8-5	5-3
6	IND	7-6	6-3	CLE wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0). IND wins the tiebreak over BUF/CLE/DEN on Conference Record (6-3 vs 5-5/4-5/3-5).
7	BUF	7-6	5-5	CLE wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0). BUF wins the tiebreak over CLE/DEN on Conference Record (5-5 vs 4-5/3-5).
8	CLE	7-6	4-5	CLE wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0). CLE wins the tiebreak over DEN on Head-to-Head.
9	CIN	7-6	5-3	CIN wins the tiebreak over DEN on Conference Record (5-3 vs 3-5).
10	DEN	7-6	3-5
11	PIT	6-6-1	4-4
12	LV	6-7	4-4	LV wins the tiebreak over MIA on Head-to-Head.
13	MIA	6-7	4-5
14	NYJke	3-10	3-6
15	HOUke	2-11	2-7	HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0).
16	JAXke	2-11	2-6

NFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	DAL	9-4	3-0
2	WAS	6-7	1-1	WAS wins the tiebreak over PHI on Division Record (1-1 vs 0-2).
3	PHI	6-7	0-2
4	NYGk	4-9	1-2
NFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	GB	10-3	3-1
2	MIN	6-7	2-1
3	CHIk	4-9	2-2
4	DETke	1-11-1	1-4
NFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	TB	10-3	2-1
2	ATLk	6-7	2-3	ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3	NO	6-7	1-2
4	CARk	5-8	2-1
NFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	ARI	10-3	4-1
2	LAR	9-4	2-2
3	SF	7-6	1-4
4	SEAk	5-8	2-2
AFC	East	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	NE	9-4	3-1
2	BUF	7-6	3-1
3	MIA	6-7	2-2
4	NYJke	3-10	0-4
AFC	North	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	BAL	8-5	1-3
2	CLE	7-6	2-2	CLE wins the tiebreak over CIN on Head-to-Head (1-0).
3	CIN	7-6	3-1
4	PIT	6-6-1	2-2
AFC	South	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	TEN	9-4	4-1
2	IND	7-6	3-2
3	HOUke	2-11	2-2	HOU wins the tiebreak over JAX on Head-to-Head (1-0).
4	JAXke	2-11	0-4
AFC	West	Record	Div. Rec.	Explanation
1	KC	9-4	3-1
2	LAC	8-5	2-1
3	DEN	7-6	1-2
4	LV	6-7	1-3

^e Team has been eliminated from playoff contention.
^k Team has been knocked out of division title contention.

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Clinching Scenarios

NFC

DAL clinches the NFC East division title with:

	1)	DAL win + WAS tie
OR	2)	DAL win + WAS loss + 4.5 or more combined wins from (MIN, ARI, MIA, NE, CIN, LAC)

The italicized portion in scenario 2 is for DAL clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over PHI.

 

DAL clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	DAL win + NO loss/tie
OR	2)	DAL win + SF loss
OR	3)	DAL tie + ATL loss/tie + MIN loss/tie + NO loss/tie
OR	4)	ATL loss + MIN loss + NO loss + PHI tie
OR	5)	ATL loss + MIN loss + NO loss + 0.5 or more combined wins from (ARI, MIA, NE, CIN, LAC)

The italicized portion in scenario 5 is for DAL clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over PHI.

 

GB clinches the NFC North division title with:

	1)	GB win/tie
OR	2)	MIN loss/tie

 

GB clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	NO loss/tie + SF loss
OR	2)	NO loss/tie + SF tie + LAR loss
OR	3)	NO loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	4)	SF loss + PHI tie
OR	5)	SF tie + LAR loss + PHI tie

 

TB clinches the NFC South division title with:

1)

TB win/tie

 

TB clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	MIN loss/tie + SF loss
OR	2)	MIN loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	3)	SF loss + PHI tie

 

ARI clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	ARI win/tie
OR	2)	SF loss + MIN loss/tie
OR	3)	SF loss + PHI tie
OR	4)	SF tie + LAR loss + NO loss/tie
OR	5)	SF tie + LAR loss + PHI tie
OR	6)	MIN loss/tie + NO loss/tie
OR	7)	MIN loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	8)	NO loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	9)	GB win/tie + ATL loss/tie + NO loss/tie + PHI loss

 

LAR clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	LAR win + MIN loss/tie + NO loss/tie + ATL loss/tie
OR	2)	LAR win + MIN loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	3)	LAR win + NO loss/tie + ATL loss/tie + PHI tie
OR	4)	LAR tie + MIN loss + NO loss + ATL loss/tie

 

AFC

TEN clinches the AFC South division title with:

1)

TEN win + IND loss

 

NE clinches a playoff berth with:

	1)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + LAC loss
OR	2)	NE win + MIA loss + DEN loss + LV loss + BAL loss + KC loss + PIT loss + CHI win + ATL win + ARI win + HOU win
OR	3)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + DEN loss + LV tie + BAL loss
OR	4)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + DEN loss/tie + CLE loss + PIT loss/tie + LAC loss
OR	5)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + DEN tie + BAL loss + LAC loss
OR	6)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + DEN tie + LV tie + PIT loss/tie + LAC loss
OR	7)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT loss + 2.5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	8)	NE win + MIA loss + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT loss + 3 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	9)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + 1.5 or more combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	10)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT tie + 1 combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + 2 or more combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	11)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT tie + 0.5 combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	12)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT tie + CHI win + ARI win + HOU win
OR	13)	NE win + MIA loss + DEN tie + CLE loss + KC loss + BAL loss + PIT tie + 3.5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI, CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	14)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss + DAL win + PHI win + 2 combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	15)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss + 1 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	16)	NE win + MIA tie + DEN tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss + 0.5 combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + CHI win + ARI win + HOU win
OR	17)	NE win + MIA loss + DEN tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss + 1.5 or more combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + 2.5 or more combined wins from (CHI, ARI, HOU)
OR	18)	NE win + MIA loss + DEN tie + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss + 1 combined wins from (DAL, PHI) + CHI win + ARI win + HOU win
OR	19)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + DEN tie + CLE loss/tie + BAL tie + LAC loss
OR	20)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + CIN loss + CLE loss + BAL loss + PIT loss/tie
OR	21)	NE win + MIA loss/tie + CIN loss + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC loss
OR	22)	NE win + MIA tie + CIN loss + CLE loss + BAL loss + KC tie + DAL win + PHI win + CHI win + ARI win + HOU win

The italicized portion in scenario 2 is for NE clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over CIN.
The italicized portions in scenarios 7-18 and 22 is for LV clinching Strength of Victory over CIN.

 

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Elimination Scenarios

NFC

WAS is knocked out of NFC East title contention with:

	1)	WAS loss + DAL win/tie
OR	2)	WAS tie + DAL win

 

PHI is knocked out of NFC East title contention with:

	1)	PHI loss + DAL win/tie
OR	2)	PHI loss + 0.5 or more combined wins from (MIN, ARI, MIA, NE, CIN, LAC)
OR	3)	PHI tie + DAL win
OR	4)	PHI tie + DAL tie + 0.5 or more combined wins from (MIN, ARI, MIA, NE, CIN, LAC)
OR	5)	DAL win + 4.5 or more combined wins from (MIN, ARI, MIA, NE, CIN, LAC)

The italicized portions in scenario 2, 4, and 5 is for DAL clinching at least a tie in Strength of Victory over PHI.

 

MIN is knocked out of NFC North title contention with:

	1)	MIN loss/tie
OR	2)	GB win/tie

 

NO is knocked out of NFC South title contention with:

1)

NO loss/tie

 

SF is knocked out of NFC West title contention with:

	1)	SF loss
OR	2)	SF tie + ARI tie
OR	3)	ARI win

 

NYG is eliminated from playoff contention with:

1)

NYG loss + SF tie + NO win

 

CHI is eliminated from playoff contention with:

	1)	CHI loss + NO win/tie + NYG loss/tie
OR	2)	CHI loss + SF win/tie + NYG loss/tie
OR	3)	CHI loss + ATL win/tie + NO win
OR	4)	CHI loss + ATL win/tie + NO tie + CAR win
OR	5)	CHI loss + ATL win/tie + NO tie + CAR tie + 2 combined wins from (GB, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	6)	CHI loss + ATL win/tie + NO tie + 2.5 combined wins from (GB, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	7)	CHI loss + ATL win + NO tie + CAR tie + 2 combined wins from (GB, ARI, LAR, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	8)	CHI loss + ATL win + NO tie + 2.5 combined wins from (GB, ARI, LAR, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	9)	CHI loss + ATL win + 3 or more combined wins from (GB, CAR, ARI, LAR, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	10)	CHI loss + ATL tie + 3 or more combined wins from (GB, CAR, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	11)	CHI loss + NYG loss + LAR win + 0.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, JAX)
OR	12)	CHI loss + NYG loss + SEA tie + 1.5 or more combined wins from (PHI, JAX)
OR	13)	CHI loss + NYG loss + 0.5 or more combined wins from (GB, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	14)	CHI loss + NYG tie + LAR win + 1 or more combined wins from (PHI, JAX)
OR	15)	CHI loss + NYG tie + LAR tie + 0.5 combined wins from (GB, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC) + PHI win + JAX win
OR	16)	CHI loss + NYG tie + 1 or more combined wins from (GB, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)
OR	17)	CHI loss + 3.5 or more combined wins from (GB, CAR, NO, ARI, CLE, PIT, DEN, LAC)

The italicized portions in scenarios 5-10, 13, 16, and 17 are for MIN clinching Strength of Victory over CHI
The italicized portions in scenarios 11, 12, 14, and 15 are for MIN or SF clinching Strength of Victory over CHI

 

AFC

MIA is knocked out of AFC East title contention with:

	1)	MIA loss + NE win/tie
OR	2)	MIA loss + BUF win
OR	3)	MIA tie + NE win

 

IND is knocked out of AFC South title contention with:

1)

IND loss + TEN win

 

LV is knocked out of AFC West title contention with:

	1)	LV loss
OR	2)	LV tie + KC tie
OR	3)	KC win

 

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Possible Seeds

E simply means the team could still miss the playoffs

DAL:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
WAS:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
PHI:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
NYG:						6	7	E
GB:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
MIN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
CHI:						6	7	E
DET:								E
TB:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
ATL:					5	6	7	E
NO:		2	3	4	5	6	7	E
CAR:					5	6	7	E
ARI:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
LAR:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
SF:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
SEA:					5	6	7	E
NE:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
BUF:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
MIA:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
NYJ:								E
BAL:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
CLE:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
CIN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
PIT:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
TEN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
IND:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
HOU:								E
JAX:								E
KC:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
LAC:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
DEN:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E
LV:	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	E

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Team Control

The seed that a team controls is the worst seed that team could get if they win out. These are often mutually exclusive because it is impossible for teams that play each other in future weeks to both win out. If a team changed controlled seed from last week, last week’s seed is noted in parentheses.

Teams that control the 1 seed:
GB(2) NE

Teams that control the 2 seed:
TB(3) TEN

Teams that control the 3 seed:
DAL(4) ARI(1) KC(4)

Teams that control the 4 seed:
BAL(3) CIN LAC

Teams that control the 5 seed:
LAR

Teams that control the 6 seed:
SF(7)

Teams that control the 7 seed:
BUF(4) IND(new)

Teams that could win out and still miss the playoffs:
WAS(4) PHI NYG MIN CHI DET ATL NO CAR SEA
MIA NYJ CLE PIT(6) HOU JAX DEN LV

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